Bats, Hammers, and Handguns

Hammer and HandgunBrian Palmer over at Slate takes on a widely circulated myth that I hadn’t even heard of before, Baseball Bats and Hammers Do Not Kill More People Than Guns. Apparently, a lot of conservatives run around saying things like, “There are more people killed with baseball bats and hammers than are killed with guns.” This isn’t just said by idiot bloggers; this quote is from idiot Georgia congressman Paul Broun.

Let’s look at the stats first. In 2011, 8,583 people were murdered with guns in the United States. That same year, 496 people were bludgeoned to death. That’s roughly 20 times more people murdered with guns. And note: of those 496 murders, various objects were used including electric guitars. So Palmer asks the question: why are conservatives going around saying something that is patently false? (I know, I know: that’s what defines a conservative! But stay with me because this is fascinating.)

This all goes back to a specious argument that goes something like, “People get killed with baseball bats as well as guns; why not ban them both?!” This argument can be taken to ridiculous extremes: “Baseball bats kill people just like nuclear warheads; why not ban them both?!” But in 1993, an article in the Washington Times noted that, “baseball bats kill more people than AK-47s in at least one big city.” Here’s the thing: that’s not only specifically true; it is generally true. In 2011, the year where 496 people were bludgeoned to death, only 323 people were killed with rifles of all kinds and 356 were killed with shotguns.

So you can see how this went. From a true statement (AK-47s are used to kill people less often than baseball bats), you get message distortion. Before long, it is rifles are safer than bats. Then it is guns are safer than bats. I don’t know when hammers were thrown into the mix, but I bet it has something to do with Ann Rule. And let’s face it: this is how most “facts” that everyone knows are passed on.

This whole story highlights the fact that the real problem we face is handguns. But few people want to talk about this. Somehow, it seems natural to have a handgun in a home for protection. It seems to me that a shotgun is a better choice. It is less likely to be involved in accidents or suicides. (I’m especially concerned about guns and suicide.) But calling for an end to handguns seems to make people think of tyranny. I think if we offered a program where people could trade in their handguns for shotguns, it might do some good.

Regardless, as horrible as it must be to have some Al Capone wannabe kill you with a baseball bat, bludgeon murders are just not a major issue in this country. Unfortunately, even if we straightened out the likes of Paul Broun, it wouldn’t help. It seems that liberals are primarily interested in banning assault weapons. And in that case, baseball bats and hammers really are comparable problems. Anyone for a handgun ban?

The Lesson of Tennessee Virtual Academy

Tennessee Virtual AcademyI am really interested in education, but I find it very depressing to write about. It seems to me that it is all tail chasing that passes for educational reform. What’s more, most of it comes down to private companies trying to make a buck and politicians (in this case, the Democrats are almost as bad as the Republicans) helping them along. The recent scandal about the Tennessee Virtual Academy (TVA) is particularly illustrative, although not in the way that most people are reporting it.

TVA as its name implies is an online school. Basically, it is just a way to allow parents to more easily home school their children. But there are actual teachers who interact with the students and the parents. I have a problem with home schooling. It isn’t that I don’t think children can be home schooled well. I flatter myself that if I had children and I home schooled them, they would get stellar educations. (And they would hate it.) The problem is that most people who home school their kids don’t do it because they want their kids to be well educated; they do it because they want to “protect” their children from dangerous ideas like natural selection, quantum mechanics, and pretty much any post-Enlightenment thinking.

But if people are going to home school, I think the state should provide all the help it can. Unfortunately, TVA is not succeeding, at least on the terms that it was sold to lawmakers. According to Raw Story:

Democratic lawmakers are now attempting to cap enrollment at 5,000 after 2011 test scores showed that only 16.4 percent of middle school students were proficient in math, and only 39.3 percent were proficient in language arts.

I don’t think much of tests, but that is pretty bad. But here’s the thing: that isn’t the story.

TVA is in the news because the vice principal sent out an email to teachers telling them to erase the failing grades from September and October. I don’t think this is necessarily a bad thing. Yes, it is probably just TVA trying to cover itself. But it must be at least in part them trying to make adjustments. What’s more, when I taught, all I cared about was how well the students understood the material at the end of the course. I made allowances for students who did poorly at the end, but I never penalized a student for doing poorly at the start; students who got As on the final, got As in the course.

Because of this story, now the poor test scores are getting some attention. I think this is backwards. But so be it. What’s important here is that companies like TVA (a for-profit public school) sell their services on the basis of test scores. Yet when they fail by the one metric that they and their political allies claim to care about, nothing happens. I think this is because this kind of educational “reform” and “innovation” is not about test scores and it most certainly isn’t about education or the betterment of children. It is about making profits and gutting public education. In this regard, the Republicans are far worse. But regardless of the motivation, the result of pretty much all educational reform is to divert public funds to private (for-profit) companies and weaken public education.

And that is the real story of the Tennessee Virtual Academy.

Cthulhu in New Jersey

Sea Lamprey or is it?And speaking of George Washington dying from blood letting: the sea lamprey. The photo on the left is apparently of a large sea lamprey from the waters of New Jersey. These things are parasites that latch onto fish and literally bleed them to death—just like the best physicians of the 18th century! According to GrindTV, this picture is either shot in such a way to make the blood sucking vermin look big or it is photoshopped. They can grow up to three feet in length, but this one looks like it is twice that length. (Then again, my friend Will tells me that New Jersey has more Superfund sites than any other state. So who knows?)

Depending upon your background, this parasitic bastard either looks like the creature in the Alien movies or a monster from an H. P. Lovecraft story. As for me, it makes me think of our first president. Of course Cthulhu always makes me think of him.

Washington’s Birthday

George WashingtonYou probably think that today was President’s Day. But you are wrong: according to the federal government, it was Washington’s Birthday. And in keeping with my tradition of ruining holidays, this makes my task much easier. Although note: there is no reason to destroy good holidays like this one where nothing is expected of me. What’s more, today a lot of people were writing that I wasn’t expecting. Jonathan Chait was in fine form. And The Plum Line blog was working at about half capacity.

As is more or less common knowledge, George Washington was the richest president we ever had, even though he never got to see a movie and there is a lot of folklore to the effect that his access to dental care was poor. And he didn’t have very good healthcare. He got sick and his doctor bled him to death. But that’s pretty common today: doctors kill a lot more people than is normally realized. But he did have one thing that we don’t: slaves. In fact, he had 300 of them. And that and his land is the basis of his vast wealth. Interestingly, the second richest president was Jefferson. Hmm, what do they have in common? (Jefferson had more slaves: over 650!)

So maybe we should change the name of this holiday to something more appropriate like: Slave Owning Bastards We Revere Day. Or: Our Dirty Little Secret Day. Or: Ain’t Slavery Grand Day! (That last one needs the exclamation mark as part of its name.) The funny thing is that most people rate Washington very highly as president—often as number one. I’ve never really understood this. To me, the only great thing he did (and I admit, this is a big deal) is step down after two terms. Certainly, he was popular enough to have taken the country in a very bad direction. Then again, because of the bleeding, he died shortly after leaving office, so maybe it didn’t matter.

Regardless, it’s nice to have a day off. I just wish it were for a better reason. How about Typhoid Mary Day?!

Why Media Pander to the Right

Tea PartyLast week, Reed Richardson wrote a really good column comparing the Republican and Tea Party responses to the State of the Union address, How the Media Skews its State-of-the-Union Response Coverage. I thought about this before the event. Marco Rubio is a Tea Party darling. He wasn’t going to say anything that the Tea Party would disagree with. So what’s with the Tea Party response?

Richardson notes that the Tea Party is only supported by about 8% of the population and yet the major media treat it like an important group. Compare this to a Gallup poll that found that 36% of Americans view socialism positively. That’s 4.5 times as many people. And what do we get from the major media: a heavy diet of extreme Tea Party policy.

Let’s look at budget ideas. Paul Ryan has offered up two budgets in a row. These are harsh policy ideas that large majorities of Americans disagree with. What’s more, they aren’t really budgets at all: they are just claims that somehow (Magic!) the budget will be balanced. Ryan never explains what he will cut. (This is typical of Republicans because they know that what they want to cut is toxic to most people.) This unserious and unpopular budget gets loads of attention from everyone in the media!

Now compare that to the yearly People’s Budget from the Congressional Progressive Caucus. It is an actual budget: it says what it will cut (lots of military spending). Say what you will about it, it is a serious budget and it is far more popular than Ryan’s budget. And yet: most people don’t even know it exists because the media don’t cover it.

I think it is an outrage why truly liberal ideas that are fairly popular are considered outside of the Overton Window while extremely unpopular conservative ideas are considered just things that important people say—things that deserve blanket coverage on the the TV machine. Why is this? Journalists usually argue that it is because these liberal ideas have no chance of passing. Even ignoring the obvious self-fulfilling aspect of this: the same thing can be said about the conservative ideas that these journalists do cover.

My theory for why this happens is a little complex. It comes from the fact that regarding economic issues, journalists tend to be conservative. When it comes to social issues, they tend to be liberal. But here’s the key: they think of themselves as liberal in a general sense. Thus, they mistake their conservative opinions about economics as liberal. They push against this because they want to be seen as objective. And so their reporting on economic issues gets even more conservative.

I’ve written about this quite a lot. It frustrates me that MSNBC is seen as a liberal network. Most of the time when I watch it, I see a lot of socially progressive ideas but mostly moderate or even conservative economic discussion. This bugs me because I continue to think that social issues don’t matter all that much. If we have extreme economic inequality (which we do), then we are not going to have social justice either—regardless of what the law is.

This is why when we have a Democratic president, we get two conservative responses to the SOTU address. And what’s more, both are fundamentally the same because there really is no difference between extreme and moderate Republicans: they are just Republicans. But when we have a Republican president, the media would never stand for a Democratic and Socialist responses. This even though the Socialist response would better represent the views of a large section of Americans than the Democratic response (much less the Tea Party response).

Afterword

I am not against social liberal policy. It is important and at times it is the most important thing. Voting rights can often take precedence. My point is that social issues are not a substitute for economic issues. If someone is a social liberal and an economic conservative, then he is a conservative. Or let me be perfectly blunt: social conservatives are bigots. So most American journalists are not bigots. Hooray for them! But that doesn’t make them liberal.

Deer Can’t Read!

Deer CrossingI often wonder why people have such a low opinion of bloggers. In my experience, there are a lot of good bloggers out there. It is downright scary just how talented a lot of people are. And then there are the bloggers who never really try. It is surprising how many blogs have one post. But mostly, people do it for a few months and then stop. But that’s like anything: a lot of people buy guitars that just sit in their closets. Why do people think bloggers are idiots?

Ladies and gentlemen: Kathleen O’Brien Wilhelm! I discovered her this morning from Jonathan Chait, a man who knows comedy when he sees it, even if it is unintended. Wilhelm is kind of a Tea Party idiot, but not as smart. She blogs over at the Avon-Avon Lake Patch. And man does she care about wasteful spending! For example, last week she had an idea for how the government can save money by not posting signs for animals, Animals Can’t Talk:

Signs that read “Deer Crossing” and the like are going to continue to pop up throughout our country including Avon Lake, but who are these signs for? Deer cannot read, do not obey the law and probably will cross where they wish. Although adorable companions, it is hard to remember the last time that the news reported an animal talking, thinking or providing significant input for the benefit of society. Yet, these signs cost taxpayers like so much of government.

As Chait notes, “What else could the signs be for, if not for the animals themselves?” I wonder! Isn’t it just like the stupid government to go posting signs for animals? I mean, I know it’s in picture form, but really! I mean, it doesn’t even make sense. Deer near another part of the road won’t even see those signs! I can see maybe putting up “no deer crossing” signs so the deer would know that the government (Which wants to limit the liberty of deer!) doesn’t want them to cross there. But what’s the point of telling deer, “Here is where we want you to cross?” This is madness!

Wilhelm ends her article in such a way that you can’t think she’s just kidding: “Yes, signs are important—to humans; ‘Stop’ signs, and others are more than just costly decorations scattered along the roadways. However, depending on the school district, most humans can read them, but animals not so much.” Oh, how charming! Depending on the school district! Get it? Because our schools are so bad, people can’t read the word stop. And animals can’t read at all. But she’s very clever there with that, “Not so much”!

You may be asking yourself, “Sure, she’s an idiot and that often does mean she’s a conservative. But how do you know?” Well, in the text I’ve quoted, I think it is pretty clear. There’s the assumption that the government just wastes money on stuff. (Interestingly: she looks old enough to be on Social Security, which I bet she doesn’t think is wasteful.) Regardless of that, she has written a lot of other things. Consider this golden oldie from right before last year’s election, Obama’s Going to Take Your Stuff!

Obama’s going to take your house, your car and anything you might have more of than the other guy or gal. Sad. Very sad, too, that 23 million Americans are without a job. They probably don’t have any stuff and are just praying for a place to sleep and eat. Infuriating, too, that under Obama for the first time in 100 years America’s credit rating has been downgraded. How did this happen? Obama promised “If I don’t fix the economy in three years, then I’ll be a one-term president.” Instead Obama’s promises focused on Obamacare with its taxes, death panels, abortions and doctors answering to government rather than patients. Obama dolled out—free cell phones, lots of entitlements, lies, and added his handpicked czars free from America’s Constitution ensuring no one branch of government becomes too powerful.

Yes my friends, Kathleen O’Brien Wilhelm is one of those people. She’s dangerous. You may have thought that Joe Scarborough was ignorant. But there are legions of people like Wilhelm out there who are willfully ignorant, believing in things that are patently false. (Death panels! Czars! Free cell phones!) And I’ll bet she has a lot of people who hang on her every word—people who right now are writing letters complaining about those wasteful deer crossing signs because, damn it, deer can’t read!

Cat Scratch Fever

Cat Scratch FeverI don’t think you appreciated me enough. You see, I suffer to bring you stories here and man did I suffer last night! I listened to the entirety of Ted Nugent’s Cat Scratch Fever. Of course, the only reason I listened to it is because Nugent is such a nut. But I kept an open mind, because I don’t expect artists I like to necessarily be sane. In fact, some of them are downright evil. As you may remember, I praised Adolf Hitler’s artwork recently. So via YouTube, I listened to the whole of Cat Scratch Fever in order, mostly looking at Ted’s stupid 1970s mustache.

On Wikipedia, where I went to get the track list, I found that AllMusic gave the album 4.5 stars (out of 5). I don’t hold to rock critics generally; their opinions of music seem to me almost random; they decide what mark they are going to give an album and then they justify it in the most pretentious way possible. But I’ve found that AllMusic is at least reasonable. And what’s more, I tend to agree with them about the arc of music careers; they are usually close in terms of what albums mark the high and low points of any given career. And in their opinion, Cat Scratch Fever is the high water mark of Nugent’s career.

The only song I remember hearing before is the title track. But it is hard to say because the album is shockingly generic. Even the title song barely breaks the water out of mediocrity. Again and again listening to the album I tried to imagine what was going on in popular music at that time. On the one hand, you had The Trammps’ amazing Disco Inferno. On the other, you had the Ramones’ glorious second album Leave Home. So it perhaps isn’t surprising that when it came to good ol’ fashioned rock, the bar was set pretty low.

What is remarkable about the album is how good the band is. These guys can play and yes, Ted Nugent really is an excellent guitarist. But for me, this works against the album. I like messy. I like out of control. And the Ted Nugent band sounds like a bunch of studio musicians—they are that good. So you have this mix of amateurish songwriting with top level but uninspired playing and producing. But I can see how people would have enjoyed this record at the time, especially as party music. And the band was doubtlessly fantastic live.

It’s weird, though. Ted Nugent is such a loose cannon. I thought his music would be wild. It makes me think that he really is what people like Bill O’Reilly always claim to be: just a character. Certainly, implying publicly that he was going to assassinate Obama if he were re-elected strikes me as pandering to an audience. I wonder how much of it is real. Regardless, Cat Scratch Fever is at best 90% product and 10% art. And I can’t image why anyone would be interested in listening to it today.

Afterword

The strongest track on the album is the unfortunately titled “Wang Dang Sweet Poontang.” As usual, the vocals are under mixed so you can’t easily make out the lyrics. (Smart producer!)

Universal Rights

Matt TaibbiMatt Taibbi wrote an interesting article about civilian drone killings, At Least We’re Not Measles: Rationalizing Drone Attacks Hits New Low. The article generally is an attack on all those (including an embarrassing number of liberals) who have been apologizing for these attacks. In particular, he goes after Michael Kugelman, who argues that we shouldn’t worry about drone deaths because more people in Pakistan die each year from measles. Great argument, huh?

But late in the article, Taibbi gets to an issue that is very close to my heart: universal rights.

This whole thing is crazy. In our own country, we don’t allow the government to torture criminal suspects and/or kill people without trial—because it’s wrong. If it’s wrong here, it’s wrong in Yemen or Iraq or Afghanistan; if it’s wrong to do it to an American citizen, it’s wrong to do it to a Pakistani. Our failure to recognize that and our increasingly desperate attempts to rationalize or legitimize this hideous program gives the entire world an automatic show of proof of American bigotry and stupidity.

I read the entire Constitution of the United States recently. What I found was that there are a total of 22 references of “citizen.” And pretty much without exception, these references have to do with voting: who can be president, senator, representative, and who can vote for them. I bring this up because back a while, I heard some people talking about how only citizens have rights of Habeas Corpus. This is what the Constitution says about this in Article I Section 9: “The privilege of the Writ of Habeas Corpus shall not be suspended, unless when in Cases of Rebellion or Invasion the public Safety may require it.” You see: no “citizen” there. Conservatives like to claim that the Bill of Rights is just about citizens. It isn’t. This goes back to the Declaration of Independence (and further), where Jefferson wrote, “We hold these truths to be self-evident, that all men are created equal…” That’s “all men” and not “all men who just happen to be born in a particular place.”

This is all about natural rights. Either these rights are universal, or they aren’t real. As a nation, we can’t run all over the world forcing other countries to treat their people by our standards of universal rights. But we also can’t deny those rights by running all over the world killing people without due process of law. Claiming that it is all okay because we are at war is just an apologia. We are always at war and so can always claim that. It is the same as claiming that we can kill anyone we want to because we are America. And if you scratch the surface of arguments like those of Michael Kugelman, that’s all that you’ll find.

This article was based in part on a prior article.

Bitching About Snickers Satisfies

My sister directed me to this Liberals4America Facebook page: While you were busy bitching about a guy who bought a Snickers with food stamps, this was happening to your tax dollars!

Exxon

What I find most disturbing about this is the guy bitching about the “abuse” of food stamps. In many cases, he’s a liberal, or at least liberal-leaning. But he’s the kind of guy that Republicans can get to vote for them. All they need is a candidate who says the magic words in the magic way—someone like Ronald Reagan or Marco Rubio. And this is the real problem that we face.

If we all stick together, we can do something about the most profitable company in the world not paying any taxes. But we can’t do a thing if conservatives manage to set us against each other. Sure, there are poor people who take advantage of the system. But they represent nothing compared to the rich people who take advantage of the system. That’s what we have to remember.

And there’s something else. Why do people think it is wrong to buy a Snickers with food stamps? We all enjoy junk food from time to time. Why is it that we expect the poor to lead ascetic lives? Isn’t there something wrong with all of us who want to punish people for the crime of being poor? Isn’t this just another example of assuming that poverty is the result of moral inadequacy? Shouldn’t the example of just about every rich person throughout history prove to us that this isn’t that case?

Let he who is without sin start the bitching!

Afterword

That tax refund of $156 million? That’s $5 per second. A common variation of this quotation is that in the time you were bitching, Exxon pocketed $9,000 of your taxes. That would be equivalent to a half hour of bitching. I wouldn’t doubt that the quote came from an annoyed liberal who had to listen to a friend complain for a half hour about this. I know people who will go on and on about this kind of thing. Kind of like complaining about a hangnail after your arm was just ripped off.

FISA: Don’t Hold The Phone

FISAYou gotta love this. You know the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act (FISA)? It’s the act that sets up courts to make sure that secret wiretaps of suspected foreign agents were all above board—that law enforcement agencies weren’t going crazy just wiretapping everyone. You may remember that the Bush administration was very unhappy with it because it was getting in the way of keeping America safe the way the administration did right up to the morning of 11 September 2001.

Funny thing about the FISA courts. The government has made 38,093 requests from 1979 through 2011. In that time, the FISA courts have denied—Wait for it!—just 11 requests. In fact, before 2003, they never denied a request. Of the 11 rejections since then, 10 were during the Bush administration. To some extent, this understates how much the FISA courts do. Often the courts get the government to modify their requests. These are things like, “You want 39 wiretaps, but we’re only gonna give you 38!” So it is still pretty bad.

What is most remarkable about this is that during the Bush administration, 14,353 requests were made (38% of all requests). And note: this is a much higher request rate than either of the administrations surround it. I think this means that the Bush administration was just generally more interested in spying than in protecting anyone. Nonetheless, given the very large number of requests and the the very low number of denials (0.07%), what was the big deal the administration made of the FISA courts?

Regardless of all this, we ought to take note of just how feckless is “government oversight.” The fact is that all of the power players in the public and private sectors are inbred. They take care of there own and under most circumstances they don’t care at all about the little people like you and me. If you see the American Revolution as a war between the people and the aristocracy, then we lost that war. The aristocracy won. And silly us who think that one part of the aristocracy is going to protect us from another.

H/T Matt Taibbi

Minimum Wage and EITC

Arindrajit DubeMike Konczal recently interviewed economist Arindrajit Dube about the minimum wage. In a blog post after the interview, Konczal explained something that Dube had talked about and it is really interesting. You see, there are people like Matt Yglesias who argue that the best way to help the poor is to give them money directly. Enacting things like the minimum wage just messes with the economy. So instead, we should raise their incomes directly through mechanisms like the Earned Income Tax Credit (EITC). Except that it isn’t that simple.

As Konczal notes, many economists complain that taxes do not necessarily fall on the people who are directly taxed. For example, they claim that corporate taxes just get passed onto consumers in the form of higher prices. (As I noted yesterday, this is nowhere near the whole story.) But when it works the other way, most economists are blind to it.

Here’s how it works. When the government gives poor people money through the EITC, it allows employers to pay them less. It is estimated that for every dollar given in EITC, employers siphon off 27 cents in lower wages. That’s a lot. That means that 27% of the EITC program goes to often very big companies. But wait…

Minimum wage to the rescue! By keeping the minimum wage at a reasonable level, it prevents companies from siphoning off money from the EITC, because they can’t reduce wages very much or at all. Thus, the minimum wage and EITC work in tandem to better help the working poor.

Unlike a lot of people who push the non-minimum wage line, Matt Yglesias is very open to new evidence. I’ll be very interested to see if he takes note of this.

Update (18 February 2013 3:35 pm)

Matt Yglesias has spoken. I think he’s being a little deceptive. As I recall, he came down on the EITC side of this discussion. But now, he is calling for Guaranteed Basic Income (GBI). This would be a government program that makes sure that everyone has some basic amount of money with which to live. He notes that this amount would effectively set a minimum wage because no one would work for less given that they get paid for doing nothing. I agree with him: a modern economy ought to be able to provide people with their essentials. And it is important to remember that this would help people take risks and try to build new products and services. As a man who has started a lot of companies, I can tell you that you think much more about the consequences of failure than you think of all the piles of money you will make if you are successful. Knowing you have a fallback is critical. But I still think that Yglesias is hedging.

Needed: More Drunk Witnesses

Sarah KliffSarah Kliff reported yesterday on research that shows, Drunk Eyewitnesses Are Just as Good as Sober Ones. The research was performed by researchers at the University of Gothenberg. They specifically looked at whether people who watch a video of a crime could identify the perpetrator in a line-up a week later. Half the subjects were drunk when they watched the video. And what a surprise! The drunk viewers were as good as the sober ones.

The reason this is the case is that people are really bad eyewitnesses—whether sober or drunk. But strangely, this does not seem to be the take away that the researchers get from the results. They note that many crimes happen where people are drunk. So now, in court we can use drunk witnesses without the fear of (mostly) defense attorneys arguing that the eyewitness testimony ought to be discarded.

I take the opposite from this research: sober people are no better eyewitnesses than drunks! Juries find eyewitness testimony extremely powerful. The last thing our justice system needs is more unreliable, often racist, eyewitness testimony.

It boggles my mind that criminal justice researchers would pitch their results in such an evil direction. Look, I’m all for convicting the guilty—at least when it comes to real crime, as opposed to moralistic “crime.” But our criminal justice system is too often more like a random conviction generator than anything else. But not completely random. If you’re white in the suburbs, you’re probably safe. If you’re black in a city: good luck! Because if you have bad luck, you’ll likely be picked out of a lineup by some drunk the police grabbed off the street.