Idiosyncrasy, Authenticity, and Blogging

Andrew SullivanIs blogging dead? Many people are greeting the blogging retirement of Andrew Sullivan as a sign that it is. This is preposterous. I can’t really speak about what he does, because I actively avoid him. But what most people think of as blogging is someone famous for something else who also has a blog. That’s not what it is. I enjoy reading Jonathan Chait, for example, but his “blog” is just a side thing he does because “everyone has to have a blog.” But there is nothing about his “blog” that speaks about him. It’s just brief articles that are written by him — every couple of days.

I know what people mean when they talk about blogs. They look back at 2003 when blogs were just finding their way. There was still a lot of interaction: blog to blog communication. Clearly, that is a thing of the past. But as far as I can tell, that was mostly useless. And I still see vestiges of it in modern blogs. People will post a brief introduction and then just quote someone — often unedited. I don’t like that. It strikes me as lazy. (Of course, I have something similar with my quotations.) But this seems to be what people think of as the glory days of blogging.

But I think if people were to go back to early days of blogging, what they would find is that the blogosphere looks very much like it does today. I think it is just that because it was new, it seemed a lot more exciting. The idea that nobodies could contradict establishment media figures seemed revolutionary. And it was revolutionary and now we find ourselves in a different media world. But that revolution had nothing to do with Andrew Sullivan. He became editor of New Republic in 1991 — almost a decade before he started blogging. I’m sure Sullivan could have gotten a good circulation if he had started a newsletter. So who cares?

The truth is that the blog is what replaced the mimeographed zines of the 1980s. If the blog is dead, it is just one idea of the blog: the blog as a marketing tool. Jonathan Chait’s “blog” isn’t a reaction to not having another platform for his ideas. He blogs to market New York Magazine. Even Paul Krugman uses his blog simply to work out ideas for his twice weekly columns for The New York Times. For the 14 “Daily Reads” I list on the right, only six are what I think of as blogs: Beat the Press, Booman Tribune, Economist’s View, The Equitablog, Hullabaloo, and Incident Economist. And even among these sites, I’m mostly pushing the definition. Incident Economist, for example, is largely a repository for The Upshot cross posts and Aaron Carroll’s Healthcare Triage videos. And it doesn’t accept comments.

I think that much of the commentariat want it both ways. They want blogs to be freewheeling, exciting, personal. But they also want them to get huge amounts of traffic and be impactful. And this is why the “blogs” that major outlets put up are blogs only in that they use blogging software. They reflect the organization first and the writer second. If I were to sum up Frankly Curious in three ideas, it would be: Don Quixote, puppets, and left wing politics. It is not a recipe for huge amounts of traffic, but it does reflect who I am better than any other work that I’ve ever done.

There once was a blogosphere that was exciting and idiosyncratic. Then all the media outlets came in and added to that blogosphere. But as they were corporations, they soon found a way to make their blogs as careful and inoffensive as their regular output. And then everyone bemoaned the end of the blogosphere. But the blogosphere hadn’t gone anywhere. It was just that many in the media lost site of what blogging was. They mistook a faster publishing schedule for blogging. But I don’t think that was ever blogging. It was just a reaction to blogging. That’s what media outlets do. It wasn’t as egregious as taking Fats Domino and creating Pat Boone. But it’s no more authentic.

Inequality Is Bad for the Rich

Robert FrankI’ve been studying inequality for more than 30 years, and for most of that time it’s been an issue well out of the limelight. And so I’ve been delighted to see it enter the political conversation in a big way recently.

But something major is missing from that conversation, which centers on questions of fairness. Fairness clearly matters, but focusing on it presupposes a zero-sum competition between different classes. That’s consistent with the conventional view that inequality is good for the rich and bad for the poor, and so the rich should favor it while the poor should oppose it. But the conventional view is wrong.

High levels of inequality are bad for the rich, too, and not just because inequality offends norms of fairness. As I’ll explain, inequality is also extremely wasteful.

It’s easy to demonstrate that growing income disparities have made life more difficult not just for the poor, but also for the economy’s ostensible winners — the very wealthy. The good news is that a simple change in tax policy could free up literally trillions of dollars a year without requiring painful sacrifices from anyone…

—Robert Frank
Why Have Weddings and Houses Gotten so Ridiculously Expensive? Blame Inequality.

House’s 56th Repeal Vote Doesn’t Mean Anything

John BoehnerMichael Hiltzik published what is the best headline I’ve read in a long time, New “Productive” Congress Takes a Vote… to Repeal Obamacare. Thus far, only the House has voted. This is their 56th repeal vote. It’s shocking. It is impossible not to ask why the Republicans think they are in Congress. I’m not someone who thinks that Congress should get something — anything — done. But the people in Congress should be working on the same stuff that they would be working on if they did have control of Congress and White House. These endless repeal votes are nothing but messages sent to their base. And I understand that some of this is to be expected. But 56 votes?!

To make matters worse, John Boehner provided the lamest excuse I have ever heard, “We have 47 new members of Congress on the Republican side who have never had a chance to cast their vote to repeal Obamacare.” What are they? Grammar school children? They have to go on yet another field trip to the zoo because some of the children have never had a chance to see a caged rhino? This is madness. What’s more, it’s silly. The idea seems to be that these Republicans need to prove that they are serious about repealing Obamacare to their bases. But everyone knows such a vote is meaningless as long as Obama is in the White House. Would all these Republicans really vote to repeal Obamacare if it actually would take healthcare away from their constituencies? I’m not sure. So the 56th repeal Obamacare vote is even pointless as a symbol.

Some — like Greg Sargent and Jamelle Bouie — are saying that this does not bode well for Obamacare if the Supreme Court decides to muck things up with King v Burwell. This is the case that uses one small contradictory passage in the new healthcare law to argue that people in the 36 states that don’t run their own exchanges. The argument then goes: if the Republicans are even now voting to repeal Obamacare, they certainly won’t be willing to make the trivial fix to it to overcome the Supreme Court challenge.

I don’t think it is as simple as this. For one thing, the Republicans may hate the poor, but they love big corporations. Hobbling Obamacare at this point would be very bad for business. Now I’m sure that there will be a lot of Republicans who will continue on with their foolish and dangerous behavior. But I don’t think the Republican Party as a whole will. It’s just like shutting down the government or breaching the Debt Ceiling. These are great issues to grandstand on. But they are not nearly as popular when the grandstanding actually means something.

Hiltzik noted an interesting situation that the Republicans find themselves in. If they do nothing to fix the problem that is before the court, the justices may decide that finding against the law is too harming and decide to uphold it. But approving this simple one-sentence fix would be seen by many as a vote in favor of Obamacare. Of course, we know what the Republicans are going to do: nothing. And if the Supreme Court finds against the law, we will see more support for doing something than we now do.

The bottom line is that the Republicans get lots that is positive and nothing that is negative for voting to repeal Obamacare at this time. We aren’t going to see what they really think until their votes actually mean something. So I don’t see the 56th repeal vote as any more significant than the 55th. Hiltzik is right that politically, it looks bad. But I don’t think the American people ever believed Boehner and McConnell when they claimed that they were going to start governing.

IBM CEO Gets Big Raise for Bad Performance

Virginia RomettyDid you get a 6.7% salary increase this year? Of course you didn’t! You’re a Frankly Curious reader. You work for a living. A 6.7% raise is more than the cost of living. And if there is one iron rule in the Land of Opportunity™, it is that the American worker should never see any gain from her increased productivity. She should feel grateful that she even has a job! Of course, the situation is quite different for the people at the top of our economy. In a bizarre kind of logic that I’ve never understood, if someone is rich, she must constantly see improvements in her salary. Otherwise, she might have her feeling hurt and not be a “job creator.” Or something.

Consider IBM Chairman and CEO Virginia Rometty. She got a 6.7% raise this year. But it hardly matters. Given all the other salary increases, I doubt she will notice it. As it is, it is only an extra $100,000 per year. That’s right: her base salary raise is not even quite double the median income of two American households. But I suppose that Rometty will struggle through this clear insult because of other compensation that she’s getting. For example, she’s getting a $3.6 million bonus for last year. She’s also getting a $13.3 million stock incentive. But she’s going to have to wait a whole three years to cash that out. I just hope her children can wait that long for new shoes.

According to the power elite in this country, such largess is the result of just how productive people like Rometty are. But Michael Hiltzik has provided the low down on this one, IBM Redefines Failure as “success,” Gives Underachieving CEO Enormous Raise. Rometty’s performance has been impressive in a certain way:

Here’s the record for 2014 the board thought was good enough to warrant a raise for Rometty: IBM’s revenue declined by nearly 6%, and net income by 27%. IBM shares began 2014 at a dividend-adjusted $183.12 and ended the year at 160.44%, a decline of 12.4%. During that period, the Standard & Poor’s 500 index rose 12.4%. (As we write on Monday, IBM has fallen further to $152.12.) IBM has been the worst performing stock on the Dow Jones Industrial Average for two years running.

My take on the whole thing is that her performance doesn’t matter. When CEOs get bonuses because their companies were more profitable, it is rarely because of the CEO. It is much more likely to be the vagaries of the economy. Yet the CEOs and all the other high level executives get huge bonuses because of this. The workers, of course, do not. And that is the critical fact in all of this. Among the Skull and Bones crowd, there were girls you slept with, and girls you married. When those boys grew up, they understood just as well that there are people who get bonuses, and people who don’t. And we are the people who don’t.

Hiltzik pointed out that the four IBM board members who approved Rometty’s raise are all former CEOs. So the move isn’t surprising, “Corporate CEOs are, as a species, known for a sense of entitlement that could make $17 million in raises, bonuses, and ‘incentive compensation’ seem like punishment.” That sentence is like a soothing bath: just to hear the word “entitlement” used to describe the rich! It is entirely correct, but also rarely unheard. According to most in the mainstream media, “entitlement” is something that poor people feel.

This is all part of what I wrote earlier, We Need to Embrace Class. The issue is not that the rich are different from the rest of us. The issue is that everyone thinks that they are different. And that’s why an unsuccessful CEO can be given $17 million in extra compensation for manning her company on its long trip into irrelevance. Because the rich can never be allowed to fail. Because the rich must be constantly pandered to. Because the rich are rich!

Jennifer Jason Leigh

Jennifer Jason LeighThe great actor Jennifer Jason Leigh is 53 years old today. How great is she? Is she even great? I don’t know. I’ve had a crush on her for decades. But there are three films that she stars in that I think are really good: The Hudsucker Proxy, Dolores Claiborne, and eXistenZ.

It isn’t surprising that she really came to my attention in The Hudsucker Proxy. In it, she does her own — over the top — version of Rosalind Russell in His Girl Friday — one of my all time favorite films that I still watch regularly. Tim Robbins actually kind of annoys me in The Hudsucker Proxy, but Leigh more than makes up for that. But it remains a lesser Coen Brothers outing. Here’s the “I’ll stake my Pulitzer on it!” scene:

Dolores Claiborne is a really fine film, although deeply disturbing even as it also contains great humanity. Leigh again plays a journalist, but this time a deeply screwed up one. It’s an interesting film in that her character is actually what the story is about. Check it out if you get a chance. Here is a representative scene:

eXistenZ is a great film. And almost no one has seen it. I’ve been an evangelist for the film. But I get very few takers. I’ve given it out many times. I’ve purchased it at least five times. What do I have to do? It should at least be a cult classic, but it has managed to avoid even that. (Note: the following scene only has about 4,000 views, even though it was released over three years ago by a huge YouTube channel.) Regardless, Leigh is great in it:

Happy birthday Jennifer Jason Leigh!

Flutes and Fashions

Flute: Inline and Offset G KeysWhen I was younger, I played the flute as seriously as I did anything else. I gave up when my flute teacher began pressuring me to (a) buy a $2,000 flute, and (b) start running every day. It was the second of these that was probably the deal breaker. I was very keen on having a better flute. I had been struggling with a student model for years. In particular, my flute did not play very well in tune. It required constant adjustments in my embouchure. I was certain that a better flute would help. At this point, I have no idea if I was right.

As I recall it, there were really two primary differences between a student and a professional flute. The first is that the student flute has an offset G key and the professional has an inline G key. That must mean that the inline G key is better, right? Well, I did a little research recently, and people no longer think this. The offset G key has a couple of advantages. First, it hangs off a separate rod, so the mechanism is stronger. Second, it is in a more normal position for the left third finger. So it is less likely to cause carpal tunnel syndrome.

Flute: Open and Closed HolesThe situation now is that most professional flutes come with offset G keys. So why did every professional flutist have an inline G key when I was playing? Fashion. I’m not sure what the history was. It could have been a very famous flutist liked them. Or it could be that the offset G innovation was first developed by someone making cheap flutes. Regardless, it wasn’t based on anything objective. It was just another example of humans following the herd.

The second difference between a student and a professional flute was that the latter had open holes. Surely the open hole flute was far superior, right? Well… I’ve always considered the open hole flute a kind of villainy of musical pedagogy. If a flute needs to have open holes, why have students learn on flutes with closed holes so they can develop lots of bad habits that they will have to break later? I suppose an argument can be made, but only if open hole flutes really are a whole lot better.

So are they? No. Jennifer Cluff, a flute instructor up in Canada, put together an excellent article on the subject, Open-Hole Flute Versus Closded Hole flute. She explained that open hole flutes don’t sound any better. It isn’t clear that they play any better in tune. And they may encourage carpal tunnel syndrome the same way that the inline G flutes do. But there is one way that open hole flutes are better:

[I]n modern times because open-holes allow more use of extended techniques and special fingerings for specific uses (tuning, harmonics, special effects.) professionals want to be ready, willing, and able to play this music.

So now open hole flutes are necessary because composers have written especially for them. Before, flutists had open hole flutes. Because it was the fashion. Now flutists must have open hole flutes because of this history. Cluff plays an open hole flute, but for normal performance, she plugs all the holes except for the F key. The F key is controlled by the right first finger, and so would be the least taxing open hole to manage.

I’m just fascinated that these aspects of flute design that were just taken to be scientific fact were just fashion all the time. It goes right along with what I talk about a lot: we are not nearly as rational as we think we are.

Afterword

Jennifer Cluff is a great flutist. And she introduced me to a great Canadian composer, Srul Irving Glick. He studied with Darius Milhaud — a composer I have admired for a long time. Glick is not as charming as Milhaud, but still beautiful. Here is a rehearsal for the first movement of Glick’s “Sonata.” It is lovely. It reminds me in some ways of Poulenc but with more of a Ravel kind of harmonic sense. Give it a listen:

Free Beacon Shows Ignorance Trying for Gotcha

The Washington Free Beacon: Lying for Conservatives Since 2012!

There has been a lot of discussion of vaccines these past few days. For some reason, all the potential 2016 presidential candidates have been asked if they think that measles vaccines cause autism. For the record, they don’t. If vaccines caused autism, someone would have noticed it a very long time ago and there would be no question. But whatever.

The Republicans have not done a good job in responding to these questions. There is Chris Christie who comes off as, I don’t know, a total hypocrite when he says that parents ought to be able to do anything they want, after he quarantined a nurse for clearly political purposes. But even worse was Doctor Rand Paul. He thinks generally that vaccines are a good thing. But parents shouldn’t be forced to give them to there kids because, you know, freedom. Or rather slavery:

I think the parent should have some input. The state doesn’t own your children; parents own the children and it is an issue of freedom.

The mind boggles. Paul, of course, is very much an anti-choice guy. So apparently, once a child is born, the parents own it. But before birth, the state owns it. Or it is a full citizen that must be protected. But not against measles.

But the smart people at The Washington Free Beacon thought it a good idea to protect their conservative heroes. So they launched a shot across the bow, When Hillary and Obama Gave Credence to Anti-Vaccine Theories. Back in 2008, it seems, both Clinton and Obama equivocated regarding vaccines. During his race for the White House, Obama said, “We’ve seen just a skyrocketing autism rate. Some people are suspicious that it’s connected to the vaccines. This person included. The science right now is inconclusive, but we have to research it.” At the same time, Clinton said the much less provocative, “I am committed to make investments to find the causes of autism, including possible environmental causes like vaccines.”

And now they are both claiming the opposite. Obama recently said, “The science is, you know, pretty indisputable.” And Clinton tweeted:

And the conservative crowd goes wild!

But wait. There’s something different about these claims. Oh, I know: they are separated by seven years! I wonder if anything happened during those seven years that would move the thinking of a thoughtful person from “suspicious” to “indisputable”? Perhaps science? The suspicion about vaccines came from a 1998 Lancet article that linked autism to the MMR vaccine. In 2004, a major conflict of interest was discovered and most of the co-authors on the paper repudiated it. But it wasn’t until 2010 that the journal itself fully retracted it, calling it “utterly false.”

This is the way that science works. Or at least, it is the way that science is supposed to work. Obama and Clinton were acting responsibly based upon the facts that they knew. That’s not true of Chris Christie and Rand Paul. Science my change but their their opinions never will because their opinions were never based on science in the first place.

But there is something more. Remember Free Beacon quoted Obama as saying, “We’ve seen just a skyrocketing autism rate. Some people are suspicious that it’s connected to the vaccines. This person included. The science right now is inconclusive, but we have to research it”? Well, that’s a selective quote. Via PolitiFact, here is the full quote:

We’ve seen just a skyrocketing autism rate. Nobody knows exactly why. There are some people who are suspicious that it’s connected to vaccines and triggers, but — this person included. The science right now is inconclusive, but we have to research it. Part of the reason I think it’s very important to research it is those vaccines are also preventing huge numbers of deaths among children and preventing debilitating illnesses like polio. And so we can’t afford to junk our vaccine system. We’ve got to figure out why is it that this is happening so that we are starting to see a more normal, what was a normal, rate of autism. Because if we keep on seeing increases at the rate we’re seeing we’re never going to have enough money to provide all the special needs, special education funding that’s going to be necessary.

Who would have guessed that Obama would actually have been making a nuanced point like that? It is so unlike him! Clearly, the charlatans at The Washington Free Beacon knew exactly what they were doing. It must be hard to be a conservative. You have to spend all that time apologizing for evil idiots and pretending that your enemies are different than they are.

We Need to Embrace Class

Richard WolffAs Americans, we are not supposed to talk about class. I’m sure you’ve heard feel good nonsense like, “There are no poor Americans — only soon to be rich Americans!” The idea is that anyone can grow up to be rich in America — if only they try. But the truth is that among peer countries, the United States is the most class based. If your father was poor, you’ll be poor. If your father was rich, you’ll be rich. It doesn’t matter that some poor children will become rich. As a statistical matter, people are locked into their classes in America.

Consider Shakespeare. Through his financial wisdom and his abilities as a writer, he was able to move out of the middle class and into the aristocracy. Does that mean that Elizabethan England wasn’t a class based society? According to the modern conventional wisdom in the United States it wasn’t. But that is very clearly wrong. Similarly, Daymond John doesn’t prove that we aren’t a rigidly class based society. George W Bush proves that we are. Because if we actually lived in a meritocracy, Bush wouldn’t have president; he would be living in a halfway house somewhere.

It is important that we Americans put away childish things. And the most childish thing is our delusion that we live in the land of opportunity. We don’t. The last four decades have seen the power elite manipulate how resources are distributed. And like the spoiled the children that they are, the power elite have seen fit not to share anything with the rest of us. Rats are far more humane than our human “betters.” (For the record, I’m very fond of rats.)

In the following lecture by Richard Wolff, he goes over the reasons why we need to embrace class. Basically: we need to do it because it is the only way out of this trap. Accepting the framing that there is no class is exactly what the power elite want. It stops us from even questioning the morality of people having more money than they could ever spend while other people live without sanitation. It also allows the middle class to live their whole lives in fear that they will lose their jobs. It makes for an extremely compliant workforce as well as electorate.

I know the conservative response to this. It involves how the capitalist makes everyone richer and that the capitalist is doing all this important work by moving capital around to where it is most useful. This is all fine. But there are a number of problems. The biggest one is simply what Wolff shows: the capitalists have been making themselves richer over the last four decades, but none of this has gone to the worker. So why should the worker continue on with this system? We still have a democracy, right?

Another issue not brought up in the lecture is the fact that modern institutions and technologies allow the few to benefit in ways that they never could before. For example, without the interstate highway system and container ships, Sam Walton would not have been one-tenth as rich as he was. How is it moral to allow someone to make far more money simply because of other factors that he had no part in creating? Similarly, why should an actor make millions today with movies when the same actor would have made far less in the theater of a century and a half ago, when she would have had to work far more? There is nothing “natural” about this state of things.

The point of all of this is that we need to see the class structure that we have in this country. It doesn’t matter that some people manage to move from one class to another. That doesn’t mean the classes don’t exist. If we can see the classes clearly, we can make explicit decisions about the morality of our class based system. And I believe a close look will show that we’ve long ago abandoned any semblance of morality.

Clyde Tombaugh and the Discovery of Pluto

Clyde TombaughOn this day in 1906, the astronomer Clyde Tombaugh was born. He is known for having discovered Pluto. I saw him lecture when he was in his 80s. He was a very charming guy. And the work he did was absolutely the most difficult and tedious of observational astronomy. Basically, he would take a picture of a certain part of the sky on two separate days — usually roughly a week apart. Then, he would display them overlapped — fading from one to the other. And he would note any tiny differences. That’s how Pluto was discovered.

How hard was it? Here are two photographic plates, separated by six days. The arrows indicate where Pluto is. All I can say for sure is that there is no way that I would have been able to notice this difference. It is ridiculously small:

Pluto Discovery

What’s most interesting about Tombaugh’s discovery is that it was a fluke. In the early part of the 20th century, Percival Lowell proposed that problems with Uranus’ orbit could be resolved with a ninth planet: Planet X. According to Lowell, the planet would have to be out at about 45 AU with a mass seven times that of Earth. Well, Pluto does have more or less that distance — but it is quite a lot closer these days. The bigger problem is that Pluto is really small. The initial estimate was that it was about the size of earth. But that estimate has only gone done over time. We now know it is about two-tenths of one percent the mass of the earth. It is less than 20% the mass of the moon. Eventually, it was found that the problems with Uranus’ orbit were due to an error in the mass of Neptune.

Still, Pluto is a cool bit of space debris. And until quite recently, it was the largest bit of space debris that we knew about. But in 2005, Eris was discovered. It is roughly a third more massive. And it is bizarre. But they are all the sun’s children and we love them all.

Happy birthday Clyde Tombaugh!

Portrayal of Women in Game of Thrones

Game of Thrones - Rose LeslieI’ve never read any of George R R Martin’s novels. I only know him from the television series, Game of Thrones. And now, I am half way through the third season — far further than I ever thought I would make it. But once you get involved in these things, it is kind of hard to break away. There’s always just one more episode to watch. I can well see how people get addicted to soap operas. But there is one thing that really stands out to me in my recent viewing: its portrayal of women.

There are many aspects of this, of course. But I’m primarily interested in two. The first is the use of naked women. In one way, I really like this. I’m as keen to see beautiful naked women as anyone. But it bothers me that we don’t see more naked men. It makes me feel guilty, as though the filmmakers are pandering to men. And it leaves me with the impression, which I harbor anyway, that women really are better than men. This isn’t to say there isn’t any eye candy for women and others who appreciate male beauty. But the men are always facing away from the camera. Is this because no one actually wants to look at the penis? That’s probably true. But the fact remains that there are at least five times as many naked women as men — and that includes a lot of the female leads.

The other aspect of this is not specific to the television series. I think it relates to Martin himself, who, very much like myself, has a preference for women. It is kind of a naive preference — one that in me dates back to grammar school when all the girls seemed (because they were) so much more mature and worldly than us boys. The men in Game of Thrones fit broadly into two categories: decent and evil. A lot of those decent men are still total jerks. Tywin Lannister is a good example of a decent guy who is still awful. But then there are men who are simply evil such as King Joffrey and Ramsay Snow. There is also a fair amount of cowardice among the evil.

The situation is rather different for the women. I can’t think of any character who isn’t sympathetic to one extent or another. Again, as with the men, that doesn’t mean that they are exactly good. Cersei Lannister, for example, is not easy to love. In fact, at the beginning of the series, I hated her. But over time, I’ve become very sympathetic toward her. There are other characters, like Osha, who are difficult but ultimately of pure heart. And who does one not love Arya Stark — the live action version of that girl in Brave.

But I’m especially taken with Ygritte — currently Jon Snow’s girlfriend, I guess. She provides a kind of positive take on Lady Macbeth. The original has always bothered me in its misogyny. But here, Ygritte isn’t looking for status or power. She’s just really smart — and in love. And she’s trying to keep the two of them alive. Jon Snow has never shown himself to be particularly smart — from the very first episode. So I think Ygritte is a good example of Martin’s generally positive take on womankind.

Now if you will forgive me, I’m going to watch another episode. As I said, it’s very addictive.

Syriza Isn’t Extremist — the Austerians Are

Mark WeisbrotWho are the extremists here? Is it the European authorities, which some identify with the Germans but it’s more than them? Or is it Syriza? Back in May of 2010 when they signed their first agreement with the IMF, the debt was 115% of GDP. Then the IMF and the European Commission said, “Okay, you do what we want and you’ll recover and your debt will be sustainable.” So now that that debt is over 170% of GDP — they’ve had six years of recession; they’ve lost a quarter of their GDP; 26% of their labor force is unemployed (double that for youth) — it’s clear who’s been wrong here.

Now if you want to say that they should do more, they’ve already paid a huge unnecessary price. Clearly, there was some adjustment that had to take place. The purpose of any kinds of loans or aid should be to make that adjustment easier, not to make it ten or fifty times worse than it has to be. That’s what they’ve done. So now they’ve adjusted. They’ve had one of the biggest adjustments in imports in the world — 36%. And they have now a primary budget surplus and they have a current account surplus. And the question is, when do they get the recovery after six years of this? And that’s what this fight is about. And Syriza is saying, “Look: we’ve paid too much of a price, we’ve enacted a lot of policies that were really regressive — like a big cut in minimum wage, 40% cut in healthcare spending, change in labor law that weakens the bargaining power of labor, laying off 20% of the national government workers — and we’re going to reverse some of these because we want the economy to grow. We don’t want 16% unemployment in 2018, which is what the IMF is projecting if everything goes well according to their program.”

So I think if you’re looking at it from a more neutral point of view, it’s clear that Syriza is the voice of reason as compared to the extremists that have destroyed not only the Greek economy, but have brought 11.5% unemployment in the Eurozone — which is more than twice what we have in the United States.

—Mark Weisbrot
Interviewed on CounterSpin

Jeb Bush Will Run as His Brother Did

Jeb BushNancy LeTourneau brought my attention to a short quote by Dennis Baxley, who was in the Florida state House while Jeb Bush was governor. Commenting on Bush’s unconscionable behavior in the Terri Schiavo case, Baxley said, “If you want to understand Jeb Bush, he’s guided by principle over convenience. He may be wrong about something, but he knows what he believes.” An act of extreme demagoguery aimed at Christian conservatives is an act of principle? It was what he really thought? That’s not believable. He was pandering and he knew that he was pandering. Like all the other conservatives who got caught up in that, he thought it would please the conservatives, and the rest just wouldn’t care. He was as wrong politically as he was morally.

LeTourneau sees it as a sign of Bush’s fundamentalism. She especially takes him to task for being a typical conservative Christian: all conservative, no Christian. In this regard, she refers to Mark 2.23-27 about Jesus’ belief that proscription of work on the Sabbath should not be used as an excuse to allow suffering:

And it happened that He was passing through the grainfields on the Sabbath, and His disciples began to make their way along while picking the heads of grain.

The Pharisees were saying to Him, “Look, why are they doing what is not lawful on the Sabbath?”

And He said to them, “Have you never read what David did when he was in need and he and his companions became hungry;

How he entered the house of God in the time of Abiathar the high priest, and ate the consecrated bread, which is not lawful for anyone to eat except the priests, and he also gave it to those who were with him?”

Jesus said to them, “The Sabbath was made for man, and not man for the Sabbath.

But I don’t think that our man Jeb is a fundamentalist. In fact, what Baxley said sounds very familiar, “He may be wrong about something, but he knows what he believes.” This was always the argument for George W Bush: he might be stupid and wrong about everything, but at least he knew what he believed in! As Stephen Colbert said at the 2006 White House Correspondents’ Association Dinner, “The greatest thing about this man is he’s steady. You know where he stands. He believes the same thing Wednesday that he believed on Monday, no matter what happened Tuesday. Events can change; this man’s beliefs never will.”

It’s not surprising that Jeb Bush would want this kind of narrative floated about him. For one thing, it acts as an apologia for everything he ever did wrong. But it is strange that this tactic works. Beneath it is this: you may hate things he’s done before, but at least you can depend upon him to do the exact same things again. Really?! That’s a strange kind of logic that Americans really are prone to.

But even more than this, it says to Americans that he is a strong leader. He may lead us in the wrong direction, but he will be in front of us and he really will believe. The problem is that this is all part of the not so secret American desire for authoritarian leaders. What’s more, a lot of people seem to think that a president heartily doing what they don’t like is a better choice than a president meekly doing what they do like.

It reminds me of a segment of the This American Life episode Swing Set. It involves multiple interviews with James Hackett, a Cincinnati doctor who was a lifelong Republican, but who didn’t want to vote for George Bush in 2004. He did eventually vote for Bush — but it was despite the fact that he hated everything about the man and his policies. Hackett — like pretty much all Republicans — was just thrilled with Bill Clinton in retrospect. And we all know that one of the biggest concerns that conservatives brought up while he was president was that he wasn’t authentic — Slick Willy. So at one point in the segment, Ira Glass countered Hackett on his nonsense about how inauthentic Kerry was by referencing Clinton.

OK, so if that’s what Kerry turns out to be, he’ll look at the polls every day, whatever the majority wants, he’s going to give it to them. Well, eight more years of peace and prosperity.

Ira Glass summed up that segment, “In the end, he thinks the president will keep us safer, despite the debacle in Iraq, and despite the fact that he disagrees with them on almost every other issue.” We don’t need no stinking issues. We just need a candidate who will lead in the wrong direction just as boldly as he does the right direction. This is what Jeb Bush is hoping for. It’s a good thing the president has to have been born here. Otherwise, Vladimir Putin might be our next president.

See Also

Jeb Bush Is an Extremist Like All in GOP
Bush 2016: the Terri Schiavo Choice!
Jeb Bush Is No Moderate