The Cruel and Shortsighted Rich

Unemployment InsuranceSteve M over at No More Mister Nice Blog wrote, The Conservative Ethic: Punish the Losers. It’s a comparison of two articles by Paul Krugman: one about Jeb Bush and the idea that Americans should work more, and one about Europe’s cruel treatment of Greece. They certainly are linked. The essence of conservatism is that those with power are the right kind of people and those without it are the wrong kind of people. This is what leads to hundreds of billions of dollars given to banks without a thought but protests in the streets about helping home owners.

But I think Steve trivialized the situation a bit when he wrote, “The underdogs are supposed to do all the sacrificing, because the world is divided into the deserving and the undeserving, and the deserving shouldn’t really sacrifice at all.” Certainly, that’s true on some level, but it is just how the disease presents itself. The cause is deeper. And he got at it when he summed up the thinking of the power elite, “They think of themselves as the ones who have a genuine work ethic and who are willing to delay gratification, but in reality they insist that their gratification must proceed uninterrupted, because they deserve that.”

There are two attributes of the power elite that motive them. The first is a callousness toward others. All people have a tendency to over-honor those they are around and to mistrust those they aren’t. But the poor don’t dehumanize the rich, because our entire media and entertainment system is designed to lionize the rich. For every appearance of Montgomery Burns, there is an appearance of Undercover Boss and literally dozens of “rich people as oracles” segments on the news. And that is to say nothing of rich guy superheroes like Bat Man and Iron Man. These are the images our society has of the rich. The images the society has of the poor are of unkempt and dirty street people — usually also criminals. So it is no wonder that the rich especially can disregard them as undeserving.

The other attribute of the power elite is that they are shortsighted. That is a great irony, of course. As Steve noted, they are the ones who think they delay gratification, but they do no such thing. And the best example of this is how they fight tooth and nail against anything that will help the working class. You literally cannot help the poor without indirectly helping the rich. But you can very easily help the rich without helping the poor. Helping the poor grows the economy. The rich would be richer with more equality, but that might take a couple of quarters — even years. Can’t have that!

But it also takes us back to the first attribute of callousness. To a large extent, the rich don’t care about the absolute level of their wealth. It is the relative wealth. And that is a zero sum game. The rich can’t feel rich unless the poor are doing badly. If it came down to it, I’m sure the rich would be happier being poorer if the working class did even worse, than they would be to be wealthier if the working class were to close the gap. Of course, I don’t expect a rich person to think this in the abstract, but this is the conclusion based on how they act.

So there you have it. The rich are shortsighted and callous. It isn’t that they are necessarily horrible people — at least at first. But our system of economics and politics makes them horrible. And this is why they feel very good about themselves as they call for the lower classes to work more hours or for Greece to suffer for another decade or two.

Ross Perot Didn’t Get Bill Clinton Elected

Ross PerotI guess it is time for a little Political Science 101. Some conservatives are freaking out at the prospect that Donald Trump will lose the Republican primary and then go on to become an independent candidate and act as a “spoiler” in the 2016 campaign. That could certainly happen. The problem is that people are relating it to Ross Perot’s 1992 run for president. Donald Trump himself recently told Washington Examiner, “I think every single vote that went to Ross Perot came from Bush. Virtually every one of his 19 percentage points came from the Republicans. If Ross Perot didn’t run, you have never heard of Bill Clinton.” Oh those wonderful conservatives and their myth making!

The main thing for me is just that the economics predicted that Clinton would win. The economy was tanking and so the election was Clinton’s to lose. And he could have lost if he had made the election about foreign affairs or something. But he didn’t. Remember, “It’s the economy, stupid!”? So Bush was toast. I suspect that if Perot hadn’t ever entered the race, Clinton would have won by more than he did. The whole thing shines a light on one of the great Democratic myths, too: that it was all about his “Sister Souljah” moment and his conservatism. Hogwash.

But for those of us who lived through it, this conservative narrative of Ross Perot acting as a spoiler is clearly wrong. Perot did not appeal to one party. What was claimed about the Tea Party was actually true of the Perot’s Reform Party. It really did include people from the center: conservative Democrats and liberal Republicans who were very much concerned about the national debt. And that’s why the Reform Party wasn’t able to last as an important movement past Perot: the group had nothing to hang onto. (It eventually became a tiny party that nominates people almost randomly.) The Tea Party does, because it is now and always has been the base of the Republican Party.

Steve Kornacki released 21 tweets the other day that go through the history of this. It really isn’t complicated. Clinton led the polls throughout the last months of the campaign. And those polls showed that Perot supporters’ second choice candidates were evenly divided because Bush and Clinton. But even more than that, there is that odd bit during the campaign where Perot dropped out because, he claimed, people were threatening his family or something. And as the polls suggested they would, the Perot voters split about evenly for Bush and Clinton.

All this stuff about personalities in elections is fun. But it doesn’t mean much to the final vote. It certainly is true that Donald Trump would hurt the Republicans if he ran an independent campaign. He’s positioning himself as the Pat Buchanan candidate — the one who tells the base the “painful truth” that they are so right to hate minority groups. The people who would vote for him skew heavily toward the Republican Party. But as such, I doubt Trump could make the kind of go of an independent campaign that Perot did. The truth is that while the Republican base might love hearing Trump in his campaign of speaking bigotry to weakness, they know that the policies of Scott Walker would be just as good as those of Trump. So why split the bigot vote?

Morning Music: Bette Midler

Bette MidlerI was doing some research for tomorrow’s Morning Music. What I wanted was to find a live version of Joni Mitchell doing the song “Twisted.” It’s an interesting song. It is based upon a saxophone solo by Wardell Gray in a session with Al Haig. Annie Ross took the solo and molded it into the classic song we all know today. But since I couldn’t find a Mitchell version of the song, I went searching for Bette Midler because I knew she did it on her self-titled album.

All I could find was a version of the song that Midler did with Rosie O’Donnell on her show. It’s not exactly a great version, but it’s fun. I seem to be one of the few people on the planet who likes O’Donnell. I don’t know what it is about her, but far too many people have an attitude toward her. Whatever. But as she will admit, she isn’t a great singer. She does, however, make up for it with a raw love for music that many greater musicians would be well served to copy.

But the real reason I knew I had to share this clip is the guy at the piano: Marc Shaiman. What the hell was he playing piano for a daytime talk show? The only reason I know what he looks like is that years ago I watched Broadcast News and he played one of the composers who come into the studio to preview the new theme. It turns out that Shaiman has worked with Midler a lot. Anyway, here it is:

Anniversary Post: Five Airplane Crashes

TAM Airlines Flight 3054On this day, there were a lot of airplane crashes. Maybe this is true of every day. The truth is that I don’t pay so much attention to things that have happened recently. If I can find things to write about that took place hundreds or even thousands of years ago, I would prefer to. But today, there was nothing too interesting in the way back. So I was looking at the last century, and I noticed all these plane crashes.

Let’s start with 1933, when the Lituanica flew all the way across the across the Atlantic Ocean. It was a little bitty airplane. The two pilots took off from New York and thirty some hours later, they flew over Ireland. And then they crashed in Poland, less than 400 miles from their destination. Both pilots died.

Skipping ahead 20 years, 40 NROTC students and 6 crewmen were taking a USMC R4Q Packet from Corpus Christi to Norfolk. But the plane lost power on takeoff, slamming into a bunch of trees a mile past the runway. Shockingly, six people actually survived the initial crash, although three of them died soon after.

In 1996, TWA Flight 800 was on its way from New York to Rome. Twelve minutes out, the airplane exploded. It is believed that there was a short circuit in or near the fuel tank, and that was that. It killed all the passengers and crew: 230 people.

In 2007, TAM Airlines Flight 3054 was going from Porto Alegre to São Paulo in Brazil. On landing at the very stormy São Paulo airport, the plane overran the runway, and slammed into a nearby warehouse. Not only were all 187 people on board killed, so were 12 on the ground.

And then last year, Malaysia Airlines Flight 17 crashed in Ukraine. We still don’t have an official account of this. But we do know that all 298 people on board died.

And yet, on this day in 1955, Disneyland was opened. A coincidence?

The Great Website Unknown: Who’s Out There?

Website TrafficSam Dean over at Five Thirty Eight pointed out a curious aspect of modern computing, It’s 2015 — You’d Think We’d Have Figured Out How to Measure Web Traffic By Now. It deals with a strange issue in website metrics: the unique visitor. In the old days, people talked about “hits” and then later “total visitors.” But today, the metric that everyone cares about is “unique visitors” — it is seen as more authentic. The problem is that the companies who determine how many unique people visit a website always indicate that there are a lot fewer than the websites’ own access logs indicate. So what’s up with that and should we care?

I must admit that I’ve always focused on unique visitors — even when people were talking about “hits.” The problem with hits was always obvious. If a website has a page with 9 images in it, that represents 10 hits. Thus, a website with a lot of images would have more hits than one that didn’t — even if they had the same number of visitors. But total visitors can be a problem because the same person can come back again and again. Take, for example, a visitor who has left a comment and refreshes it throughout the day to see if anyone has responded. In my case, I’m more worried about my own use. I used Frankly Curious far more than anyone and I don’t want that to skew my statistics.

There are various ways that a website can seem to get more unique visitors than it actually does. The most obvious is the time period. Frankly Curious gets about 1,500 unique visitors per day; but only about 25,000 per month — not the 45,000 the daily number would imply. But the bigger issue is that the whole counting thing is done with cookies. So if you visit the same site from a different browser or computer (or phone), the web server counts you twice. And people delete cookies. And so on.

Another issue that is huge — at least for little websites — is spamming. As I said, Frankly Curious gets 1,500 unique visitors per day. But we don’t actually get that many people visiting the site. According to Google Analytics, we get about 300 actual individuals. The reason for this is that the spammers are going fast. They do not waste their resources by running the JavaScript that is necessary for these statistics to be tracked. So we’ve got 300 real visitors and 12,000 spammers per day. It really is outrageous.

But I’m not certain that unique visitors really mean that much. A whole lot of visitors come to a page, and back right out a few seconds later. I suppose in an industry that sees advertising revenue as its product, maybe that’s fine: people came onto the page long enough to get an opportunity to click on your Ben & Jerry’s ad — mission accomplished! But for personal websites, people normally think of others actually reading their content as an important aspect of what they do. So if one person comes onto the site, gets involved, and reads thirty articles, that’s a big deal that is clearly not represented with the unique visitors metric.

Just the same, big websites need some way to compare themselves, and unique visitors is as good as any. Personally, I don’t much care about absolute numbers. Even Google Analytics messes up from time to time. What I care about is the trend. Roughly twice as many people visit Frankly Curious today than they did last year. But interestingly, according to my access logs, my unique monthly visitors hasn’t really changed since early 2013. That’s because it is swamped by spam. I wonder if that isn’t a problem at Huffington Post as well? Actually, I don’t care.

David Frum Proves He’s a Rich White Guy

David FrumI have this thing about steroid use in professional sports: I don’t care. Sure, I think it is terrible that people do that to their bodies. They shouldn’t. But there is nothing very natural about professional sports. There is nothing natural about 330 pound tackles running 5 second 40-yard dashes. And then there is the whole question of drugs being a fairly vague category. Why not decide that professional athletes can’t eat more 2,000 calories per day? That makes sense to me. At least it would put an end to the physical freaks that now dominate the world of professional sports — especially football and basketball.

But what are we to make of David Frum’s accusations that Serena Williams’ unprecedented success as a tennis player is due to to steroid use? Well, that’s pretty clear: David Frum is a racist. I don’t mean that in the sense that he is likely to walk into a church and start murdering African Americans. But I also don’t mean it in the sense of everyone having racist impulses because we are human and thus tribal, and because we live in an incredibly racist society. I mean that David Frum is smart and worldly enough to check himself before publicly accusing the most iconic African American tennis player in history of cheating. And he decided not to.

This doesn’t exactly make Frum a bad person. It just makes him a clueless rich white guy. He’s so privileged that he has no clue about it. In one of his deleted tweets he brought up Mark McGwire and Lance Armstrong. I think he did that to convince himself that he isn’t a racist. That’s the thing: I’m sure that he doesn’t see himself as a racist. But the thing is that I can’t find Frum writing about McGwire and Armstrong before. I can’t even find him writing about steroids.

So what we have here is a guy who looks at Serena Williams; and it doesn’t seem quite right to him. So he jumps to steroids, rather than his own biased expectations of tennis — as understandable as they may have been. But having been caught, Frum isn’t backing down. He’s going back the McGwire and Armstrong hedge. Judd Legum explained in an update to his article:

Frum appeared on Roland Martin’s show on TV One on Monday morning to defend his tweets. Frum largely attempted to shift the topic to a general discussion of steroid use in tennis. He did, however, assert there was reason to suspect Serena Williams in particular…

It’s slippery. If called on the particular allegations (Frum doesn’t quite have his facts straight), he just goes to the “steroid use in tennis” narrative. But of course, his comment wasn’t about steroid use in tennis; it was about Serena Williams’ steroid use in tennis.

But apart from the racist content of the whole thing, I think Frum does himself no favor in trying to make it about steroid use in tennis. There is really only one more clear indication that one is a rich white guy without a clue than to be concerned about steroid use in professional tennis. And that is to be allowed to shift the conversation from a racist observation into a concern about the integrity of the game of tennis. That is ultimate proof that David Frum is a rich white guy.

A Tale of Two (Wisconsin) Priorities

Proposed Milwaukee Bucks StadiumKevin Draper over at Deadspin reported, Wisconsin Senate Votes To Give $250 Million To Billionaires. This is in reference to the Wisconsin state senate voting to give a quarter billion dollars to build a new sports center for the Milwaukee Bucks. The owners of the team — Marc Lasry and Wesley Edens — are both billionaires. But that’s the great thing about being rich: you never have to pay for anything. Well, not much anyway. The two of them are going to throw in a total of $150 million dollars. So the actual owners will pay a whole 37.5% of the cost of their new home. And I don’t know the deal, but I assume that these guys are also getting huge tax breaks. So it is questionable whether they are paying any part of this.

Some people will claim that this is a great thing for Wisconsin to do. You know: the Bucks will bring in all kinds of money to the area. But as David Cay Johnston has noted in Free Lunch, the tax breaks and outright payments for sporting venues almost never pay for themselves. The big economic boost that is supposed to take place around the arenas, never comes. Instead, people drive to the events, spend their money at the events, and drive away. There is no spreading out — no trickle down.

What’s more, Johnston has done the calculations. It turns out that if it weren’t for taxpayers providing all the money they do for the millionaire and billionaire owners of the teams, none of the four sports leagues — baseball, basketball, football and hockey — would be profitable. We taxpayers spend $2 billion per year subsidizing all these teams. Obviously, the owners don’t need the money. They own these teams because they like it. But apparently, they don’t like it enough to pay for it. Regardless, as I said: the rich are used to not having to pay for anything.

Johnston noted something else interesting about our 43rd president. He’s a great example of how these things work, “George Bush owes almost his entire fortune to a tax increase that was funneled into his pocket and into the use of eminent domain laws to essentially legally cheat other people out of their land for less than it was worth to enrich him and his fellow investors.” He’s talking about the time that they built a great stadium for the Texas Rangers in Arlington. One of the best ways to make money is to take a team from a crummy venue and move it to a nice one. All you have to do is get someone else to pay for it.

But the case in Wisconsin is particularly interesting. Because just a few days ago, “Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker signed a state budget that includes cuts of $250 million to the University of Wisconsin system, among other cuts to public education funding.” But this is the standard way for the modern Republican Party. Gone is any pretense of what conservatism used to mean. Now it is all about taking from the poor and giving to the rich. We’ve seen this in Kansas recently, where previous tax cuts for the rich blew a big hole in the budget. When it came time to fill in the hole, the Republicans in Kansas raised taxes on the poor.

In Wisconsin, we are seeing the same thing. Education has to be cut! So they have money to give to rich guys who own sports teams. Welcome to modern America.

Morning Music: Hoyt Curtin

The JetsonsI was never a big fan of The Jetsons. The Flintstones is more my kind of thing. But I’ve always loved the theme song of The Jetsons. Those fast filler riffs have always blown me away. And then the perverse use of “Chopsticks” is too great.

The song was written by Hoyt Curtin. He wrote the theme song for just about any Hanna-Barbera cartoon you ever saw. The Los Angeles Times called him the “Mike Post of animation sound tracks, the John Williams of the Smurf set.”

Apparently, in 1986, the song was re-recorded and released in a slightly longer form along with a “music video.” It’s interesting, because they managed to take out the truly sexist (and ahistorical) bit where George hands Jane a dollar bill, and she leaves him with it, taking his whole wallet before zipping off to “Shopping Center.” It reached “No 9 on Billboard magazine’s retail sales charts,” which is, really amazing.

Anniversary Post: Trinity Explosion

Trinity ExplosionOn this day in 1945 — exactly 70 years ago — the Nuclear Age started with Trinity, the first nuclear detonation. It was an implosion-design plutonium device — the same kind that we would drop on Nagasaki less than a month later. It’s good to be reminded of this. The typical American believes that we must stop Iran from getting a nuclear weapon because they can’t be trusted. I don’t want them to get a nuclear weapon either — but not because of concerns that they can’t be trusted. But that is what Americans think: the Iranians are “crazy” and would give nuclear weapons away to terrorists.

But supposedly one country that can be trusted is the United States of America. Yet we are the only country that has used a nuclear weapon — and we’ve done it twice. I’ve discussed this before, Stalin, Not the Bomb, Defeated Japan. What we did was kill well over 100,000 Japanese civilians. And we did not do it to protect ourselves or to defeat Japan. We did it to send the Soviet Union a message.

As evil as terrorism is, those who engage in it at least think that they are righting some wrong. When we dropped the nuclear weapons on Hiroshima and Nagasaki, we were not doing that. Our leaders very calmly decided that it was fine to kill so many fellow human beings in the name of “flipping the bird” to the Russians. And as it was, it only took four years for the Soviets to get their own bomb. If the US hadn’t dropped those bombs, Stalin likely wouldn’t have felt it so pressing to get the bomb for himself.

I understand why we decided to get the bomb. It was thought that the Nazis would get it and win the war. It’s hard not to sympathize with that thinking. So I don’t have such a problem with the Manhattan Project or even with Trinity. But we didn’t have to use the bomb on fellow humans. Sadly, the leadership of the United States thought exactly the opposite. And for the worst possible reasons.

Welcome to the Nuclear Age, 70 years ago today.

Iron Sky and the Jokeless Comedy

Iron SkyThe setup sounded too perfect: at the end of World War II, the Nazis relocated to the far side of moon, developing their war machinery for a future invasion of earth. Add in a hot German school teacher who thinks that The Great Dictator is a laudatory 10-minute short about Adolf Hitler, and an African American astronaut who the Germans “improve” by changing his skin tone white, and you have the makings of comedy genius. It even features Udo Kier as the current Führer, and as everyone who knows anything about film knows: no film with Kier can be all bad. But the question remains: how did Iron Sky, a comedy about Nazis on the moon, not elicit one laugh from me?

The film is not bad. It looks good. Julia Dietze and Christopher Kirby as the protagonists really do light up the screen when they are together. And there are amusing moments. I especially liked when the US president (a very awkward parody of Sarah Palin) found out that all the other countries had lied about not putting weapons in space. She said, “You’re all liars, just like my ex-ex-husband!” When they complain, noting that the US also broke its word, she responds, “We always breaks ours, that’s just what we do.” Also: Finland is the only country that stood by the treaty. It truly is the country where I want to be!

But all of that material is the exception in being modestly sharp satire. Overall, the satire is incredibly blunt, because the writers clearly don’t care much about geopolitics. All the major powers in the film are narcissistic and so much more the silly for it. The president is thrilled that her assistant has started a war because all presidents who start wars in their first terms get re-elected. I’m not saying that there aren’t some politicians who are every bit this self-serving. (Most are far more self-deluded.) But as a target for satire, it would have been tired in 1812, much less 2012.

The bigger problem is that the film doesn’t really even try to be funny. The filmmakers seem to think that the concept is so great that it creates its own laughs. And that might have been the case if the film took the time to get the viewer vested in the concept. But it doesn’t. It is just: Nazis on the moon. They’ve created all kinds of new war technology, but they still drive around in cars from Hogan’s Heroes and have computers the size of small towns. Oh, and they have to go to earth to get a cell phone, because they can’t possibly figure out who to charge the one they have.

In addition, there are far too many special effects in the film. They are well done, of course. But who cares? It’s just filler. The whole film could be easily rewritten as a play. There is a great battle between the earth and the moon Nazis. Yet we are only introduced to the people in one of the spaceships. So it serves no narrative function. There is more than enough hand-to-hand combat that does. So what is the point of all this other than to make Iron Sky look like a “real” film? I doubt there is another reason.

And then what are we are supposed to take away from Iron Sky? I guess it is that the Nazis were bad, but that the rest of the world isn’t all that great either. And the future of humanity is the Nazis, but only after they’ve seen all eleven reels of The Great Dictator, because once the Führer has been mocked, well, those Nazis just melt. But that’s all giving the filmmakers a good too much credit. I don’t think they want the viewer to take anything away from this film. And that is a real problem when you are creating satire.

Ultimately, it all would have been fine if there had been some jokes.

Yes, Wall Street Did Breaks Laws — Many

Matt TaibbiThere is a huge misconception, pushed equally by odd bedfellows in the financial community and Obama supporters, that Eric Holder didn’t send anyone from Wall Street to jail because “no one broke any laws.”

This preposterous meme grew out of something Barack Obama said on 60 Minutes. Here are the president’s exact words:

“Some of the most damaging behavior on Wall Street — in some cases some of the least ethical behavior on Wall Street — wasn’t illegal.”

Obama, a brilliant lawyer and wordsmith, was not saying that all of the behavior leading to the crash was legal. He merely said that some of the worst behavior wasn’t illegal. Which is true. Meaningless, but true.

Of course, some of the worst behavior was very illegal. This is confirmed in the fact that Holder extracted billions of dollars in settlement monies and even, in a few cases, obtained guilty pleas for crimes like fraud, manipulation, bribery, money laundering, and tax evasion.

—Matt Taibbi
Eric Holder, Wall Street Double Agent, Comes in From the Cold