Twilight of an Elite?

Twilight of the ElitesAs my regular readers know, I like Chris Hayes. He’s smart. He’s knowledgeable. And he’s cute as a button. If I had a son, I’d want him to be just like Chris Hayes, even though I know he would be much more like Ezra Klein. I was really looking forward to his new book, Twilight of the Elites: America After Meritocracy. Alas, it was a disappointment.

I think that Hayes is fundamentally misreading the history of our country. There haven’t been more failures over the last 30 years because the elites are worse than they used to be. Rather, in the past, we had elites on the left and the right. As long as that was the case, they kept each other in check. But since Carter (and especially since Clinton) the left has largely joined with the right.

Hayes is part of this problem. In the final (and best) chapter, he talks about how the anger on both the right and the left can be harnessed to fix our political problems. But I think this passage is very telling:

In fact, the two most energetic and important political movements of the aughts draw their popular constituency from the upper middle class: people with graduate school degrees, homes, second homes, kids in good colleges, and six-figure incomes.

Hayes, and I dare say most of the staff at The Nation and MSNBC, has a skewed sense of what “upper middle class” means. I think in terms of quintiles—and so does Hayes. The bottom 20% are the upper class; the next are the lower middle class; the next are the middle class; the next are the upper middle class; and the last are the upper class. It doesn’t matter to me how you want to subdivide that last category, if you are in it, you are upper class. It makes no difference that even Bill Gates has problems admitting that he is rich, if you are in the top 20%, you are upper class. This means if your household income is over roughly $90,000 per years you are upper class. I’m sorry if this puts editors at large at The Nation into that category. Yes, Chris, you are upper class, and until you admit to this, you won’t be able to remove the very real blinders of your class.

The other thing that has happened recently is that people like Hayes have accepted the idea that we are a meritocracy. We are not. We never have been. The idea that we can create a society in which there is equality of opportunity is as absurd as the idea that we can create a society in which there is equality of outcomes. The dumb child of a rich man will almost always do better than the smart child of a poor man—at least as long as we have an economic system that looks anything like the one we now have.

This always reminds of Tevye in Fidler on the Roof singing “If I Were a Rich Man.”[1] He notes that all the men of the villiage would come to him for advice. Why? “‘Cause when you’re rich they think you really know!” And even though Hayes admits that many of the elite should be traded in for new models, he still holds onto this idea that the elites were and could be again the “best and brightest.” It is a shockingly naive, and self-indulgent, belief—very much like the rich and famous who discover libertarianism because it tells them just what they want to believe about themselves: that handsome devil in the mirror is the best!

Despite all of this, Twilight of the Elites is a well written and thoughtful book. If you can get past its basic assumptions, there is much to like. The biggest of these is Hayes’ solution that we must strive for both equality of opportunity and equality of outcomes. I don’t tend to favor middle-way solutions, but this one strikes me as rather good. Unfortunately, it is about as likely to be implemented in the United States as is socialism. I won’t be holding my breath, nor will I be expecting an intellectual awaking from the Tea Party.[2]

Update (24 June 2012)

I really like this quote from the first chapter of the book:

And sure enough, the military is now the most trusted institution in all of American life, according to every poll on the topic, having managed to gain confidence from the public over the course of the decade. In the 2009 General Social Survey, the majority of Americans reported “a great deal” of trust in the armed forces. The only other institution that has seen its reputation improve and also commands “a great deal” of confidence from most Americans is the police. So while our legislative branch, the foundational pillar of our republic, is the least trusted institution in the country, out standing army and police forces are the most. Increasingly, we trust the men with the guns, not the men in suits.

The sound you hear is the founders rolling over in their graves.

Indeed.


[1] The song by the master, Zero Mostel :

[2] Hayes has a strange believe that the Tea Party folk are starting to wake up to the dangers big business pose to personal liberty. I think this too is extremely naive. We really need to look at the psychology that drives people. There is a reason that people would watch passively while hundreds of billions of dollars were given to the banks, but who organized the moment a black president tried to give healthcare to poor people. That shows this is not that they are unhappy about elite failure.

Ha-Joon Chang’s Excellent 23 Things

23 Things They Don't Tell You About CapitalismLast week I read Ha-Joon Chang’s exceptional 23 Things They Don’t Tell You About Capitalism. Frankly, I’m smitten with Chang. Andrea claims I have some kind of man-crush on Paul Krugman. There is no doubt that I am very impressed by this ability to make economics[1] understandable, his insightful explanations of what is going on now, and his breezy writing style. But he is distinctly more conservative than I am. What’s more, he is more in the mainstream of economics and more committed to a lot of its questionable paradigms. Chang is different.

As the title of this book indicates, he discusses 23 myths of economics—free market economics, to be specific. Everyone should read this book, especially conservatives. I have a feeling that most conservatives would find the book compelling, because it shows that a lot of the “free market” rhetoric that is taken for granted on both the right and left in this country is nothing more than mythology. It will provoke that great conservative question, “You mean they’ve been lying to me all these years?!”

In the first chapter Chang takes on the very idea of a free market. He also discusses a repugnant attitude that we see among free market economists that they are just following the facts:

So, when free-market economists say that a certain regulation should not be introduced because it would restrict the “freedom” of a certain market, they are merely expressing a political opinion that they reject the rights that are to be defended by the proposed law. Their ideological cloak is to pretend that their politics is not really political, but rather is an objective economic truth, while other people’s politics is political. However, they are as politically motivated as their opponents.

Later as an example showing that people in rich countries are overpaid relative to people in poor countries, he presents bus drivers in Sweden and India. The Swedish bus driver makes 50 times as much as the Indian, but most likely the Indian is actually a better driver given the poor roads and unexpected obstacles like cows. Regardless, who could believe the Swedish bus driver is really 50 times as productive as the Indian?

He goes on to quote Warren Buffet:

I personally think that society is responsible for a very significant percentage of what I’ve earned. If you stick me down in the middle of Bangladesh or Peru or someplace, you’ll find out how much this talent is going to produce in the wrong kind of soil. I will be struggling thirty years later. I work in a market system that happens to reward what I do very well—disproportionately well.

Chang especially hates this idea that we live in an information or post-industrial world. Here he provides the example of Switzerland:

[M]any people think that Switzerland lives off the stolen money deposited in its bands by Third World dictators or by selling cowbells and cuckoo clocks[2] to Japanese and American tourists, but it is actually one of the most industrialized economies in the world.

One issue close to my heart is this idea that the United States is the richest country in the world. We’re number one! We’re number one! These are the cries of a dying empire. But Chang notes that a big part of this perception outside the United States has to do with our inequality:

One reason why we get that impression is that the US is much more unequal than the European countries and therefore looks more properous to foreign visitors than it really is—foreign visitors to any country rarely get to see the deprived parts, of which the US has many more than Europe.

What is most impressive about 23 Things They Don’t Tell You About Capitalism is that Chang goes after all of the counter arguments. Many times while I read it I thought, “Yeah, but…” And the next thing in the book would be an argument that destroyed that counter argument. The book is also highly readable. I can’t recommend it highly enough.

Here are the 23 Things:

  1. There is no such thing as a free market
  2. Companies should not be run in the interest of their owners
  3. Most people in rich countries are paid more than they should be
  4. The washing machine has changed the world more than the internet has
  5. Assume the worst about people and you get the worst
  6. Greater macroeconomic stability has not made the world economy more stable
  7. Free-market policies rarely make poor countries rich
  8. Capital has a nationality
  9. We do not live in a post-industrial age
  10. The US does not have the highest living standard in the world
  11. Africa is not destined for underdevelopment
  12. Governments can pick winners
  13. Making rich people richer doesn’t make the rest of us richer
  14. US managers are over-priced
  15. People in poor countries are more entrepreneurial than people in rich countries
  16. We are not smart enough to leave things to the market
  17. More education in itself is not going to make a country richer
  18. What is good for General Motors is not necessarily good for the United States
  19. Despite the fall of communism, we are still living in planned economies
  20. Equality of opportunity may not be fair
  21. Big government makes people more open to change
  22. Financial markets need to become less, not more, efficient
  23. Good economic policy does not require good economists

[1] Economics makes my brain hurt:

[2] This short speech from The Third Man apparently was written by Welles himself instead of Graham Greene. Similarly, in Jaws, the best speech was written by Robert Shaw. You can watch it on YouTube.

Conservative Energy Priorities

SolyndraBrad Plumer over at WonkBlog is writing about activists calling for an end to the $775 billion per year spent to subsidize the oil, gas, and coal industries. In the United States alone, it is over $11 billion per year. It really is shocking, because these industries are hugely profitable.

Contrast this with the conservative freak out over a half billion dollars lost on the investment in Solyndra. Leaving aside the fact that the government is supposed to invest in risky industries that aren’t well supported by the private sector, the amount of money is tiny compared to what we give to rich fossil-fuel companies. Subsidies for nuclear power are similarly huge.

As Corey Robin has written about, conservatives are really only interested in maintaining power structures. So it isn’t that they are against subsidies; they are against subsidies to companies that might upset the interests of those currently in power. Once solar is a hugely profitable, hegemonic industry, conservatives won’t mind showering them with many billions of dollars every year.

The Other Evil

Colin PowellThere were several things that I was going to write today, but it is too darn hot.[1] So I’m going to just quickly note that Colin Powell is on a book tour hocking what looks to be a real POS, It Worked for Me: In Life and Leadership.

On The Daily Show he said the book can be summed up by the first and last of his “13 rules” of leadership. (Like all that leadership he showed at the UN.) Rather than quote these rules (which would be tiresome), I will just boil them down to their essence: have a positive attitude! So now you don’t have to buy this $27.99 waste of paper. First, now you know what’s in the book. Second, now you know that what’s in the book is not true.

To take this in a different direction, people are often told that having a positive attitude will help them beat cancer. This is not only untrue, it is cruel. Similarly, if you keep losing 10% of your troops in every battle, no amount of cheer leading is going to bring morale up.

Why is it that people with nothing to say continue to get million dollar advances to say it? And Powell didn’t even write it. The book was written by hired gun Tony Koltz who is well known for the other books he wrote that were “written” by famous people.

Colin Powell shows that you don’t have to be good to have a good reputation. All you have to do is surround yourself with people who are worse than you. Using this simple rule, which I’m sure is not in It Worked for Me, you will always be loved. Colin Powell: the other evil politician!


[1] Kiss Me Kate:

Vive la république!

I Voted TodayI was talking to Will this morning and he asked how I was going to vote Prop. 29, the California cigarette tax. I told him that I thought it was a good idea. He countered that he didn’t like the idea of making smokers, who are generally poor in more than one way, pay this tax. If he could tax the cigarette companies, he would feel much better about it.

The fact is that the cigarette tax is going to be approved overwhelmingly. But Will was still struggling with the right way to vote on it. He isn’t alone. Most people I talk to take voting very seriously. They don’t consider what the polls say. For most people—and this includes most devoutly religious people—voting is the most sacred act they perform.

We should at least have a system where people are compelled to register to vote, like they have in New Zealand. Or a system where people are automatically registered to vote, like they have in Finland.[1] In fact, I am for compulsory voting, like they have long had in Australia. And just in case there are any libertarians out there, this is not a question of freedom. Citizenship implies certain responsibilities and if voting is not one, the concept has no meaning.

Not to mention that we cannot win if we do not play.[2]

So to all those people who take their citizenship seriously today, I salute you. Vive la république!

Update

I was wrong. The cigarette tax went down. Vive la corporation! So neither of the ballot measures went the way I wanted. Typical.


[1] Finland, Finland, Finland! The country where I want to be!

[2] Here is Little Stevie Orbit:

A Tale of Two Stories

This morning, Will sent me two stories from the Press Democrat that are revealing. Sunday, we have A flurry of flipping. It tells a glowing story of Blue Mountain Realty:

In an unprecedented effort to buy and flip distressed properties in Sonoma County, a Vacaville company has purchased more than $15 million worth of foreclosed homes across the county in the past six months.

And then on Monday, we have Funding for affordable housing dries up:

Even as Sonoma County faces tremendous demand for government-subsidized apartments, affordable housing proponents say[1] the money to pay for new projects is drying up.

Housing groups expect to lose $1 billion a year in redevelopment funds as a result of recent cutbacks. Other state and federal funds have been reduced or eliminated.

You would think that the loss of $1 billion dollars in yearly funding would be a bigger story than some vulture capitalist spending $15 million total to flip properties. And maybe it is. But the house flipping story was twice as long as the affordable housing story. But you know how it is: poor people are so depressing. And rich people are fun.

The rich get richer. The poor get poorer. And anyone who notes this fact is engaged in class warfare.


[1] Note how the amount of money Blue Mountain Realty has spent is just a fact. You can trust a company! But money for affordable housing may or may not be drying up. Proponents say it is. But you can’t trust these do-gooders. What’s more, they don’t deserve the time it takes to research the claim.

KISS Doesn’t Want to Hire a Vet

KISS SucksI don’t know where exactly I saw it, but there was a headline that read, “KISS Wants to Hire Vet.”[1] My reaction was immediate. I thought, “Interesting. The most clownish band has decided to become even more ridiculous by having animals in their stage show.”

I couldn’t have been more wrong. KISS just wanted to hire a roadie who they wanted to be a military veteran. Well, that’s not quite right. They wanted to get publicity by claiming to be good Americans by giving what is effectively lip services to the “support our troops” meme.

In the end, KISS didn’t hire a veteran. They hired a military retiree. There are a lot of veterans who are truly unemployed. KISS chose not to hire one.


[1] There are lots with this headline. Here is CBS affiliate WHP-TV.

Krugman vs. Austerians

Paul KrugmanThis is great.

In this country, I’ve noticed that people who disagree with Paul Krugman tend to simply ignore his arguments and call him crazy. Last night, he was on the BBC’s Newnight, debating vulture capitalist Jon Moulton and conservative MP Andrea Leadsom. The two came out swinging and got bloodied. Leadsom claimed that Krugman’s view was “reckless.”

The daring duo presented the same old discredited arguments we’ve heard before. Leadsom: we have to cut our way to prosperity! Krugman: we aren’t a household; your spending is my income. Moulton: our government is too big! Krugman: larger governments are doing better; you just want to use the crisis to enact policy you’ve always be in favor of.

Watch it, it’s great:

I like the tired conservative line that everyone will start their own businesses. And the idea that people aren’t starting businesses because of all the regulations? If people want to start a business they will do it the time honored way: illegally.

It is nice to see these fucktards put in their places. Of course, they’ve learned nothing. If all the evidence from Europe hasn’t convinced them then nothing will. Besides, there is the Upton Sinclair Dictum: it is difficult to get a man to understand something, when his salary depends upon his not understanding it.

The Austerity Agenda

In Krugman’s column tomorrow, he writes:

Over the past few days, I’ve posed that question [why the austerians promote a policy that is backwards] to a number of supporters of the government of Prime Minister David Cameron, sometimes in private, sometimes on TV. And all these conversations followed the same arc: They began with a bad metaphor and ended with the revelation of ulterior motives.

The bad metaphor — which you’ve surely heard many times — equates the debt problems of a national economy with the debt problems of an individual family. A family that has run up too much debt, the story goes, must tighten its belt. So if Britain, as a whole, has run up too much debt — which it has, although it’s mostly private rather than public debt — shouldn’t it do the same? What’s wrong with this comparison?

…

When the private sector is frantically trying to pay down debt, the public sector should do the opposite, spending when the private sector can’t or won’t. By all means, let’s balance our budget once the economy has recovered — but not now. The boom, not the slump, is the right time for austerity.

…

So why have so many politicians insisted on pursuing austerity in slump? And why won’t they change course even as experience confirms the lessons of theory and history?

Well, that’s where it gets interesting. For when you push “austerians” on the badness of their metaphor, they almost always retreat to assertions along the lines of: “But it’s essential that we shrink the size of the state.”

…

So the austerity drive in Britain isn’t really about debt and deficits at all; it’s about using deficit panic as an excuse to dismantle social programs. And this is, of course, exactly the same thing that has been happening in America.

Yep.

Pretend Scientist Fred Singer

Fred Singer

When I was a global change scientist, I had occasion to hang out with Fred Singer. This isn’t surprising, because I was an iconoclast in a group of iconoclasts. And the fact is that at that time (the early 1990s), there was a lot to doubt about global warming. The models weren’t that good and we hadn’t seen the dramatic temperature increases that we’ve had the last decade and a half.

Fred was an interesting guy. He was really into gadgets—a true early adopter. And he liked to be the one beating up on the existing paradigm. But I noticed something about him that bothered me even then. He seemed inclined to cherry pick data. He just wasn’t interested in data that went against his belief that global warming was nothing.

At that time, I was very much under the spell of James Lovelock and the idea that humans could not change the world because it was its own organism. This all depended upon negative climate feedbacks, and a lot of us were out looking for them. Unfortunately, they never appeared. The more I looked, the more it looked like the climate system was dangerously unstable. But Fred Singer didn’t see climate science inside a framework of the Gaia Hypothesis. Instead, it seemed political.

On Monday, I saw that the Heartland Institute, a free market think tank[1], had put up the following billboard for their upcoming climate conference:

Heartland Global Warming Billboard

At first, I didn’t get the meaning of this sign. I thought it meant, “Even someone as crazy as Ted believes in global warming, why don’t you?” But that’s not it. Instead, it means, “Only people as crazy as Ted believe in global warming, why do you?” And this is why I am never invited to focus groups.

The Heartland Institute triggered my Fred Singer alarm. I somehow thought he might be involved. And he is. At least, he has published with them. But checking out Wikipedia, I found that he had written an OpEd regarding the “Climategate” scandal. From the Wikipedia article:

In December 2009, after the release of thousands of e-mails from the University of East Anglia’s Climatic Research Unit—a controversy that came to be known as “Climategate”—Singer wrote an opinion piece for Reuters in which he said the scientists had misused peer review, pressured editors to prevent publication of alternative views, and smeared opponents. He said the leaked e-mails showed that the “surface temperature data that IPCC relies on is based on distorted raw data and algorithms that they will not share with the science community.” He argued that the incident exposed a flawed process, and that the temperature trends were heading downwards even as greenhouse gases like CO2 were increasing in the atmosphere. He wrote: “This negative correlation contradicts the results of the models that IPCC relies on and indicates that anthropogenic global warming (AGW) is quite small,” concluding “and now it turns out that global warming might have been ‘man made’ after all.” A British House of Commons Science and Technology Select Committee later issued a report that largely exonerated the scientists.

In other words, Fred Singer was totally wrong, but used the opportunity to push his conservative political agenda. And that’s just what I expect from him.


[1] It seems strange to me to call such places think tanks when they are mostly just propaganda mills. And the problem is pretty much only on the right. It is very much like Fox News — it is hard to call it news, because it isn’t.

Klan Members for Obama!

<%image(20120520-kkk.jpg|450|308|Klu Klux Klan and Their Fabulous Outfits)%>

Jim Lo Scalzo spent last summer in Southwestern Virginia taking pictures of the resurgent Klu Klux Klan. Before we get to the great article he wrote for Bag News, I feel I must tell you that I had no idea the Klan outfits were so beautiful. They are really gorgeous. If they would embrace their inner gayness, I think they might get over all that hate.

Scalzo noticed something in his discussions with Klan members: they often surprised him.

For example, one wrote to him about visiting the Rosa Parks museum in Alabama. According to this guy who hates blacks, it was great and shouldn’t be missed. (Remember this: the Rosa Parks Museum is a “must see” if you are in Alabama. If a bigot doesn’t know, who does?)

When it comes to economic justice, the Klan members tend toward the liberal. This isn’t exactly surprising. I think the vast majority of Republicans would sound very liberal if you got them off the subject of “all my tax dollars going to undeserving minorities.”

Scalzo write:

Last summer’s budget battle between President Obama and congressional Republicans seemed to crystallize the economic clash as one between the haves and have-nots—a dynamic not lost on those I was photographing. Even if most Klan members did not admit siding with president Obama, they openly railed against Republican budget proposals, specifically the GOP’s attempts to cut social programs like Medicaid and food stamps while maintaining tax breaks for the wealthy.

Klu Klux Klan for Obama, 2012. When you start seeing the bumper stickers, remember you read it here first.

“Power Players” on Jeopardy! Out of Touch

Jeopardy!This week on the game show Jeopardy! they are presenting “Power Players,” which is basically media figures. Tonight the show featured evil spawn of an arguably great man, Chris Wallace; proof that anyone can become a doctor and have their own TV show, Dr Oz; and hardly great but the British press are almost always better than their American peers, Katty Kay.

Early on, two “answers” really struck me. The first was, “The tax credit only poor workers qualify for.” The answer (obviously) is “Earned.” The second was, “Keynes’ book ‘The General Theory of this, Interest and Money’.” The answer (obviously) is “Employment.” Not one of these “Power Players” got these “questions.”

This made me think that the reason must be that they don’t have to worry about things like earning money and being employed. These are society’s elite. They don’t need to think about the stuff that occupies the Little People.

When the show started, I wondered, “Why would these people go on Jeopardy! when they might embarrass themselves?” I found the answer very quickly. The “answers” were trivial compared to those normal contestants (“Little People”) face. You know, this is the way it has to be: the lives of these “Power Players” aren’t easy enough.

Letter to the Editor

The Cause Eric AltermanI always look forward to Fridays, for many reasons, but especially because Eric Alterman releases his blog post that day where he also has at least one of his own articles and one by Reed Richardson. Last week, I clicked over to The Nation where Alterman keeps his blog, Altercation, and… Nothing! I knew he wasn’t gone for good; he’s an institution: a liberal curmudgeon—and so precocious! He just published The Cuase: The Fight for American Liberalism from Franklin Roosevelt to Barack Obama,[1] which I have, but haven’t gotten to because I am too busy devouring Michelle Alexander’s important The New Jim Crow and I got sidetracked reading some policy candy that I promised myself I wouldn’t read: Paul Krugman’s End This Depression Now!

So I figured that maybe Alterman took the week off. This did not stop me, however, from clicking to The Nation on Saturday morning, only to find his new page was up. I was so giddy that I sent off the following missive that he published this week:

“Wehw!” I said, wiping the sweat from my brow with the back of my hand.

“When you weren’t here on Friday, I thought you had abandoned me!”

“No grasshopper,” Eric Alterman said. “I would never abandon my reading public.”

“Even for a book tour?” I asked.

“Even for a book tour,” he said.

And all was calm.

Alterman appears to like my sense of humor, because this is the second cheeky letter of mine he’s published this year. Or it could be that I’m the only one who writes to him. I like this approach to commenting on written works. The standard method in the blogosphere of everyone with an opinion piling on strikes me as largely a waste of time. The few good comments are overwhelmed in a sea of trash. I would rather go back to the old magazine model where only the few letters deemed worth while are published so that a reasonable number of people would actually take the time to read them. I understand that there is a strong narcissistic aspect to commenting (or writing) in any way. But in the new model, it seems worse because it is so much more useless.


[1] The book is co-written with Kevin Mattson. According to Eric Alterman, Mattson wrote the first draft and Alterman greatly expanded it and wrote every word in this version. My question: why when Alterman does this, he’s the first author in a larger font and when I do it, I’m handed a bit of cash and told to disappear?