Paul Ryan’s Holy Trinity

Reed F. Richardson - Artist's RenderingI was just writing to Reed Richardson, Eric Alterman’s unpaid lackey over at The Nation. Without trying, I think I wrote something semi-brilliant—which is my normal approach to brilliance. Reed just wrote an article Brilliant Disguise. This in itself is a disturbing development because it means that Alterman’s obsession with Bruce Springsteen is rubbing off on Reed, but who am I to judge (other than someone with very, very good taste in music)? In the article, he points out that Paul Ryan isn’t really a policy wonk. But of course, you already know that because I’ve been talking about this for years.

Reed’s argument is that Ryan is just an ideologue. This can’t be said enough. I put it differently: Ryan’s “budget” is not a budget at all; it is just a right wing wish list. Here is where I got semi-brilliant. (Anyone noting the thousands of people who came up with this first will be banned!) I summed up his policy proposals thusly:

  1. Cut programs for the poor
  2. Cut entitlements for middle class
  3. Cut taxes for the rich

This is the Holy Trinity for Paul Ryan—in more ways than one. Cut, cut, and cut: the Father, Son, and Holy Ghost of right wing extremism.

I don’t think anything more need be said.

Except from The Boss:

The Entitlement Class

This video will go viral if it hasn’t already. Natalie Morales asks about releasing more tax returns and Ann Romney almost jumps out of her seat and attacks the reporter. She is clearly angry, but I don’t think this is the most important thing:

What comes across most clearly is Ann Romney’s sense of entitlement. She’s rich! She’s above suspicion! Her husband is above suspicion because she says so!

Sometimes I’m glad that I’m not rich or powerful. If I were, I would have to work really hard to not be a total dick. You just don’t come upon many rich people who think they are lucky to be rich. It is because they are smart (a gift) and hard working (a gift) and moral (a gift if it’s true). Mitt Romney deserves his quarter billion dollars! This is because he is 1000 times as smart and 1000 times as hard working and 1000 times as moral as the average American. He must be because he has 1000 times as much money. (We think.)

What is most pernicious about Ayn Rand’s philosophy is not that it is wrong; the most pernicious thing is that it tells those people who are the biggest dicks that they aren’t dicks. Only a sociopath would tell the schoolyard bully that the only thing wrong with him is that he isn’t beating up enough kids.

Ann Romney looks like she is at the end of her rope. She is the one who asks the questions, not the one who answers them!

Fuck Me, Please!

Barbara ComstockSoledad O’Brien does the most amazing thing: she counter’s Romney apologist Barbara Comstock’s ridiculous comments about Obama cutting Medicare.[1] The argument the Romney campaign is making is that Obama has cut $700 billion from Medicare and that it is very, very bad. Seniors, be afraid! Be very afraid! The problem is that Ryan’s newest budget (that is much nicer to the old and poor than his earlier one) calls for the same $700 billion cut. But in Obama’s budget, that money is mostly saved by cutting Medicare payments to hospitals for treating uninsured patients. Why? Because under Obamacare, there will be 60% fewer uninsured patients. Ryan, on the other hand, uses the money for extra military spending and tax cuts for the rich. (Funny how conservative deficit reduction always ends in more tax cuts and military spending and no actual deficit reduction.)

To be clear: Obama cuts funding but not services; Ryan cuts funding and services.

This is a great opportunity for Romney. He has claimed that he will roll back Obama’s Medicare cuts. But then he walks all over himself. Jonathan Chait has quoted him in a New York Times article:

“The truth is we simply cannot … continue to pretend … a Medicare on track to go bankrupt at some point is acceptable,” Mr. Romney said at a news conference in Miami. “We must take action to make sure that we can save Medicare for coming generations.”

This has not been, and I doubt it will become, the major promise of the campaign. Instead, Romney and company will continue to proffer what I have come to refer to as the “Fuck Me, Please!” argument. Barbara Comstock repeats it over and over in her interview, “No one under 55 will see their Medicare changed!”

In other words: if you are young you probably won’t vote for us anyway, so fuck you!

This is remarkable for a party that spends so much of its time claiming to want to protect future generations. The argument always comes down to something like this: Social Security will only be able to pay 70% of promised benefits in 40 years; we need to cut current benefits to 70%! In the case of the Ryan budget, it is this: Medicare is unsustainable in the future; we need to destroy it today!

This really isn’t an exaggeration. Ryan’s plan is to depend upon his religious belief that if we let markets work, all problems are solved. His idea is to give seniors vouchers to buy healthcare from private insurers. Then, healthcare costs will go down. How does he know the costs will go down? Capitalism! There are many problems with this, but the most direct refutation is Medicare Advantage. This is part of Medicare where seniors can get their care in the private sector. The idea was (1) private insurance; (2) capitalism; (3) magic! Instead, it was (1) private insurance; (2) corporate profits; (3) disaster! And by “Disaster!” I mean that it costs about 20% more for the same care.

It makes me very angry to hear people talk about how they aren’t going to touch current recipients of Medicare and Social Security. If this statement has to be made, it must be that current recipients like these programs. Luckily, just as when Bush wanted to privatize Social Security, most seniors are more empathic than the conservative establishment. They think that I shouldn’t be fucked just because I happened to have been born late.

Update (Right Away)

Check out this screen shot of Fox News on Monday. The title read, “Saving Medicare. Ryan Plan: 55 & Older Won’t See Changes.” If I don’t watch Fox News for a while, I forget just how completely they are the media arm of the Republican Party. MSNBC, for all of it problems would never do something like this:

Fox News - 55 and Older Won't See Changes

Update (14 August 2012 6:49 pm)

Sarah Kliff has a nice, short article on WonkBlog about where exactly the $700 ($716 actually) billion gets cut. It is roughly a third each of hospital reimbursement, Medicare Advantage, and other things. She writes:

The rest of the Affordable Care Act’s Medicare cuts are a lot smaller. Reductions to Medicare’s Disproportionate Share Payments — extra funds doled out the hospitals that see more uninsured patients — account for 5 percent in savings. Lower payments to home health providers make up another 8.8 percent. About a dozen cuts of this magnitude make up the [other category].

It’s worth noting that there’s one area these cuts don’t touch: Medicare benefits. The Affordable Care Act rolls back payment rates for hospitals and insurers. It does not, however, change the basket of benefits that patients have access to. And, as Ezra pointed out earlier today, the Ryan budget would keep these cuts in place.


[1] This is really good. Barbara Comstock even brings up Death Panels:

Gold Stand Gooood; Inflation Baaaad!

Ben BernankeThis morning, Brad Plumer writes about Paul Ryan’s bizarre ideas about how raising the Fed funds rate would get the economy moving. You see, by making bank credit more expensive, people would start investing more. You know how it is: if you go to the store and lettuce is one dollar, you might buy one head; but if it is $20, well, it’s time to stock up! This is what wunderkind Paul Ryan thinks about monetary policy.

If this sounds crazy, there’s a reason. While unserious people get their ideas about monetary policy from boring sources like economics textbooks, Serious People—and no one is as Serious as Paul Ryan—get theirs from Atlas Shrugged! And what do Ayn Rand’s 1.5-dimensional characters have to say about monetary policy? Gold stand gooood; inflation baaaad!

Okay, Ryan is a loon. But there is a serious issue here. The Federal Reserve has a dual mandate: keep inflation and unemployment low. But the Fed seems to have abandoned this idea. Here is a graph from Plumer’s article:

Inflation and Unemployment Timeline

Note the inflation and unemployment target lines. See anything strange? Since late 2008 (I wonder if something happened then?) the actual inflation rate has mostly been below target, and when it has been above target it has only been slightly above. (Note that many economists think that the inflation target of 2% is too low and that it should be raised to 3% or even 4%.) Contrast this to the unemployment rate that has always been above target—mostly way above target.

Matt Yglesias recently wrote about this (but I can’t find the article, this Bernanke to Economy: Drop Dead will give you the idea). He noted that if things were the other way around—inflation was high and unemployment was low—that Bernanke and Company would be very active. But when it is the way it is now, the Fed is lackadaisical. Why is this? Could it be that high inflation hurts rich people and high unemployment not only hurts poor people but also helps rich people? Could the Fed be this callous?

You know my answer.

New York 1938

This is via someone named Spocko (If this proves how unhip I am: you’re surprised?!) via the always wonderful digby. It is the funniest thing I’ve seen since last night when I was gorging on Firesign Theater. But still: this is very funny. This shows how Scientology and Objectivism were born. And the actors look a fair amount like those fucktards (except Ayn Rand was never this pretty):

Ayn Rand: This is aimed at the people who want to feel smarter than religious people. No, no, no. The goal here is to take those with a religious zealot’s sense of superiority but without the forced, obligitory compassion. If done right, we can take the most wealthy, powerful, and privileged people and get them to talk like they’re the poor persecuted minority. They will become the most slappable people on earth!

L. Ron Hubbard: That’s almost too evil. You can’t!

Ayn Rand: Oh, I’m doing it. I’m going to write a book and soon rich white males will be gathering en masse to congratulate themselves on how awesome they are for doing exactly what they already wanted to do anyway.

Update (12 August 2012 11:09 pm)

I found this video is based upon an article from Goblin Books:

The author has several other adventures of Ayn and L. Ron. Very funny stuff. Such as:

If you are reading this it means that Tom Cruise has already killed me—possibly with the aid of John Stossel. Stossel will be coming for you next, and there is probably nothing you can do. My dear friend, I am so sorry to have brought this darkness into your life. I wish I’d never found the Ayn Rand documents. I wish I’d never stumbled onto the secret. Because it goes further than either of us ever could have imagined…

Free Will

Free WillI just read Sam Harris’ Free Will. There was nothing new in it for me. I have already worked all this stuff out for myself. But it was nice to see the argument laid out so well. For those of you who don’t spend all your time fretting about such issues, it goes like this: all of your choices are neurochemical; you can no more not do what you do than hydrogen and oxygen can combine to form helium. As Harris writes (I’m not looking up the exact quote), to say that under different circumstances you would have made some different choice is the same as saying that in a different universe you would be in a different universe.

We are all machines—gloriously complex machines, but machines nonetheless. We already know this in terms of our bodies. Athletes are shockingly predictable machines. At this year’s Olympics, Usain Bolt ran the 100 m dash 0.05 seconds slower than his best time of 9.58 seconds. That’s a difference of 0.5%. Similarly, professional basketball players are remarkably consistent. People (Even the athletes themselves!) believe in streaks, but all that is ever seen are predictable statistical variations on their bases. In other words, a player with a 42% field goal average is a machine that makes field goals 42% of the time.

Free will then is nothing but an illusion—admittedly a fairly useful one. But it is also a dangerous one, and this is Harris’ main argument. For a long time, I’ve felt that I couldn’t come out and say that I felt sorry for pedophiles. They are such a pox on our society—such dangerous creatures with such innocent victims—I felt certain that people would go off on me. Yet I know from my experience that my sex drive—incredibly, depressingly typical though it may be—is in no way under my control. When I was younger, I tried to change my tastes into something more exotic, but it just isn’t in me. I like what most men like, except with glasses.[1]

How could it be any different for a pedophile? I can’t imagine that pedophiles actually think of Marilyn Monroe as a sex goddess and yet go around raping children because it is so fun to be evil. Pedophiles must be (among other things) machines that want to have sex with children. I’m not suggesting that we say, “Hey! They are what they are: let them go on raping!” Harris discusses this exact point. We don’t allow grizzly bears to wander the streets eating people; when they get too close to populations, they are removed. But we don’t moralize about grizzly bears: they are built to kill and eat creatures such as humans.

Clearly, we must keep pedophiles away from children. This will clearly restrict their freedom. But locking them up in prisons so they can be gang raped and otherwise brutalized is not an ethical approach to the problems that pedophiles represent in our society.

Free Will is an excellent little book. I mean this literally. It is excellent in that you could not ask for a better introduction to this subject. And it is little, coming in at perhaps 12,000 words—the length of an average magazine feature. And it is a book, because it is bound that way. Whether it is really worth $9.99 ($3.99 for the eBook), I will leave to you.


[1] There is, of course, the Sarah Vowell effect. How can a nerd such as me not think she is just too adorable for words. Or Kristen Schaal, who’s ditzy persona screams, “I’m smarter than you!” Even if she is a horse:

In the 70s, Schaal and Kurt Braunohler were at best toddlers. Now that’s comedy!

Reagan 2.0 in 2016!

Paul Ryan - Reagan 2.0I’ve read a lot today about Mitt Romney’s pick of Paul Ryan for the VP spot on his ticket. The best was Paul Krugman referring to them as Gekko and Galt: the “greed is good” character from Wall Street and the demigod from Ayn Rand’s Atlas Shrugged. But overall, nothing I read sounded correct. To me, the pick of Paul Ryan was forced on Romney by the Republican establishment. But this was not done because they thought it was a winning ticket. Quite the opposite.

I think the Republican establishment has decided that Romney will lose this election. The pick of Ryan is a way to pull their hero into the national spotlight. Although it is hard for political junkies to understand: the vast majority of the nation has no idea who he is. This is the opportunity to set Paul Ryan up for a presidential run in 2016. They think he will be Reagan 2.0.

If they were really smart, these power brokers would have gotten Ryan nominated this year. This is the best chance for a really vile candidate like Ryan (or Romney) to get elected. In another four years under Obama, the economy will very likely be doing quite well. And this will provide Hillary Clinton with an excellent chance to be the next president.

Of course, it is still possible that Romney will win this election. But I don’t think the Ryan choice has anything to do with this. I’m sure the thinking is: great if Romney wins, but let’s make the best of the likely loss. As usual, the conservatives are overplaying their hand. They think that if the people just get exposed to Ryan and his “ideas,” they will love them. I think things are just the opposite. I’m glad that Paul Ryan will get more attention. He deserves more attention—just not the kind the Beltway pundits like to give him.

Afterword

Mark Thoma has put together a great set of Paul Krugman articles about Paul Ryan that are very much worth reading.

Update (12 August 2012 6:47 pm)

Although I have not read it, it appears my idea is not novel:

Dreaded Click Here Link

Click HereJonathan Chait wrote an article today about how conservatives are trying to spin a couple of articles about the Tax Policy Center take down of Romney’s tax cut proposal. I don’t have much to say about that. If this careful work cannot persuade conservatives that there is something wicked and ridiculous about Romney’s claims, then they are beyond reason. (But we already knew that.) The reason I bring it up is that Chait demonstrates a very common and bad tendency of providing useless links.

The problem is the use of “Click Here” links. In this, the first paragraph of his article, he does this six times in two locations:

So you know that Brookings/Tax Policy Center study about how Mitt Romney’s tax plan requires a middle-class tax hike, the one I keep writing about with a disturbing compulsion that suggests some kind of addictive behavior pattern? (Previous examples here, here, here, and here.) I’d say I have one more point but that’s probably a lie. Two other analysts associated with the TPC have published blog commentaries, and some conservatives are holding these up to show that they disprove the Obama campaign’s interpretation.

You notice the last two? There aren’t literally “here” but they provide as much information. All six tell us absolutely nothing about what the links refer to—both for people and for search engine bots. I know a lot of people link this way, but it is bad. Don’t do this! Instead, edit your text so that it reads more like this:

So you know that Brookings/Tax Policy Center study about how Mitt Romney’s tax plan requires a middle-class tax hike, the one I keep writing about with a disturbing compulsion that suggests some kind of addictive behavior pattern? (Previous examples: Tax Promises Mathematically Impossible, Tax Trap Springs Shut, Tax Cut Defenders Get Dada, and Tax Wonk Jihad Continues.) I’d say I have one more point but that’s probably a lie. Howard Gleckman and Donald Marron, both analysts associated with the TPC, have published blog commentaries, and some conservatives are holding these up to show that they disprove the Obama campaign’s interpretation.

Now wasn’t that easy?

Economic Apologetics

Economic ApologeticsApologetics is the defense of a particular doctrine. It is a noble endeavor. But as with most things, it can be done poorly or well.

Most people think of apologetics with regard to Christianity. But I think we all see it more often in the field of politics—especially economics. It is just that it is usually not referred to as apologetics.

Romney’s economic advisers have come out with a really despicable bit of apologetics for his policies. What is really notable is that the authors are very big men in the economics field: Kevin Hassett, Glenn Hubbard, Gregory Mankiw, and John Taylor. I’m no economist and I already knew about three of these four men (I didn’t know Hassett).

Dylan Matthews over at WonkBlog, discusses how the paper cherry picks its data in the discussion of the effects of Obama’s stimulus. He notes that they first compress the entire discussion of the stimulus to one small part of it: cash for clunkers. Then, they ignore two studies that found positive effects of this program. And then to make matters as bad as they could possibly be, they misrepresent the findings of at least one of the two papers they do cite. What is most shocking about this is that Dylan Matthews is not an economist. He is just a reporter who focuses on tax policy. Yet he was able to see how intellectually dishonest this supposedly respectable group is being.

This makes me think of Christian apologists. William Lane Craig is probably the most famous one of these. Although I disagree with him greatly, he is intellectually honest. When he finds a problem in the Bible, he doesn’t cover it over. Instead, he uses his considerable intellect and knowledge to justify and explain the problem. This is what I am used to seeing from liberal economists like Paul Krugman and Dean Baker.

On the other side of things, we have Lee Strobel. He is simply a true believer who will say and do anything to prove his case. He is the most intellectually slimy person I have ever seen in any field. And this is the kind of economic policy apologetics that we are getting from the Romney camp. Brad DeLong has written a substantial article where he goes point by point through the Romney team’s white paper and counters all of its nonsense. If you are at all interested in economics, I recommend reading the article. But you will get an idea of how upset the reputable part of the field must be with this short quotation:

HHMT: Rather than focusing on the structural problems revealed by the financial crisis and the ensuing recession, the Obama administration focused on short-term fiscal ‘stimulus.’

FALSE: I am sorry, but here I just have to escalate from “WRONG” to “FALSE”, because this is not just wrong, this is false–and knowingly false.

Obama administration attempts to focus on the structural problems revealed by the financial crisis were hobbled by Republican obstruction to the reform effort that eventually yielded Dodd-Frank.

HHMT were conspicuous by their absence in the lobbying for reforms to deal with the defects of existing financial regulations and with the rise of and consequences of shadow banking.

Why they were conspicuous by their absence I do not claim to know.

Meanwhile, after all of this and the Tax Policy Center’s analysis, Fox News today has been all day, all the time on how mean a new Obama attack ad is—including on their “straight” news programs.

Update (8 August 2012 11:27 am)

It seems I was wrong. The Romney economists didn’t disregard two studies that indicated that the stimulus was effective—they disregarded 15! Ezra Klein does more work demolishing this horrible attempt at economic apologetics. He ends his article with as straightforward an attack as we ever see from him:

So even the studies that the Romney campaign’s economists handpicked to bolster their case don’t prove what the Romney campaign says they prove. And some of the key policy recommendations that flow from those studies are anathema to the Romney campaign. And in perhaps the key policy area highlighted by these studies, the Romney campaign doesn’t have a formal policy. If this is the best they can do in support of their economic plan, well, it’s not likely to quiet the critics.

Update (9 August 2012 6:29 pm)

Here is the ad that Fox has been running constantly for the last couple of days:

And here is an Onion parody.

Internet Suffering

My friend Ananda sent me a collection of photos from India. Many of them involve grammar errors, but could easily be from the United States or Kingdom. One admonishes people in Ludhiana, “Please don’t encourage baggers.” Another is a clever drunk driving sign, “After whisky driving risky.” I’ll take a perfect rhyme over perfect spelling any day.

India is rightly applauded for its democracy. (Largely because unlike the United States, they actually have one.) Their commitment to democracy and egalitarianism is found on a regal sign that reads, “Members and Non-Members Only.” Damn right! Any non-non-members will not be allowed! (Unless they also members.)

What most struck me was this sign above a Cyber Cafe:

Internet Suffering

Everyone I know suffers on the internet every day, but only the Indians are honest about it!

The Art of an Iraqi War Criminal

Paul Bremer - Nude with Matisse ColorsI caught a bit of The Rachel Maddow Show tonight as I made dinner. During one bit, she mentioned that since leading Iraq into ever more chaos for the Bush administration, L. Paul Bremer is now painting. She showed the painting on the left and I thought, “That looks really interesting.”

So I went to his site (which is shockingly badly designed). I was wrong. This one painting is by far the most interesting of the 50+ paintings on his site. And it is not nearly as interesting as I first thought.

Don’t get me wrong: the man has talent. He is like the many other good artists I appreciate when I visit the Sonoma Country Fair every year. But it is clearly “talented amateur” work.

A Test!

Which of the following paintings is by L. Paul Bremer and which is by Edward Hopper?

Mystery Bridge Painting Number 1 - Bremer or Hopper
Mystery Bridge Painting Number 2 - Bremer or Hopper

Right On!

I’m glad Bremer is pursuing his art. Why shouldn’t he be? He is very wealthy, so I wonder why he didn’t do it sooner. But if it isn’t time now, when he is 70 years old, when is it time? The truth is that most people confuse me. They waste their lives doing things they don’t like, even when they don’t have to. So the question is not why Bremer is pursuing his art; it is why he waited so long (he’s always been wealthy). Grandma Moses he’s not, but what does that matter?

Conservative Quixotes

QuixoticAll-star fucktard, Jonah Goldberg has something to say about the United Nations. You know conservatives: they don’t like the United Nations because it represents the promise of cooperation. And it goes against this ridiculous notion of American Exceptionalism. This is why conservatives get apoplectic when someone talks about using foreign legal precedents in the United States or suggests that maybe our 230 year old Constitution is not the best one ever created.

My point is: who cares what Jonah Goldberg has to say about the United Nations? I certainly don’t. But he used Don Quixote to discuss his ridiculous notion of starting a new United Nations—one that only includes the “morally and politically serious nations.” By that, he means nations that agree with his corporatocratic notions of freedom and democracy. And by that he means slavery and aristocracy. Regardless of his silly and evil ideas, I do wish he would keep Cervantes out of it—a man who appears to have been decent and who has provided much joy to the human race.

Goldberg doesn’t even get Don Quixote right. My guess is that he hasn’t read it. There are many documented cases of copies of the book bursting into flames when touched by conservatives. And by that I mean there haven’t been any, but it would make sense. Anyway, Goldberg writes:

The phrase “tilting at windmills” was inspired by the novel “Don Quixote,” and it means to fight something that doesn’t really deserve to be fought.

Really? Is that what it means? I find this surprising, because it is totally wrong. It means fighting a hopeless battle in a ridiculous manner. There is no romantic ideal here; this isn’t Battle of the Alamo.

There is, of course, another way to view the term—one that goes along with the book. Unfortunately, few have read it and so this idea doesn’t make sense anywhere but on a blog by a guy who has an unnatural affinity for the novel. It is implicit in Goldberg’s next sentence, which I’ll bet was added at the last minute by an editor who noted what I had:

Quixote mistook the windmills of the Spanish countryside for ravenous giants and set out to vanquish them.

I’ve previously written about what the word “quixotic” personally means to me. It is not what it generally means. Just the same, “tilting at windmills” to me means attacking phantoms—things that aren’t there. But there was nothing irrational about Don Quixote attacking those giants. The problem was that his perceptions were wrong because, you know, he was crazy.

In this way, Goldberg’s analogy is apt. The conservatives (like him) who want to create a United Morally and Politically Serious Nations are indeed attacking something that is only in their minds. By wanting to unite a number of like-minded nations, all they want is to create a power block. Their problem with the United Nations is that some nations don’t agree with them. I understand this. I agree with many of the things that Goldberg finds repugnant. But his solution is to get rid of the United Nations so that the stronger nations can bind together and conquer the other nations. Even apart from the fact that this in impossible given the nuclear stockpiles of “morally and politically unserious nations,” this would only takes us back to the days before the United Nations when we had, let’s see, two world wars.

Don Quixote works very well to explain conservative thought—just not in the way that Goldberg thinks. Don Quixote also works well to explain rigid ideologues on the left, although I don’t know any (they were fairly common 90 years ago). Don Quixote was the very definition of a ideologue. He was so committed to his vision of the ideal of knights errant that he could not see the world the way it actually is. Pragmatists, like the modern left do not suffer from this. Modern conservatives, however, are this way—at least the ones who aren’t just in it out of self-interest (not that the two don’t fuse together in many cases).