About Frank Moraes

Frank Moraes is a freelance writer and editor online and in print. He is educated as a scientist with a PhD in Atmospheric Physics. He has worked in climate science, remote sensing, throughout the computer industry, and as a college physics instructor. Find out more at About Frank Moraes.

Politics: 5 November 2010

The Know-Nothing Party

I was over at Fairness and Accuracy in Media (FAIR) where I was reminded of the long history angry right-wing populism. In particular, does anybody remember laughter the Know-Nothing Party?

Its members strongly opposed immigrants and followers of the Catholic Church. The majority of white Americans followed Protestant faiths. Many of these people feared Catholics because members of this faith followed the teachings of the Pope. The Know-Nothings feared that the Catholics were more loyal to the Pope than to the United States. More radical members of the Know-Nothing Party believed that the Catholics intended to take over the United States of America. The Catholics would then place the nation under the Pope’s rule. The Know-Nothing Party intended to prevent Catholics and immigrants from being elected to political offices. Its members also hoped to deny these people jobs in the private sector, arguing that the nation’s business owners needed to employ true Americans.

Does this sound familiar? Just substitute “Know-Nothing” with “Tea” and “Catholic” with “Muslim” and you’ve got it pegged. There’s more. Check out the link.

Keith Olbermann

Politics: 4 November 2010

It’s All About Turn-Out

I used a graph from The Atlantic to get the following statistics (I think they are wrong and greatly under-estimate the issue): people over 65 where 16% of the electorate in 2008 and 23% in 2010; people under 30 were 18% in 2008 and 11% in 2010. And so I used these data to create a model.

I assumed that all people under 30 are Democrats and all people over 65 are Republicans. Further, I assumed (I don’t have a source for this yet, but I’ve heard this number mentioned quite a lot) that the country voted overall 52% for the Republicans. Based upon this, I calculate that 44% of the middle-aged people (30-65) voted Republican. Using this number and the same all (old people) and none (young people) assumption, my calculation estimates that 45.0% of the people should have voted for McCain in the 2008 election. In fact, 45.6% actually voted for McCain in 2008. This implies that no one changed their political leanings. There is a slight indication that the middle-aged people are more liberal than they were in 2008. But actually (with due respect to John Prine), everything is just about the same.

I have all the 2008 data I need to do this calculation right. I don’t yet have the 2010 data. When I get it, I plan to model the hell out of it. However, I’ve modeled it enough to know that there has been no real change in the way people think. It does indicate a big problem. I would like to make it an infraction to not vote. If we can’t get that, then I suggest tying strings to all those young people’s nose rings and dragging them to the polls!

Lead On!

There is a petition to encourage Nancy Pelosi to continue to lead the Democratic Party in the House. I encourage you to sign the petition. You don’t have to write anything; you can just sign. I had to write, of course; I wrote, “There is no question you have done an exceptional job as Speaker of the House. I am more liberal than you, but I respect your positions. What’s most important, however, is that I think you have been a brilliant tactician. What the House accomplished under you is amazing. You are paying for the sins of the Senate. Lead on!” Again: sign the petition.

The Week in Blackness

It is always a good time to listen to Elon James White.

What the Fuck Has Obama Done So Far?

Politics: 3 November 2010

Will says maybe I shouldn’t or couldn’t stop doing this blog, but I think that is just because he was pissed off last night. This may be it. Following politics really does not improve my quality of life.

Half Blue Dogs Out

The house went about as I expected, but worse than I had hoped. On the up side, half of the lame “blue dog” Democratic candidates lost their races. Good riddance! It will be interesting to see what the Republican controlled House will do now. When it came right now to it, all the teabaggers turned out to be the same old social conservatives with a smattering of libertarians. For all of the teabaggers I saw who wanted to protect the individual rights of fetuses, I never heard one talk about protecting the rights of gays or drug users. Interesting, isn’t it.

Michael Bennet Pulling Away?

In Colorado, Democrat Michael Bennet seems to be pulling away from Ken Buck with 89% of the votes in. Still, no one is calling the race and there is sure to be a recount. However, recounts usually favor Democrats. Why? I think because poor areas have fewer resources. But don’t quote me on that. In Washington, we still only have 62% of the votes in. Democrat Patty Murray is ahead by 14,005 votes, out of roughly a million and a half. Very disappointing is how poorly Scott McAdams did in Alaska. I really thought he had a good chance of taking that seat. Now we have to hope that Lisa Murkowski manages to beat Joe Miller—even though she isn’t much better. The total write-in vote is 41% compared to Miller’s 34%. The question is how many of those write-in votes will count for Murkowski; there is no doubt that almost all of them were intended for her.

Not Such a Bad Night

In the end, yesterday was not that bad. What is bad is that I am going to have to be listening to people talk about how this is a mandate against Obama’s radical leftist agenda and so on—in other words, just pure nonsense.

Brown and Boxer!

I am very happy that great people like Brown and Boxer will be out there defending me and my rights. Brown beat Whitman by over 13%—almost a million votes! And the Boxer-Fiorina race that was supposed to be close wasn’t: Boxer won by 10%—almost three-quarters of a million votes! You know, when I first saw the acronym GOTV, I thought it was a cable station. Then I learned that it meant, “Get Out The Vote” and I had one of those Emily Litella moments. I did my part: I contacted every liberal I knew and reminded them repeatedly to vote; I also never mentioned the election to conservatives I knew, hoping they would forget. (Yes, I’m not a good person.) Clearly GOTV worked in California!

California Proposition 25

I’m very pleased that Prop 25 won in California—this is probably the most important vote that took place yesterday for anyone who lives here. It stops the small minority of Republicans in the state legislature from being able to block a budget being passed until a few of them can be given some form of political heroin to vote in favor of it.

California Proposition 23

Also important: Prop 23 went down thankfully; it was just a push by oil companies (out of state oil companies!) to effectively repeal our greenhouse gas reduction law. Long-term, this is hugely important: to our environment and to our economy.

California Proposition 20 and 27

Unfortunately, we are going to get the new redistricting law. I’m all for such a law—as long as all other states do it. As it is, it is bad for California on a national level.

California Proposition 19

And, of course, Prop 19 failed: the proposal to legalize marijuana sale and use. I think it was a victory to have it on the ballot. It still would have been illegal federally, so it would still have been illegal—just not if the state cops found it on you. What’s more, pot is still scheduled the same as heroin. Over the past 100 years, drug laws have been systematically federalized (Murder is not a federal crime, but holding a joint is—figure that out!) so any drug reform really has to be done at the federal level. I’m not saying that Prop 19 wouldn’t have made life better for pot smokers, but I’m more interested in a real solution to the problem: people’s private consensual behavior in their homes are felonies. Where are the teabaggers on that clear violation of the Constitution they claim to so love?

E. J. Dionne on Political Demographics

E. J. Dionne makes the excellent point that in the 2008 election 18% of the voters were under 30 and 16% were over 65. In yesterday’s election, roughly 10% were under 30 and 25% were over 65. So any idea that this election was some kind of mandate on Obama or the Democratic Party is just ridiculous. It is interesting; watch it.

It is also interesting that this election was also not a teabagger referendum. Of the official teabagger candidates (roughly 150), most lost (roughly 100). And this makes sense, because just about everywhere, teabagger support is right around one-third. So their candidates won about one-third of the time.

Mexico Fence

Steven King (who will be the head of the next House’s Immigration Committee) wants to build a 13 foot high fence between American and Mexico. I just did a back of the envelope calculation of this. Just the material for the wall (none of the material for holding the wall up and no labor or anything else) would cost about a quarter billion dollars. Just saying.

Politics: 2 November 2010

Let The Circus Begin

I have little to say. It will be a bad day. I have this image in my mind of watching a teabagger reading his portable Constitution. I still don’t understand how people can read the same document over and over and never understand it. Of course, without reading the Federalist Papers it is kind of hard to understand what it is really all about. But it’s kind of long. Anyway, as we know: facts don’t much matter to people who have made up their minds—especially people who have little education. Our country deserves the government it is about to elect. Unfortunately, the majority of the people do not.

Reid Wins!

This is very exciting: Harry Reid won in Nevada—and it looks like it is by a much wider margin than expected. I’m still hopeful for McAdams up in Alaska—but it is really hard to say. Colorado keeps going back and forth; it is currently slightly Buck (Republican), but I’ll keep hoping. Regardless, the Democratic Party keeps control of the Senate. Now they had better get rid of the filibuster, because with it, Rand Paul alone could destroy the world’s economy (this is not joke).

And, of course, we keep hearing how the teabaggers have been so important in this election. This is total bullshit. As we have seen again and again, the teabaggers are just the most conservative Republicans. They aren’t for the Constitution. (They don’t even understand it!) They aren’t for fiscal responsibility. They aren’t against Wall Street. Why do we know this? Because they believe in many things that are flat out against the Constitution; they want to balance the budget at the same time they want to cut taxes without cutting 80% of the federal budget that is Social Security, Medicare, and the military; are they were eager to vote for candidates who were bankrolled by Wall Street. This election had nothing to do with the teabaggers. It had everything to do with the 9.6% unemployment rate.

Talking John Birch Paranoid Blues

I couldn’t find Bob Dylan doing this, but this young man—Rex Noble—does a fine job. I fear we are back to this level of thinking. The question is: where are the beats?

Politics: 1 November 2010

We Will All Go Together When We Go

Kevin O’Rourke discusses the main economic issue facing Ireland—a country that must undergo fiscal austerity. Basically, he says that the only way such policies will be anything but contractionary is if exports grow. However, exports will not grow, because other countries (for example, the United Kingdom and German) are causing their economies to contract for purely ideological reasons. He rightly points out that we can’t look at each country separately; we have to look at them all together. And then there is the comment by ObsessiveMathsFreak (thanks to Paul Krugman for the catch), who makes a compelling case that, “The markets want money for cocaine and prostitutes… Most people don’t realize that ‘the markets’ are in reality 22-27 year old business school graduates, furiously concocting chaotic trading strategies on excel sheets and reporting to bosses perhaps 5 years senior to them.”

The one thing that I just can’t get my head around as I follow politics is why we can’t do right by everyone. I know why people with huge amounts of money want interest rates to stay low, but this is a small fraction of the people in the US, much less in the world. Mostly, people without jobs just want a job, and people with jobs would like to feel secure that they will continue to have jobs. We can continue as we have. I fully suspect that we will continue as we have. But don’t the wealthy see how much they have to lose? Can’t they see that slightly higher taxes are an insurance policy? Can’t they see government policies that would reduce unemployment would make their wealth safer? Don’t they see the possibility of two kinds of revolutions? The first is the old-fashioned revolution where people actually get killed (I will be hiding under my bed in that case). The second is that there will be a true populist uprising (not the fake teabagger populism), and the top income tax rate will be brought back up to 90%—quite democratically.

We are all in this together. I have little to lose regardless of what happens, because I have little. The millionaires and billionaires have a lot to lose. It may not be nuclear war that brings us down, but Tom Lehrer was right: we will all go together when we go.

Andrew Breitbart to Provide Election Analysis for ABC

It seems my expectations of corporate media cannot get low enough. ABC News has hired Andrew Breitbart—master propagandist of the fake ACORN and Shirley Sherrod stories—to provide election analysis tomorrow night. According to Media Matters, David Ford of ABC said, “If Andrew Breitbart says something that is incorrect, we have other voices to call him on it.” Who will call him on it? Ford implies it will be Bill Adair of Politifact. Yeah, right. What are the odds that ABC has hired anyone nearly as liberal as Breitbart is conservative?

Rally to Restore Sanity Crowd Size

I knew that Jon Stewart’s rally would be a good deal bigger than Glenn Beck’s rally. And when I saw it, I thought, “Wow. That looks about as big as MLK’s ‘I Have a Dream’ speech rally.” And that rally had about 200,000 people in attendance. CBS News commissioned the same group to estimate the Stewart rally crowd size as they had for the Beck rally. The number? 215,000 people. Glenn Beck’s number? 87,000. (Of course, Beck always says it was at least 300,000.) In a sense, this is shocking, because Glenn Beck has about twice the nightly audience as Stewart. It could be as simple as the fact that it is easier to go to a rally when you don’t have to use a walker or wheelchair. With all due respect to Beck’s audience, it is old. Also with due respect to Beck’s audience, it is prone to believing ridiculous conspiracy theories. Maybe they didn’t come out because they knew that in the open air even the aluminum foil under their tri-corner hats would not protect them from the government’s secret “liberal rays” making it into their heads. (I don’t see why. Nothing else seems to make it into their heads!)

Politics: 31 October 2010

Let’s Play Dress Up

Gawker discusses this week’s Time Magazine cover featuring Meg Whitman, Marco Rubio, Rand Paul, and Christine O’Donnell. The cover proclaims, “How a new breed of Republicans tapped into voter rage and upset the Establishment—but can they govern?” The funny thing about this is that two of the candidates will definitely lose: Whitman and O’Donnell. So I guess this is Time’s idea of “dress up” for Halloween: dressing up conservative candidates as though they were conservative victors. As Count Floyd would say, “Scary!”

Politics: 30 October 2010

The Rally to Restore Sanity

I watched the whole fucking thing. I’m sorry about that. Anyway: Jon Stewart, as usual, said something that really pissed me off. He was talking about hyperbolic language—I’m all for that. But then he said something about just because someone is more liberal than you doesn’t mean that he is a Marxist who wants to subvert the Constitution. My problem is the “Marxist who wants to subvert the Constitution” part, because I don’t think he meant this as two different things like, “Dog with blue fur.” I think he meant it as one thing like, “Humans with central nervous systems.” I am against Marxist who want to subvert the Constitution. I’m against anyone who wants to subvert the Constitution. (This includes a lot of Americans—especially those who claim to believe in it most.) But it is certainly not the truth that Marxists want to subvert the Constitution by definition. In fact, I think Republicans are far more keen on subverting the Constitution than are Marxists.

As usual, in his desperate attempt to seem reasonable, Jon Stewart ends up not being reasonable. He is so out of touch with any political thought that isn’t on cable TV that he doesn’t think such political thought actually exists, or that if it does exists is a caricature that rolls off his tongue as easily as it does the tongues of Bill O’Reilly and Glenn Beck. They all need to spend a little time reading some real books (The Shock Doctrine and C Street might be a good start) and occasionally watch Democracy Now!

We Are So Fucking Pathetic

I just watched the start of game 3 of the World Series and just as the singing of the National Anthem was ending, four military planes flew over the stadium. When I was a kid, one thing that really made me hate the USSR was their constant demonstrations of military power. At least they had a major enemy! (And no, Islamic extremists are not a major enemy; they have simply been presented that way for political reasons; I recommend watching The Power of Nightmares.) We don’t, and yet we are so insecure as a nation that we have to constantly flaunt our military power. How pathetic!

And this was the second time today I had to hear the fucking National Anthem! I’m a reasonably proud American (more proud of our ideals than our practice these days, you know), but there is nothing patriotic about loving that horrible song. The lyrics suck. The music sucks. And worst of all: it is exactly the kind of song that the American Idol kind of singer just loves to wail away on. The song just sucks! I think our National Anthem should be Burn On:

Politics: 29 October 2010

Where’s Alito Now?

Back during the State of the Union address, President Obama said, “With all due deference to separation of powers, last week the Supreme Court reversed a century of law that, I believe, will open the floodgates for special interests, including foreign corporations, to spend without limit in our elections.” In response, Alito mouthed the words, “Not true.” This is rude, of course, and shows just how far the conservative movement has gone when even a Supreme Court Justice can’t just shut-up for this annual ceremony.

After Obama has been proven utterly correct, Samuel Alito now says that he is going to skip the next State of the Union address because it has become “very political and awkward for the justices.” He’s right. Now that we have four highly partisan, conservative justices on the court, it does make the event very political. The future does not look bright. As Paul Krugman said in his column today, “Be afraid. Be very afraid.”

Politics: 28 October 2010

More on Lauren Valle Attack

It bothers me that the attack on Lauren Valle is repeatedly referred to as a “stomping.” It was not a stomping, it was an attack, or if you prefer a more legal term: assault. There is more news on the attack, though. According to KTAR, the man accused of tackling her is Mike Pezzano. (It also bothers me that this act is repeatedly referred to as her being “held down”—sure, she was held down—right after she was tackled.)

When asked if he thinks he should apologize to Ms. Valle, Tim Profitt said, “I would like for her to apologize to me to be honest with you.” He did not go on to explain that he felt this way because he’s an ignorant, bigoted, small-minded man with a penis the size of his world view.

Politics: 27 October 2010

No Control of 50 ICBMs: Who Cares?

According to the LA Times, a computer glitch caused 50 ICBMs to go “off-line” at a Wyoming Air Force for 45 minutes. Given that the US has roughly ten thousand ICBMs, I don’t see why we care. The glitch did not put us in any danger of the missiles being launched. Just in case you were wondering.

Jack Conway’s Brother Matthew

The Louisville Courier-Journal recently reported that the brother of Kentucky Democratic Senatorial candidate Jack Conway’s was under investigation for drug trafficking. Even after almost 3000 words, the article never mentions what that drug might be. What’s more, the definition of trafficking is so broad that this could mean that Matthew Conway shared a joint with a friend once. Regardless of all this, there doesn’t seem to be any there here. There were two complaints, and the first seems to have come from Conway’s recently divorced wife. Certainly the narcotics officer investigating concluded that it was a case of revenge. He said, ““It just seemed like [the complaint} was a BS … domestic kind of issue.”

The conservative blogosphere is all over it, though. They are trying to make the case that Rand Paul’s campaign member’s stomping on the head of a Move-On protester is just a pretense to cover up the drug trafficking case. This is all sounding very much like those claims that Bill Clinton was a big-time drug dealer while governor of Arkansas.

And remember, this whole “scandal” is about Jack Conway’s brother—not about the candidate himself. So the real question is, “Who cares?” And the real answer is, “Conservatives, who never care about facts—who only care about winning.”

Teabag Crazy

This is just too good not to watch. It is an almost endless list of the teabagger craziness.

Politics: 26 October 2010

Teabaggers Show Their Colors

The Rand Paul Campaign showed what they think of dissent last night. Here, Lauren Valle was assaulted by two supporters. One of them is known: Tim Profitt, Bourbon County now former coordinator for Paul’s campaign. He’s the one stomping on Ms. Valle. The person who tackled her and held her down is not currently known. This is the kind of thing you would expect from Carl Paladino, but Paul stands a very good chance of winning.

DailyKos reports, “Oh, and Paul didn’t mention that he has a full-page ad in today’s Herald Leader, proudly touting, among others, the endorsement and support of Tim Profitt.”

Politics: 25 October 2010

I Can Be a Writer!

I just saw a review on Amazon by one Jon R. Stosser, commenting on S. E. Cupp’s Losing Our Religion: The Liberal Media’s Attack on Christianity. Stosser writes, “I just [saw] Ms. Cupp on RealTime [with] Bill Maher and watched in amazement at her surprise that communism was akin to a State religion. She didn’t seem to know very much. I guess I am just jealous, cause I now know if I was conservative I too could be an author. Unfortunately, I live in the world where things are complex and grey.”

I feel much the same way. Last night, I did a good deal of writing on a book I have been putting off for too long. It’s hard work because I know that the book has to be good. I too am jealous; I know that I could write an un-researched conservative polemic in a couple of months, get it included in the Conservative Book Club and make enough money to live on for the next ten years—with health insurance! I also know that it would be trivial to create teaching materials for Christian home schoolers. It just isn’t right that people in the reality-based community have to work so much harder.

GOP No Longer Pretends to be “Big Tent”

Indiana Govenor Mitch Daniels suggested a value-added tax at a speech at the Hudson Institute. Daniels had been a possible Republican candidate for President in 2012. But not any more, it would seem. According to Grover Norquist, “[T]his is disqualifying. This is beyond the pale.”

The Assassination of Dr. Tiller

The Rachel Maddow Show presented a special documentary called The Assassination of Dr. Tiller. It is very sad, but very much worth watching. I highly suggest spending 45 minutes watching it.