The Baseless Snowden Smear Continues

Edward SnowdenEverywhere in the media ecosystem over the weekend, we were seeing thoughtless repetitions of The Sunday Times article, British Spies Betrayed to Russians and Chinese. According to the article, “Russia and China have cracked the top-secret cache of files stolen by the fugitive US whistleblower Edward Snowden, forcing MI6 to pull agents out of live operations in hostile countries, according to senior officials in Downing Street, the Home Office and the security services.” There is just one problem: it isn’t true. It is just yet another round of the national security operations in the US and UK making yet another push to vilify Snowden — and by extension all whistleblowers.

The article does not contain any information except that anonymous sources claim that MI6 had to pull these officers. But we do have actual evidence that pushes against this. To begin with, Snowden has always claimed that he destroyed his files after turning them over to journalists while in Hong Kong. As Glenn Greenwald noted, “How, then, could Russia have obtained Snowden’s files as the story claims — ‘his documents were encrypted but they weren’t completely secure’ — if he did not even have physical possession of them?” What’s more, Ryan Gallagher reported, “I’ve reviewed the Snowden documents and I’ve never seen anything in there naming active MI6 agents.”

The article is also filled with what can only be claimed sloppy journalism. It repeats the claim that Snowden took 1.7 million documents. The NSA has never claimed this. All they’ve said is that in the course of his work over years as a contractor, he had accessed that many documents. Gallagher responded, “I’ve seen the trove of documents; the claim or insinuation that he leaked 1.7 million is not true.”

The bigger problem is that there is no evidence that any agents have actually been moved. This seems like just another excuse to complain about Snowden — especially after public opinion has started to shift in his direction after the recent passage of the USA Freedom Act. But it is certainly possible that MI6 agents had to be moved. But there is no reason to think that this has anything to do with an intelligence failure — much less that the intelligence failure was due to Snowden. Russia and China, of course, are always working on hacking into spying activities of other countries — including each other’s. Throwing China and Russia together as some kind of unitary force should have raised flags with the original reporters — and certainly with those who have pushed the story since.

What’s notable about this is that reporters give anonymous status to government officials pushing the official government line. This is not journalism. Providing anonymity to someone who would face retribution is a different matter. As Glenn Greenwald put it, “The official accusers are being hidden by the journalists so nobody can confront them or hold them accountable when it turns out to be false.” This is truly journalism as stenography. Instead of speaking truth to power, it is obscuring truth for power.

Morning Music: Carly Simon

The Many Adventures of Winnie the PoohIn a recent article (probably not published yet), I made reference to Winnie the Pooh. So I put The Many Adventures of Winnie the Pooh on and saw that there was a performance of “Winnie The Pooh” by Carly Simon. I’m not much of a fan of hers, but she’s certainly talented. And she put up with James Taylor during some very trying times, so I give her a lot of credit. But here is a pro tip for a successful marriage: don’t marry a junkie.

The song itself was written by the legendary Sherman Brothers. But Simon went on to write a number of songs for later Winnie the Pooh cartoons. But I’m not going to present those. Here is the original theme song, “Winnie the Pooh.” The guitar work is particularly nice.

Anniversary Post: Roller Coaster

Switchback RailwayOn this day in 1884, the Switchback Railway opened at Coney Island. It was not a transport; it was the first roller coaster designed as a thrill ride. I guess we have to be careful, because certainly early train riders must have found the experience thrilling. But the Switchback was only intended to be thrilling — it didn’t take anyone anywhere. Well, not exactly. It was not like the new rides where you end up back where you started. Instead, you climbed up to a tower, got in and it took you to a a secondary 600 feet away. One difference from modern roller coasters: people were seated sideways; the cars were more or less park benches on rollers.

The cost of the ride was a nickle — roughly $1.25 today. And for that, you got the thrill of traveling at a speed slightly over — I am not making this up — six miles per hour! That’s right: the Switchback Railway peaked out at the speed that is less than the average speed that an amateur marathon runner averages over 26 miles. Still, I’m sure it was way cool. And more suitable to me than many of the monster roller coasters around today.

Happy anniversary roller coaster!

Rich Getting Richer, Paying Less and Less in Taxes

David Cay JohnstonLast week, David Cay Johnston reported, The Top 0.001 Percent Are Different From You and Me. He provided data showing that the super rich are doing vastly better than even the rich. The numbers are striking. Consider the period from 2003 through 2012. If you look at the bottom 99.9% of the top 1%, you see that their average incomes rose from $876,000 to $1.3 million. That’s an increase of 48%. But if you look at the top 0.1% of the top 1%, you see that their average incomes rose from $76 million to $161 million. That’s an increase of 111%. We know we have an inequality problem and this just shows that it is accelerating.

Johnston also went into the way that taxes are all screwed up for this group too. If we look at total federal income taxes, the more people make, the less they pay. In the top 0.001% of the top 1%, the average amount of this tax paid is just 17.6%. But the top quarter of this group plays less: just 16.6%. Meanwhile, the bottom 99.9% of the top 1% pays 23.5%. Johnston didn’t go into it, but even this is unequally divided, with those at the bottom end of the top 1% paying a lot more than those at the top. Note also that those at the very top pay effectively no payroll tax. But even those at the bottom of the top 1% pay only about a quarter of what the rest of us pay — because so much of their income is above the payroll tax cap.

What Johnston also didn’t talk about is the fractal nature of inequality. What he described about the top 1% is true of the entire income distribution: the further people get up the income scale in a relative sense, the bigger the payoff. So rising 20% in terms of your income standing will not increase your income by 20%; it will raise your income by 100% or 200% — something much larger than 20%. This is largely why no one ever feels rich: they always see people who are in their income range but who have far more money. Those people making $161 million per year know people who make a billion. So they think of themselves as “middle class.”

Johnston has done calculations that indicate even while the rich are getting richer and their tax burdens are getting smaller, the middle class is seeing its incomes decrease while its tax burdens go up. For the bottom 80% of income earners from 2003 through 2012, average incomes actually fell. But they are paying more in taxes. Consider just the payroll tax, which is 15.3% right off the top. That’s what we all pay. That tax alone is almost as much as is being paid by those who are making $161 million. When conservatives call for a flat tax, they never include the payroll tax. The idea is to make the taxes that rich people pay flat so that they pay even less.

The reason we have this situation is that the rich are well organized and are incredibly good at misdirection. They’ve got roughly half the nation thinking that the real reason the middle class is struggling so much is because poor kids are getting free school lunches. I say it all the time, but it bears repeating: this is not sustainable. Eventually, the whole system falls apart, and that hurts the rich and the poor. But I suspect the United States will fall apart in a stable way — slowly become a banana republic. In many ways, it already is. But don’t worry. Just keep looking at the fire and the projection of the big head. Pay no attention to that man behind the curtain…

Patent Protections Harming Innovation

Dean Baker[A] Chinese drug company appears to have developed a successful treatment for Ebola, the use of which is being threatened by US researchers complaining about patent infringement. The basic story is that the Chinese company used information in a US patent to help develop their drug, which appears to be an effective treatment for Ebola. The patent holders are now upset that the Chinese company is making their drug widely available to Ebola victims, in some cases to people who would otherwise be taking part in controlled clinical trials…

Anyhow, it is difficult to believe that progress would not advance more rapidly if researchers did not try to bottle up their findings with patent protection. This is the sort of protection that will be increased in the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP). The impact of this protectionism in raising drug prices and impeding scientific progress has not been considered in the widely cited analysis of the TPP’s impact.

—Dean Baker
Ebola and How Patent Protection Impedes Innovation

Culpability in the Death of Tamir Rice

Tamir RiceA report totaling hundreds of pages has been released regarding the shooting death of Tamir Rice, the 12-year-old boy who was playing with a toy gun in a public part in Cleveland. Not surprisingly, the officers involved claim that they had no choice but the kill the boy. Several things struck me while reading German Lopez’s overview at Vox, New Documents Reveal Details About Cleveland Police Shooting of 12-Year-Old Tamir Rice. It seems strange that after going through this exercise, the report isn’t more clear. And even after this, it is still questionable whether there will be an indictment. And it is almost certain that the officers will be found not guilty if they are forced to go to trial.

Much has been made of the fact that the orange tip on the pellet gun was missing. But this seems to be irrelevant. Officer Timothy Loehmann claims that he was forced to shoot Rice because the boy went for the gun that was in his waistband. So the officer wouldn’t have seen the orange tip even if it had been the there. The only thing that would have been different is that after shooting Rice, the officer would have known right away what he had done. Now that might have been useful to know because Rice didn’t die right away.

There was an FBI agent who was in the area and came to scene between four and five minutes after the shooting. He immediately started to administer first-aid. According to Lopez’s article, “The FBI agent described Loehmann and [officer Frank] Garmback as almost shell-shocked — wanting to do something but not knowing what to do.” Rice was eventually taken to the hospital where he died the following night. So in addition to driving up on Rice and quickly shooting him, the two officers did not treat him properly after the incident. I don’t know if Rice would have survived if they had, but when the FBI agent showed up, Rice was still conscious.

Loehmann said of the shooting, “He gave me no choice. He reached for the gun and there was nothing I could do.” This is the sort of thing we hear from police officers all the time. But I’m curious why it is that officers who think they might be dealing with a dangerous person with a gun are so careless about driving up to them. If Rice had been a madman with a gun, he could have just shot both the officers before they ever got out of the car. So the idea here seems to be that the police should just throw themselves into situations where wiser people would be cautious. And then at the slightest sign of trouble, they should just start firing away.

In this case, there is enormous culpability. I don’t think we can say that Loehmann is guilty of murder. But both he and Garmback seem to be guilty of reckless endangerment. And their total uselessness in getting Rice medical attention after he was shot must be seen as criminal negligence for two men who were supposedly trained to deal with situations like this. But I suspect that this is the problem. As far as I can tell, our police officers are trained to be like George Zimmerman: belligerent cowards. The slogan of the police should be changed to, “To protect and serve ourselves.” And the iconic statement should be, “Just the facts ma’am — right after I call my union rep.”

Who Contributes to Clinton and Sanders?

Bernie SandersOver the weekend at Vox, Dylan Matthews wrote a great article that ought to surprise no one, but nonetheless is very important, Want to Know What Sets Bernie Sanders Apart From Hillary Clinton? Look at Their Donors. He provided a screenshot of the top donors of the two candidates. All you have to do is look at the very top donor of each because they are entirely typical of the top 20. Hillary Clinton’s top donor is Citigroup Inc, which gave $782,327. Bernie Sanders’ top donor is Machinists/Aerospace Workers Union, which gave $95,000. At the bottom of the list (number 20) is Greenberg Traurig with $273,550 for Clinton and the American Federation of Teachers with $35,567 for Sanders.

These are the top contributions in their careers since 1989. This is basically their whole careers. Clinton didn’t run for office herself until 2000. Clearly, First Lady of Arkansas and the United States are political positions — especially in her case. But these weren’t elected offices and so no one gave her campaign contributions. Sanders was mayor of Burlington from 1981 through 1989. But with a population of roughly 40,000 people (and still the biggest town in Vermont), we can assume he didn’t get big campaign contributions. His national political career started in 1990 when he ran for (and won) Vermont’s one seat in the House of Representatives.

Hillary ClintonThe kinds of donors the two candidates attract really are telling. Clinton’s contributors are big banks, big law firms, and big entertainment companies. The only exceptions are Corning Inc, University of California, and EMILY’s List. Of Sanders’ 20 contributors, 19 of them are labor unions. The exception is the American Association for Justice — which could also be considered a kind of union, since it represents the interests of trial lawyers.

One shouldn’t get the idea that Sanders is beholden to labor unions, however; his biggest contributor gave just over a third of Clinton’s 20th biggest contributor. All of Sanders’ contributions combined are equal to less than Clinton’s top two contributions or almost exactly the same as her bottom four. This is representative of the fact that Clinton was Senator of New York — which takes a lot more money to run for office there. Also: she ran for president. But the amount of money that Sanders has received from organized labor is still not all that great.

The more important point here is that labor unions are not giving to Sanders to get access or to change the way that he votes. Unions know that Sanders is on their side. They want to get him elected because they know he is one of the good guys. They give to him the same way I occasionally give ten bucks to a candidate. I don’t think I’m buying anything — other than trying to get a candidate in office who agrees with me. I don’t think this is what Goldman Sachs is up to when it gives hundreds of thousands of dollars to a candidate. (That’s not to say that labor unions don’t also want access — but you need only look at Obama are card check to see how successful that is.)

This offers up a way of reforming campaign finance. It would be possible to turn Goldman Sachs campaign contributions into Frank Moraes contributions. It would just require that contributions go into a fund that was anonymous. Thus, contributions would be for the purpose of supporting someone the contributor thinks the politician will do rather than having it used as a kind of legalized bribery.

Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders Contributions

Regardless, this list provides yet more evidence that Bernie Sanders really is the kind of person who the American people would want to vote for if they voted based upon the issues. As much as organized labor has been vilified in this country, Sanders’ donors indicate that he’s looking out for the interests of the American people. Clinton’s do not. (The Republican candidates, of course, look even worse.)

Morning Music: Bobby Vinton

Roses Are Red - Bobby VintonAll last night, I had the song “Blue Velvet” going through my head. So I thought I would find a little Bobby Vinton singing the song. My mother — like most white women of her age — loved him. So I went looking for the song and I listened to it and it hit me immediately, “I can’t present this!” It’s just awful. So I happened upon “Mr Lonely” off his 1962 album Roses Are Red. It is one of the few Vinton songs that he co-wrote.

The song was co-written by Gene Allan — famous for writing songs for The Archies. He is not (as Wikipedia would have you believe) the art director and three term president of Academy of Motion Pictures Arts and Sciences, Gene Allen. Anyway, it is a listenable song. Mom would like it.

Anniversary Post: Henry Ossian Flipper

Henry Ossian FlipperOn this day in 1877, Henry Ossian Flipper became the first African American to graduate from West Point. He went on to be the first non-white officer to lead on the all-black regiments who were being used to kill the Native American tribes throughout the United States. He was generally considered a fine officer. But he only stayed in the Army for five years. The entire time, he faced intense racism. Eventually, his bigoted supervisor William Rufus Shafter manage to railroad Flipper through a Court Martial. Despite the fact that he was found innocent of the charge, he was found guilty of a lesser charge — “conduct unbecoming an officer” — that was introduced in the middle of the trial. Although white officers had previously gotten wrist slaps after being found guilty of the far more serious charge of embezzlement, Flipper was thrown out of the Army.

Flipper did have his defenders, however, and he went on to have a good career as a civil servant. At first he worked as a a civil engineer but eventually became an adviser on revolutionary politics in Mexico for Senator Albert Fall. When Fall because Secretary of the Interior, Flipper followed him. He finished out his career as an engineer for the petroleum industry in Venezuela. He retired to his home state of Georgia, and died at the age of 84.

What I think is interesting about Flipper’s story is how it shows that the end of slavery was very important to the equality in this country. But it was just one step of an endless number of steps. The people who claim that we are in a post-racial time were matched by people in Flipper’s time who also claimed that there was nothing that needed to be done. After all: slavery was over! The struggle goes on and on. Henry Ossian Flipper could not possibly have been any better a person, yet he was nonetheless dumped on by individuals and establishment alike.

We mark this day 138 years ago when one more step was taken in the cause of equality.

Philae Lives!

PhilaeBack on 17 November 2014, I reported, The Resurrection of Philae. It was a hopeful headline, because I was relating the fact that Philae had died. You may remember that there was a lot of excitement the world over — including here at Frankly Curious — when the Rosetta space craft managed to get into a stable orbit around Comet 67P/Churyumov–Gerasimenko. Part of the excitement of this mission was that that Rosetta was going to look for organic material on the comet. It is widely speculated that the organic material on the Earth was seeded to it by comet impacts.

Part of this search for organic material was going to be done by the Philae probe that landed on the comet. Unfortunately, the system designed to anchor Philae onto the comet failed. This resulted in Philae bouncing around on the comet for two hours before finally stopping at the bottom of a cliff. This was unfortunate, because it meant that the solar panels on the unit would get very little sunlight. And thus, in just a couple of days — on 14 November 2014 — Philae powered down when its battery died. It was a sad day. But it wasn’t the end. There was still the hope that when 67P got closer to the sun, little Philae would power back up.

At 4:33 this morning, the world got the following tweet:

It then tweeted to Rosetta asking, “How long have I been aleep?” To which many people responded gleefully including mars_stu who responded with great cheek, “a long time… humans now hunted by apes riding horses, but don’t worry about it…”

Back in January, I had made my peace with the death of Philae, Organic Macromolecules on Comet P67. That was a very big deal. Actually, for me, that was the one big thing that I cared about. Comets are interesting in that they may well have been the primary sources of the Earth’s water and organic matter that led us to today when we have this amazing oasis of life.

In that article, I wrote:

The main thing to remember is that it is this kind of science that the Rosetta mission is all about. Here in the United States, we tend to focus on the technology side of it, “Hooray! We got a spaceship to orbit a comet! We landed on a comet!” But that’s just the means of doing something much greater. The objective of the mission is to better understand the origins of the solar system. And that work will be going on for years to come.

I still believe that. But I will admit that the fact that Philae has managed to wake itself up and get back to work is exciting based only on the cool technology that allows this. Of course, even more exciting is that Philae will get back to work. And given that 67P/Churyumov-Gerasimenko has an orbital period of six and half years, it is possible that Philae will go back to sleep in a few months, only to wake up again six years from now. And then again and again and again. This really is great stuff — the best of what we are!


H/T: BBC.

Black Lives: Beyond the Numbers

Ta-Nehisi CoatesWe are in the midst of a debate around criminal justice right now, a timid one no doubt, but a debate nonetheless. In the midst of such debates it is customary for pundits, politicians, and writers like me to sally forth with numbers to demonstrate the breadth and width of the great American carceral state. The numbers are, indeed, bracing and are not hard to find. The fact that African Americans comprise some one in 200 of all known people in the world, and yet African American men comprise one in 12 of all known prisoners has always given me pause…

There should be an accounting beyond numbers for these years, something that goes beyond the failures of state budgets, something that goes beyond the the insanity of our policy. Something that captures the grandmothers beaten on traffic islands, the daughters shoved face first into the ground, the son shot while playing, the man choked to death over cigarettes, or for producing his license, or for being mentally ill, or for playing cops and robbers, or for sport. This is more than mistaken policy. This is cruelty — the long war to save the blacks from themselves.

—Ta-Nehisi Coates
The Brief and Tragic Life of Kalief Browder

The Hastert Rule Is a Farce

John BoehnerI want to go back to that TAA voter I wrote about yesterday. It went down in flames, 126-302. This vote was followed by a vote on the TPA — fast track authority. It passed barely, 219-210. It was done this way with the hope that the Democrats would pass the TAA and the Republicans would pass the TPA. That’s because Democrats are generally in support of helping workers and Republicans are generally in support of helping big businesses that already make huge profits. But I find the whole thing curious with regard to what it says about the Republicans’ biggest excuse for never getting anything done.

I’m referring, of course, to the Hastert Rule. When Dennis Hastert wasn’t buggering little boys, he was busy making the House of Representatives totally unmanageable. And one of those ways was by explicitly adopting the “majority of the majority” rule. And Boehner has claimed to be tied to this “rule” as if it came down from on Mount Sinai on clay tablets. The idea is that the Speaker of the House cannot bring a bill to the floor for a vote unless the majority of his caucus is in favor of it. So there are 247 Republican seats in the House, so unless 124 Republicans are for a bill, it cannot be voted on — even if 123 Republicans and all the Democrats want it.

Except that this rule only exists as a convenience. It allows the speaker to avoid embarrassing his caucus as well as himself. When it came to the government shutdown in 2013, the Hastert Rule was thrown out — only 38% of the Republicans were in favor of reopening the government. Well, that’s not really true. Almost all of them were happy about it; they just weren’t willing to take any heat from the Republican base that has been led to believe that it can have everything if it is just willing to destroy the entire country.

When it came to the TAA, the Hastert Rule was even more out of alignment: only 36% of the Republicans voted for it. Of course, clearly the Republicans needed to pass the TAA if they want to give the great usurper Obama the right to made any kind of communist deal he wants — which they clearly do. So it is surprising that so many of them still couldn’t bring themselves to vote for it. They really are terrible at their jobs. Of course, when it comes to voting on it next week, maybe they will change their minds. It’s hard to say.

The main thing is that every time that John Boehner mentions that Hastert Rule, he should be laughed off the stage or screen or podium. There is no Hastert “Rule” — there is only a Haster Excuse. It is just a way for the Republican establishment to use its power to push its agenda. I’m not suggesting that listening to the majority of Republicans is a good idea. But to pretend that this is what John Boehner or any other Republican House Speaker is doing is just ridiculous.