Bruce Bartlett Walks Like a Duck

Bruce BartlettAfter Bruce Bartlett’s amazing performance on Up with Chris Hayes today, it is hard to complain much about him. Just the same, I found much to dislike in his The American Conservative article, Revenge of the Reality-Based Community.

The biggest problem is that Bartlett spends half the article justifying his conservative credentials. But then he discusses his awakening to new ideas and new insights. These place him firmly inside the big tent of the Democratic Party. And yet, he still considers himself a Republican and can’t understand why the whole of the Republican establishment has turned its back on him. He even writes in a particularly vulnerable moment, “Honest to God, I am not a liberal or a Democrat. But these days, they are the only people who will listen to me.”

This is kind of sweet, actually. But he follows up that statement with a bit of Old Testament level hubris, “When Republicans and conservatives once again start asking my opinion, I will know they are on the road to recovery.” Let me get this straight: Republicans are deluded because they don’t listen to him and all he is telling them is stuff that liberals are eager to hear? Well, I’m sure that he’ll get a call from the Heritage Foundation any day now.

If it talks like a liberal and thinks like a liberal it is a fucking liberal! But Bartlett doesn’t want to believe that because it would make a mockery of his past belief. And so he has become a kind of apologist for the past Republican Party, complimenting it for its successes and ignoring its many failures. I don’t doubt that his many blind spots are genuine. In particular, he seems blind regarding the racism of his party for Bartlett’s entire life. Here he is trying to steal the black vote for the Republicans in 2008:

I thought knowing the Democratic Party’s pre-1964 history of racism, which is indisputable, would give Republicans a story to tell when they went before black groups to solicit votes. I thought it would also make Republicans more sympathetic to the problems of the black community, many of which are historical in their origins. Analyses by economists and sociologists show that historical racism still holds back African-Americans even though it has diminished radically since the 1960s.

This is offensive in a couple of ways. Why would African Americans give a shit about the racism of the Democratic Party during the Depression? This is just brain dead stuff. Like all people, African Americans vote their interests and those don’t have anything to do with long, long ago. And then his comment about historical racism? Yes, it has diminished radically since the 1960s. I wonder why that is? Something about a Voting Rights Act or something? And the Republican Party continues to push policies that promote endemic inequality.

I don’t understand Bartlett, even as I feel much like him. He is an iconoclast. He is independent minded. Why can’t he take the next step and admit he was wrong about much in the past and that he is no longer a conservative?

A Speculation Tax to Ignore

Ralph NaderRalph Nader has written a very good OpEd in the Washington Post on taxing stock trades. I fully expect that Dean Baker will write about this tomorrow, because this is one of his big issues. But I thought Nader laid out the case very well. The basic idea is that the government would levy a 0.5% tax on all financial trades.

There are many reasons why this is a good idea. What I most like about it is that it would put a serious dent into the practice of micro-trades. These are high speed trades done by computers. These not only don’t do what trades are supposed to do: get money from those who want to invest to businesses that need capital. They are often actively harmful and pose a constant risk of disaster. I know far too much about computers and programming to feel comfortable with this practice.

Nader points out that the United States had such a tax from 1914 through 1966. So what’s the big deal? The big deal is that stock traders don’t want this kind of thing because it would cut into their profits. And stock traders have a lot of money, so the government is very likely to listen to them. But as Nader notes, we already have taxes on regular economic transactions. Here in California, this tax is at least 7.25% and where I live it is 8.5%. There is no similar tax on stock trades, even though they are the in no way different.

A report from the Political Economy Research Institute (pdf) indicates that such a tax could raise as much as $350 billion annually. That’s over 10% of the total projected revenue for 2013. Compare this to the $11 billion that would be generated by raising the Medicare eligibility age.

I recommend reading the whole article. It isn’t long and it is very clear. Nader deals with all the possible criticisms of the idea and discusses its main advantages. It is a great idea. And thus, both Washington and the mainstream media will likely treat it with the aggressive indifference they treat every idea that rich people don’t like.

Bradley Manning’s Crime

Bradley ManningThere are things that make me so angry that I tend to not even write about them. I suspect that some readers will find this amusing, because I seem to be angry much of the time. And that’s true, so what I just said should be given the proper amount of weight. One of those things is the pretend Benghazi scandal. I have to give the Republicans high marks for tenacity, but this is simply an outrage. There is no scandal in this matter and people like McCain are losing much of their unearned credibility.

An issue that makes me even more angry is almost everything about the Bradley Manning case. The worst that any reasonable person can say about this young man is that he should have done a better job of being a whistle blower. And I agree. But he’s a kid. And he is a classic whistle blower: a disillusioned true believer. Perhaps he should be punished, but surely he has already been punished enough.

The more we know about the military justice system’s treatment of this kid, the more disgusting it is. There is no doubt that the military are trying to send a strong message to any other potential whistle blower: we will torture you long before we prove that you’ve done anything wrong. For that is what has been going on: the military has been torturing Bardley Manning. Of course, it isn’t just to send a message; they have also been hoping that he would roll over on Julian Assange.

Glenn Greenwald published an article in The Guardian Friday, Bradley Manning: a Tale of Liberty Lost in America. In it, he gives a really good overview of the case in a very short article. But he makes a really stark contrast between how the current administration has chosen to dispense justice:

Compare this aggressive prosecution of Manning to the Obama administration’s vigorous efforts to shield Bush-era war crimes and massive Wall Street fraud from all forms of legal accountability. Not a single perpetrator of those genuine crimes has faced court under Obama, a comparison that reflects the priorities and values of US justice.

I’m actually quite used to the United States government meting out injustice. The biggest thing that bothers me here—the core of why I find this subject hard to even talk about—is the triviality of the information leaked. This is the information that we classify?! How exactly does a democratic government justify keeping stuff like this from the people?

Many have tortured and killed innocent people while working for the government. But these people must not only be forgiven, we must pretend they never did anything wrong. No Truth and Reconciliation Commission for America! That would be wrong. But a kid releases a bunch of documents that embarrass a few people and document what we already knew that the Afghanistan War was going poorly? Well, that’s treason!

This kind of bullshit that makes me ashamed of our government.

Smart Ignorant Conservative

Veronique de RugySomething really interesting happened this morning on Up With Chris Hayes. One of the guests was Veronique de Rugy, who was repeatedly referred to as a researcher at George Mason University, but who seems more correctly called an adjunct scholar at the CATO Institute. She is clearly a smart woman—she has a PhD from the University of Paris—Sorbonne. And yet, she was slapped down multiple times over factual errors.

This starts in the very first segment where she claims that we are focusing on the trees instead of the forest, “Which is this gigantic crisis in entitlement spending that’s coming.” That line made me jump out of my chair, but luckily, Chris Hayes was there to save the day, “There’s not a gigantic crisis in entitlement spending.” She responds, “Oh really?! Have you looked at the numbers going forward?” And he has a simple retort, “The projections right now for the Medicare trust fund, for instance, is solvency for the next 13 years, which is above what the projection has been for the life of the program.”

The point here is not, “Oh look at the conservative embarrassing herself.” It is that this is a smart and well educated woman. But she lives and works in the conservative bubble where everyone just knows things that simply aren’t true. One of those is: entitlements are bankrupting us; be afraid! And this just shows that even for the smart people at the most prestigious conservative think tanks, their conservative beliefs are faith based, not fact based. I occasionally see a liberal politician or pundit get information wrong, but not a liberal intellectual. If the data do not support their positions, they usually change their positions. And when they don’t, they at least know where the weak points of their arguments are.

The show continued on with the addition of Bruce Bartlett. I’m going to attack him in an article later tonight, so let me say for the record: there is no better conservative. He really does know his stuff. And it was nice to see him slap down de Rugy multiple times. She claimed that Grover Norquist is right to hold taxes and spending as a single issue. She used the same old Republican canard that, “Well, those Republicans that came before weren’t really conservative!” Bartlett slaps her down. She then doubles down on this idea and then Barlett kind of loses it. He says, “Your idea is so God damned dogmatic. You’re living in this fantasy land where we’re going to balance the budget by abolishing Medicare and other ludicrous ideas.” She keeps fighting. “There won’t be enough tax revenue to pay for the large spending increases…” He cuts her off, “That’s not true! That’s a factually incorrect statement.”

It was wonderful to watch. Bartlett has clearly had it with all this conservative nonsense. And part of his anger certainly comes from being drummed out of the inner circle of the conservative movement for his apostasy. What I think I’m seeing is what happens to any small extreme group: they purge themselves. And after a while, you are only left with those who (voluntarily or not) are willing to drink the kool-aid. Clearly, de Rugy has drunk the kool-aid. What is a mystery is how the elites of a major American political party could exhibit this kind of behavior.

Watch this clip. It is fun:

Dean Baker Paints a Picture

Dean BakerDean Baker, like any great thinker, has certain ideas that he pushes. (More on that later today.) One of those ideas is that an aging population is not bad for retirement programs. The common refrain from people, who are not nearly as smart and knowledgeable as Baker, is that fewer workers for each retiree will bankrupt the system. Baker notes that this is not true because the effects of productivity gains swamp the effects of an aging population.

Today, he wrote, Ross Douthat Thinks Sub-Saharan Africa Is the Richest Region on Earth. This is a typically sarcastic title from Baker—I’ve come to think that I have never in my life known anyone as sarcastic as this man. What he is doing is making fun of Douthat, “Douthat seems to believe that we face some terrible fate if the population of the United States stagnates or even declines.”

Dean Baker then goes on to discuss why a falling US population would be a good thing. He notes that a 20% decrease in our population would decrease our carbon footprint by 20%—without doing anything! And if there is one thing you can say about the United States, it is that we are good at doing nothing.

The main thing is that Ross Douthat, like most commentators—especially on the right—is worrying about a nonexistent problem. Baker shows this by presenting a graph that charts the funding effects on Social Security of an aging population as well as productivity growth.

Social Security Funding Effects

Now that Dean Baker has drawn a picture, maybe people like Douthat will finally get it.

Update (3 December 2012 1:27 pm)

Matt Yglesias takes Douthat to task for “condemning the ‘decadence’ of people responding to the situation that actually exists.” It is a fun read and shows that Douthat is wrong even if you accept his claim that we need more babies.

John Brown Was Right

The Last Moments of John Brown - Thomas HovendenOne hundred and fifty-three years ago they hanged John Brown in Charles Town, Virginia. On that morning before his execution, he wrote, “I, John Brown, am now quite certain that the crimes of this guilty land will never be purged away but with blood. I had, as I now think, vainly flattered myself that without very much bloodshed it might be done.” As ambivalent as I am regarding Brown’s actions, no truer words have ever been written.

I used to think that the Civil War was not inevitable. It’s clear that the institution of slavery was holding the south back. My thinking was that eventually southern whites would see this. There was no doubt that I was wrong. The problem is at the core of how slavery was implemented. In the early days of western settlement of America, slavery was not race based. This caused a problem for the ownership class: the lower classes had a nasty habit of joining together and demanding things the rich don’t like to provide for anyone but themselves: rights and pay. Although there were doubtless many and varied reasons for race-based slavery, one was to solve this problem. By making slavery apply only to blacks, they cut any solidarity between poor whites and blacks. And it made poor whites feel better: at least they weren’t slaves.

This always reminds me of this story that Anderson tells in Mississippi Burning:

“If you ain’t any better than a nigger, son, who are you better than?”

I think that the vested interests of rich white profits and poor white self-respect would have kept slavery alive in the south until its end was forced. And look at the effect of emancipation. It led to Jim Crow. When it was ended, we had the racist “drug war”—a term that first shows up only a few years after the 1965 Voting Rights Act. So I think that John Brown simply had a clearer view on the problem than just about anyone else.

I highly recommend that you listen to Sarah Vowell’s exceptional history of the song John Brown’s Body. It is live and very funny.

Filibuster Reform

FilibusterThere was a good discussion of filibuster reform on Up with Chris Hayes. But some of it was confusing. There were two pro-filibuster guests on the panel. Richard Arenberg and Alan Frumin who both argued energetically for the filibuster. But I found their arguments strangely uncompelling. I was expecting that they would have some great points that I had never thought about. This was not true in the least.

Their argument came down to one very simple point: the Senate is a place where minority rights are cherished. Or something. The truth was the argument wasn’t clear, but it was more or less, “Minority rights are good!” And I agree. Minority rights are good. But this isn’t really minority rights. This is just the minority party using its leverage to stop the majority party from doing anything at all.

I get it. At one time, the filibuster really was used only in extreme cases where the minority was really against something. But the following graph tells you everything you need to know about the modern filibuster:

Judicial Nominees Confirmed - Filibuster Abuse

Note that anyone would have to be crazy to say that “both sides do it!” Clearly, there is something entirely new over the last four years.

What no one on the panel mentioned was that the Senate is already a non-democratic chamber of the legislature. What’s more: it is heavily biased towards the Republicans. So the use of the filibuster by the Republicans is just adding insult to injury. Another thing no one mentioned (Dare they?) is that regardless of what happens, as soon as the Republicans control both the White House and the Senate, they will not only reform the filibuster; they will eliminate it. Republicans play for keeps. So it is fine to say we ought to keep the filibuster, but it isn’t up to the Democrats. The only question that is up to the Democrats is whether they will be allowed to legislate for a couple of years before the Republicans take back control of the Senate.

The most interesting thing in the whole discussion was how Arenberg and Frumin, when it comes down to it, agree with all the proposed changes to the filibuster. Their only concern is that once it is changed it will be easy to change it again, thus leading to its end. But as I said: this is inevitable regardless. And it shows their political naivete that they think it is otherwise.