Fixing the Unfair Mortgage Interest Deduction

Center for Budget and Policy PrioritiesTwo months ago, the Center for Budget and Policy Priorities (CBPP) released an amazing report, Mortgage Interest Deduction Is Ripe for Reform. It argues that the mortgage interest deduction is a bad way to encourage home ownership. Now, this is the kind of talk that normally makes home owners freak out. And with good reason! Although we can trust CBPP, it usually seems that whenever the government “reforms” the tax code it means that middle class people end up paying more.

The idea is a good one, however. And it could, if we the people hold our elected officials accountable, work out really well. Currently, the mortgage interest deduction is a $70 billion per year program. That’s quite a lot of money. It is more, for example, than the amount of money raised in new taxes from the Fiscal Cliff deal. Of course, no one is talking about getting rid of this homeowners’ subsidy, so we aren’t talking about saving all of the $70 billion, but there is still a lot that we could save.

There is something that most people don’t have a good grasp of: tax deductions are no different than welfare programs. There is no difference between allowing some people preferential tax rates and just handing them checks. Sure: homeowners think this deduction is God given, but it is anything but. It is a policy choice. In other countries, it is done differently. France doesn’t allow interest to be deducted at all. The Netherlands allows all interest to be deducted, but property values are added to taxable income. And in India, they limit the amount of interest.

What most surprised me is how non-egalitarian the mortgage interest deduction is. A shocking 77% of it goes to homeowners with more than $100,000 in income per year. So effectively, we are subsidizing the wealthy to buy very expensive houses. As I reported earlier today, Fred Thompson’s primary residence was worth over $3 million. And good for him! I just don’t think that it is a government interest to subsidize his rich lifestyle. This graph provides a good overview of homeowner needs and where we actually put resources:

Mortgage Interest Deduction

CPBB suggests replacing the mortgage interest deduction with a mortgage interest credit. It would be better focused on the needs of homeowners. What’s more, it would actually help more people to buy homes than the current system because it would be better focused on the middle classes rather than the upper class. But since it would be helping just as many or more homeowners, the change would not hurt the construction industry. (It might hurt contractors who focus on very high end homes, but even that is not certain.)

Our tax system is a mess. It is extremely unfair in most ways. The marginal rates are just the tip of the iceberg. Reforming the mortgage interest deduction would be an excellent change in the right direct. I recommend going over and reading the whole CBPP summary proposal. There is a lot more than I’ve mentioned here.

Whores Hawk Reverse Mortgages

Henry WinklerA reverse mortgage is not necessarily a bad thing. Under the right circumstances it can really help a retiree. Basically, it is a way to sell your house while being allowed to live in it until you die. The estate of someone who gets a reverse mortgage doesn’t necessarily lose the home in the end. But for those who are the best suited to one, this is the case. One thing is certain: reverse mortgages are not so widely useful to seniors that people need to be alerted about them via national television ad campaigns.

I have my own problem with a reverse mortgage: it is yet another way of taking wealth away from the middle classes. Instead of a home being passed on to the next generation, it becomes just another bit of equity in the portfolio of a giant corporation. Now there is nothing wrong with the middle classes selling off property to obtain a better retirement. But that really isn’t what this is all about. The ads are specifically targeted at the elderly to get them to exchange wealth for consumerism, “Get this really expensive and confusing loan and go on vacation!”

Okay: corporations are evil institutions. I get that. But I’ve been really struck by who the paid spokesmen are for these things. At first, I saw Fred Thompson doing the commercials. I actually felt sorry for him. Celebrities often fall on hard times and have to do these kinds of ads to get their lives back together. And Thompson was a good candidate because he has even less charm and ability than my Uncle Don. But that wasn’t what was going with him. According to CNN Money, in 2007, Thompson’s net worth is a bit over $8 million and he had made over $9 million in income the year before. Given that $4 million of his net worth was rolled up in two homes with almost a million for a pension, I don’t think he’s been doing too bad.

Fred ThompsonOf course, Thompson is a Republican. I expect this kind of stuff from them. The purpose of life is to make as much money as possible and then to spend it ostentatiously. That’s when I started seeing Henry Winkler doing the commercials. I don’t know his politics, but he’s done a lot of work for special needs children and apparently suffers from dyslexia himself. That usually indicates a liberal. So I thought: despite all the acting and producing and kid book “writing,” surely he too much have fallen on hard time. Not so much. According to Celebrity Net Worth, Winkler has about $35 million.

These two men, with all their millions, seem to think that hawking bad financial products to vulnerable seniors is a good use of their name recognition. In Thompson’s case, it hardly matters; I already thought he was a dick and an idiot, and I think that’s a common take on the man. Winkler, on the other hand, I thought rather well of. But now I think he’s as big a dick as Thompson. And the only thing likely to change that opinion is if I learn that he’s being blackmailed.

Again, reverse mortgages are not necessarily a bad thing. But they aren’t so great that they ought to be advertised everywhere. And the fact that they are pushed so hard is all you need to know about just how great they are. My recommendations would be for Fred Thompson’s agent to get him a couple of TV roles where he plays the president—the only part he’s pretty good at. And Winkler ought to ask for a raise from Mitchell Hurwitz.

Remembering Medgar Evers

Medgar EversBefore we get to the birthdays, we need to discuss a death. Early in the morning 50 years ago today, civil rights leader Medgar Evers was assassinated by white supremacist Byron De La Beckwith. But that was not the first attempt on his life. Others had tried to run him over and fire bomb him. It is shocking that to this day he isn’t widely known outside the civil rights movement. In fact, Emmett Till is far better than known than he is, even though Evers was so important in getting out the story of Till’s torture and murder. But there can be no doubt of just how important and effective Medgar Evers was. Just look at the reaction he got from the Mississippi bigots.

Evers was shockingly young when he died: just under 38 years old. To provide a little context, his older brother (Republican civil rights spokesman) Charles Evers is soon to turn 91. So it is very possible that Medgar would still be with us. Meanwhile, his murderer, Beckwith, lived to be 80. He only spent 6 years in jail for the crime because it took 31 years to convict him when he was already 73 years old. Before that, he had been caught trying to plant a bomb at the home of a leader of the Anti-Defamation League. He was convicted of “transporting explosives without a permit.” What a justice system we have!

Here is this morning’s Democracy Now! segment on Medgar Evers:

On this day in 1929, Anne Frank was born. I think the enduring appeal of her diary is that it shows that life will go on regardless. There is a similar scene in Schindler’s List where a couple are getting married in the camp. Even when suffocated by evil, people still manage to hope.

The chess player Donald Byrne was born in 1930. He is best known for losing the so called “game of the century” to Bobby Fischer. I’ve always thought he showed very good sportsmanship for playing the game through long after he knew he had lost. Mostly, he underestimated the 13-year-old chess genius. The game is known for an amazing queen sacrifice by Fischer, but other than that, it isn’t that interesting a game. Fischer conspicuously ignored it in his My 60 Memorable Games. Byrne was a Master level player—one of the best Americans during his peak. In 1955, for example, while playing black, he beat one of the chess icons of the 20th century Efim Geller. Byrne was also an English professor. He died of lupus at the age of 45.

Geroge H. W. Bush is 89 today. I give him another year to live. He doesn’t look too good, but I figure he will make it to 90 and then move on to the undiscovered country. I think the same thing about Bob Dole. But he hits 90 next month, so don’t be surprised if he soon decides it’s just too embarrassing to continue to be a Republican icon in the modern world.

Jim Nabors is 83 today. I hope that married life is working out for him. I suspect that it is. Musician Chick Corea is 72. And John Linnell, of They Might Be Giants fame, and Scott Thompson, of Kids in the Hall fame, are both 54 today.

Out of respect for Medgar Evers, no one “wins” today.

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Michael Bloomberg Wants to Destroy the Democratic Party

Michael BloombergThis morning at the Plum Line (which is no longer free), Greg Sargent reported on Holding Dems Who Vote Wrong Way on Guns Accountable. It explained that Michael Bloomberg has sent out a letter to Wall Street fat cats telling them not to give money to four red state Democratic Senators who voted against the Manchin-Toomey background check bill. It is not altogether clear where Sargent stands on this move by Bloomberg, but he provided only the last paragraph to argue against the move and then pretty weakly.

To a large extent, this makes me angry because of my priorities. Economics is what most matters to me and Michael Bloomberg is very much the enemy. And this little move of his might please a very small part of me, but its bigger effect will be to help Republicans win. And on economic issues, those Republicans agree with Michael Bloomberg. I doubt that is his specific intent. But it certainly doesn’t hurt that he will be switching out a Democrat who disagrees with him on guns and the economy for a Republican who only disagrees about guns. Why New Yorkers think that Bloomberg is on their side, I will never know. I also don’t know why he calls himself an “independent.” He is a typical blue state Republican: liberalish on social issues and that is all.

Just on the merits, this “kill off the conservative Democrats” is a bad strategy. It does nothing to increase the pro-gun reform movement. In fact, it may do the opposite. By lowering the competitiveness of Democrats in red states, it weakens the environment in which people can discuss gun law reform.

What we all need to remember is that gun reform is a single issue. Michael Bloomberg is not a Democrat. Other than a couple of issues, he is very much against the liberal project. There are plenty of gun reform groups one could support that don’t have a vested interest in getting Republicans elected by default. Look, I have no love for blue state Democrats either. But the truth is that on the vast majority of issues, they go along with the party. If voting against largely symbolic gun reform bills is what it takes for them to stay in office, I’m all for it. And so should be any Democrat, or even any left-leaning person.

And there is another part of the whole Michael Bloomberg circus that I hate. It shows that just because he has a lot of money, he can cause great harm to the democratic process. He doesn’t care if he destroys the Democratic Party or even the whole country as long as he gets his way on his pet issue. Sargent wrote, “They view this as a battle that could take many years to win and will require a major shift in basic thinking about gun politics among many top Democrats.” Why the focus on Democrats? This reminds me of David Frum’s ridiculous argument that we should vote for Romney because the Republicans would just continue to misbehave if Obama were re-elected. In this case, Bloomberg is saying that the Republicans are just wacko. So let’s reward them by attacking Democrats.

Michael Bloomberg is an evil and dangerous man.

Snowden Isn’t Traitor Not That it Matters

Edward SnowdenThis morning, Dylan Matthews at Wonk Blog (which is no longer free) explained, No, Edward Snowden Probably Didn’t Commit Treason. You see, Dianne Feinstein isn’t the only high profile idiot saying—based upon no evidence, I might add—that Snowden is a traitor. But it turns out that treason is a very specific legal construct that is hard to meet.

Basically, in order to commit treason, an individual must either go to war against the United States or must help a country that is at war with the United States. That clearly doesn’t include Snowden. In fact, it didn’t even include Julius and Ethel Rosenberg. We weren’t at war with the Soviet Union, so no treason for them.

There is even a question as to whether we are at war with al Qaeda. Of course, there is no question that our lapdog judiciary would see it that way. And that is what most concerns me about all this talk of treason. Even under the worst case scenario, Snowden is not a traitor. But as we’ve seen time and time again, the government has no problem stretching the law to unbelievable lengths in order to justify all of its vile acts. Just look at how the Obama administration has used the Espionage Act of 1917 to go after leakers. John Kiriakou was charged with three counts of violating it because he blew the whistle on our torture program. Go team!

In the end, I’m sure the government will go after Snowden under the Espionage Act too. But the truth is that it could go after him under the treason clause of the Constitution. And that should really concern us. At this point, the law is just a play thing for the government. If the government doesn’t like what you’ve done or what you’re doing, it will come after you. And there is nothing you can do about it. Kiriakou is a good example. In the end, all of the threats of the Espionage Act and even “making false statements” were dropped. But they still got him. He’s still going to spend two and a half years in jail.

So I don’t think Feinstein and friends really think that Edward Snowden is guilty of treason, except maybe in the colloquial sense (although that’s bad enough). They are just laying more of a foundation for further destruction of our civil rights. King George III: 1; American Revolutionaries: 0.

In Which I Stare at a Woman’s Breasts

Sonoma County Democratic PartySo I decided to finally get off my duff and go check out the local Democratic Party that meets just around the corner from me. And they were a nice group—lively and friendly. Afterwards, I was talking to a guy and he explained how it all worked. I told him that I wasn’t very interested in voting inside the party apparatus and all that stuff; I just wanted to help out. I mentioned that I was a copy editor and that I thought my skills might be helpful to people in the group. He directed me to a woman who was something like the head of communications.

I went up to her and told her my sad tale: I was not really the representative kind of person but that I was a copy editor and maybe I could help out. Now, this was a pretty young woman who was clearly smart and also friendly. You know: exactly the kind of woman who drives me crazy. It isn’t sexual. I’m old. But old habits die hard and I immediately lapsed into my best impression of myself at 17. So I wanted to get out of there. I was a nervous wreck anyway. If I can avoid it, I don’t leave the house. I don’t like wide open spaces with people I don’t know. And I sure don’t like big meetings with people in close contact. Thus, almost from the first sentence, I was fighting my very strong and rational desire to run away.

As usual when I’m insecure, I look at a persons eyes for a while and then I look at the ground. Wash, rinse, repeat. But in this case, every time I looked down, I was looking directly at her breasts. And they were fine breasts. And that did not make things better! “Oh my God,” I thought. “I’m staring at her breasts!” So I looked at her eyes. And they too were very fine. But it was too intense, so I looked down. Again at her breasts!

This repeated itself four times at least. Finally, I excused myself and headed for the car. My heart was pounding. I was sweating. I felt like I’d just made it through my first day of kindergarten. The only difference was, I held it together better in kindergarten. I think I will limit my communications with the Democratic Party to email. It’s so much less embarrassing!

Democratic Party: 1; Frank: 0.

Dai Vernon

Dai VernonItalian Baroque composer Giovanni Antonio Giay was born on this day in 1690. And Portuguese Baroque composer Carlos Seixas was born in 1704. English Romantic painter John Constable was born in 1776. Photographic innovator Julia Margaret Cameron was born in 1815. Refrigeration technology inventor Carl von Linde was born in 1842.

On this day in 1864, the great composer Richard Strauss was born. Since I was a kid, I’ve been most interested in him not for his music but for his life. His only son Franz married a Jewish woman. He spent much of the late 30s and early 40s trying to protect his daughter-in-law and grandsons. And he was successful. But it did require him to associate with the Nazi regime in ways that disgusted him. Here is Also sprach Zarathustra, which Joseph Goebbels thought decadent, performed by the Bavarian Radio Symphony Orchestra:

The man who moved his family’s textile company into automobiles, Kiichiro Toyoda was born in 1894. Jacques Cousteau was born in 1910. And one of the few football coaches I could name, Vince Lombardi was born in 1913.

Gene Wilder is 80 today. I doubt that Mel Brooks should have gotten screenwriting credit for Young Frankenstein. As far as I can tell, Wilder conceived and wrote the whole thing and Brooks acted the way directors normally do in the development of scripts. Much the same thing can be said of Blazing Saddles, where Brooks took top credit for screenwriting and put “Story by Andrew Bergman” in tiny letters. I think everyone knows that Bergman is a comic genius because of his later career, but few even know that Wilder wrote Young Frankenstein and is singularly responsible for its best scene:[1]

This clip from the movie has been eliminated from the internet. Of course our copyright system is out of control. But even more, these copyright owners are extremely shortsighted about this stuff. Might it be the case that having great clips like this would increase sales? I don’t doubt it.

One of the few football players I could name, Joe Montana is 57. The great comedian Hugh Laurie is 54. Here he is with Stephen Fry doing their brilliant skit about the privatization of the police force:

And actor Peter Dinklage is 44.

The day, however, belongs to the great magician Dai Vernon who was born on this day in 1894. He had an enormous influence on close-up magic over the last century (he lived to be 98). But unlike too much of the magic fraternity, he wasn’t obsessed with getting credit for ever little thing he did. Magic, I’m afraid, is like academic politics: fierce because the stakes are so low. So in that environment, Vernon was refreshingly pleasant. And brilliant. Here is something amazing: 26 seconds of him doing the slow motion card vanish as a young man:

Happy birthday Dai Vernon!


[1] Yes, I really do hate Mel Brooks. I think he’s an awful human being. But if he had done any decent work after Young Frankenstein, I would be more forgiving.

Drunk Driving Hysteria

Drunk DrivingI am not much of a drinker. But I really hate the modern abstinence movement that is best represented by MADD. And look: I understand! The negative effects of alcohol are big and obvious. I don’t even much think of drunk driving. Alcohol makes a lot of people total assholes. But here’s the thing. Americans are far more responsible drinkers than they’ve ever been. And what has our society done as a result: become more and more hysterical about the evils of the devil’s brew.

Do I really mean that MADD is an abstinence movement? Yes! MADD lobbied to have the legal alcohol level be reduced from 0.12 to 0.08. I’m not necessarily against that, although I think it is madness to say that a blood alcohol content (BAC) alone really tells much about how fit someone is to drive. But the point is that the moment that MADD got the BAC level reduced to 0.08, it immediately started lobbying to have the new number reduced to 0.04. I’m not a big believer in slippery slopes, but I have no doubt that MADD would not be happy with the 0.04 level if they got it. It would soon be 0.02 and then zero tolerance.

What’s more, MADD has been very deceptive in pushing for their policies. A great one is to get a group of non-drinkers together. They then have them drink a glass of wine and ask them, “Would you feel comfortable driving in this state?” The answer is almost always no. And then they tell the people, well, you’re BAC is less than 0.04! I try to have a glass of wine each night and I agree: I’m not fit to drive after I’ve had a glass of wine. That’s because, I’m a lightweight. People who drink more than I do are not incapacitated at that level.

Along these lines, Sarah Kliff reported this afternoon on a new study (pdf) that found—Brace yourself!—designated drivers sometimes have a drink. The results are supposed to be shocking, but I found them rather encouraging. For starters, you need to know that the study was conducted with twenty-somethings in college bars. Yet the study found that 65% of designated drivers had had no alcohol at all. To me, that’s the headline. I never would have thought that this group would be that responsible. That result really cheers me up!

In addition, 82% were below 0.05 BAC—also known as well below the legal limit. And the kicker is that even among the 18% who had a BAC above 0.05, the median was only 0.08. (The average was higher, indicated that some were clearly drunk.) So even among the most irresponsible, there was a level of responsibility. What’s more: I want to know how their friends tested. Is a designated driver BAC of 0.08 optimal? Of course not. But if he (it is usually he) is driving around comrades who test at 0.22, that’s a good thing, is it not?

But the paper’s conclusion is just the opposite of this, “These findings identify the need for consensus across researcher, layperson, and communication campaigns that a DD must be someone who has abstained from drinking entirely.” Really?! That strikes me as an awfully moralistic conclusion for a scientific paper. Although it is typical of the drug treatment community that thinks that anything but perfection is failure. And this has a pernicious effect on society. I always encourage people who are having trouble quitting smoking to try just to reduce their smoking. It really isn’t the case that one cigarette or 40 is the same. But talking to these fools, you get the idea that it is.

Kliff’s headline is typical of the kind of hysteria that the abstinence movement is pushing: “Go Home Designated Drivers; You’re Drunk.” But of course, that is not what the study showed at all. It showed that a very strong majority of designated drivers were not drinking at all. And it showed that 91% of them were at or below the legal limit. Clearly, some of the designated drivers were confused about their jobs. But this isn’t something that deserves hysteria: “Study shows 9% of a collection of people known to be irresponsible are in fact irresponsible.” Alert the press! Oops. They already did.

Afterword

The data were collected between 10:00 pm and 2:30 am. This is important, because this shows that the results do indicate a worst case scenario. These are the more serious drinkers—again, the people you would think would be more irresponsible. But if I were being completely fair, the headline ought to have been, “Most designated drivers do excellent job; some do not.”

Americans Don’t Care About Anything Important

Public Support for NSA: Then and Now

Steve Benen provided this graph that shows a fair bit of hypocrisy in how both Democrats and Republicans think about the surveillance state. But Benen is much more of a partisan than I am. His whole point of showing the graph was to push back on the “Democratic hypocrisy” narrative that is forming. He quite correctly noted that the question in 2006 was different than the question in 2013. In 2006, people were asked about an illegal program; in 2013, it is a legal program.

He’s reaching, right? We’re all very glad that Obama cares enough about the law generally to put a patina of legality on the vile surveillance practices of his administration. It at least provides for the possibility of oversight and maybe even a change of policies if only the American people actually cared about the issue. But the opposite argument could be made. This program is much bigger and it doesn’t necessarily involve communication with foreigners.

To my mind, both programs are terrible in their own ways. The Bush program was highly invasive and illegal. The Obama program is not very invasive and legal, but it is vast. What’s more, I have little doubt that the information will creep into other uses. The New York Times editorial board has been very good on this issue; however, I thought they asked some naive (but good) questions this morning:

Are the calls and texts of ordinary Americans mined for patterns that might put innocent people under suspicion? Why is data from every phone call collected, and not just those made by people whom the government suspects of terrorist activity? How long is the data kept, and can it be used for routine police investigations?

Let’s see now. It isn’t that the program might put innocent people under suspicion; it is that it does. All the data are[1] collected for the same reason a dog licks its balls: because it can be done. I don’t think that can be stressed enough: the surveillance state does not processes so much data out of any need. It is just like video stores asking for you Social Security number: they don’t need it; they are just mindlessly collecting all of the data that they can. That’s what the NSA does. The data will be kept forever. And of course the data can be used for other purposes. As I’ve noted before: it can figure out if you are using illegal drugs and it can be used to figure out if you are having an affair. All from so called meta data.

But I’m not worried about any hypocrisy on the part of about 25% of the Democrats and Republicans. There are any number of reasons they could give for the changes in their opinions anyway. What’s more, a lot of those reasons are valid. What I’m worried about is that roughly 55% of both parties are never worried about the government snooping at what we are doing. This is a horrifying, but hardly unusual position for me to find myself in. Large swaths of Americans aren’t worried about global warming. And that’s more important than this. Large swaths are not worried about income inequality. And that’s more important than this. Even fewer care about our racist “justice” system. And that’s more important than this.

So many moral catastrophes, so little time.


[1] “Data” is technically a plural. But that isn’t why I use it as a plural. It just sounds wrong to me to do otherwise. It’s just one of my eccentricities.

Dianne Feinstein Is a Traitor

Dianne FeinsteinIt’s hard to know what to think about Edward Snowden, the young man who leaked NSA information to the Guardian and the Washington Post. On the surface, it is all good and he looks like a hero. But I will admit that the story seems a little weird and so I will wait for more information. What can’t be questioned is that the documents leaked should have been leaked. The American public have a right to know about this stuff.

We’ve come a long way from where we started in this matter. It used to be that the government didn’t want newspapers to print troop movements. Now, the government doesn’t want newspapers to print that there is even a war. The dust up over Snowden’s revelations makes no sense. On the one hand we hear that he is a traitor who put American lives in danger. And on the other hand we hear that we already knew this was going on. This, of course, is what we heard about Bradley Manning, “This doesn’t tell us anything we didn’t already know—and it’s dangerous!”

Last night, The Hill reported that my very own United States Senator Dianne Feinstein thinks that Snowden is a traitor. On the most basic level, this is absurd. Just as I won’t say that he is a hero, she can’t know he is a traitor. But in her tiny mind he’s a traitor because he broke the law. She said, “He violated the oath, he violated the law. It’s treason.” Let’s just step back and think about it for a moment. Ever since the Nuremberg Trials, we have supposedly know that there are some orders—some laws—that should not be followed. My question for Ms. Feinstein is, “If the law said you should kill 6 million Jews, would you?”

Unfortunately, this kind of thinking is typical of our elected officials. I think of this as the 5-year-old approach to justice: it is always wrong to lie; it is always wrong to fight; it is always wrong to break the law. Of course, Feinstein is all for complexity when it comes to defending her authoritarian approach to the surveillance state. Why do we need it? She’ll tell you it is because it saves lives. But she can’t show you the lives that it saved. Because that might cost lives. I’m serious! She says that she’d be all for accountability, “Here’s the rub: the instances where this has produced good—has disrupted plots, prevented terrorist attacks, is all classified, that’s what’s so hard about this.”

Actually, it isn’t hard at all. As Scalia said, “I’ll bet you, if you conducted a lot of unreasonable searches and seizures, you’d get more convictions too.” The question is not whether having a member of the NSA follow each of us everywhere we go wouldn’t make us safer in the sense of fewer terrorist attacks. The question is whether the trade off is worth it. Clearly, Feinstein thinks the current actions of the NSA are worth it. I think they aren’t. I think it is worth talking about. Without Snowden we couldn’t even do that. Even with him it looks like we can’t.

Treason is a funny thing. When Feinstein was elected to Congress, she took an oath to uphold the Constitution. As the chair of the Select Committee on Intelligence, she has not only allowed the government to infringe on my constitutional rights, she has cheered it on. Who’s the real traitor?

Update (11 June 2013 10:03 am)

I just wrote to Feinstein:

I’m displeased you are calling Edward Snowden a traitor. Breaking the law or an oath does not necessarily make one a traitor. All your public comments are doing is poisoning the water so that we can’t have a reasonable discussion of this. The truth is that at this point we can’t say if Snowden is a hero or a traitor. And you more than anyone ought to understand that. We didn’t send you to Washington so you could be a firewall against democracy and open government. Please at least moderate your rhetoric.
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Global Warming and American Leadership

Sharks Discuss Global WarmingThis afternoon, Steve Benen was writing about Obama’s meeting with Chinese President Xi Jinping. They sort of agreed that maybe they kind of ought to think about someday considering the possibility that there could at some point in the distant future might be an agreement that could conceivable lead to an arrangement that something really should be done about climate change in the not too distinct future, but perhaps the very distant future if that doesn’t seem politically viable. (Samuel Beckett would be proud!) Anyway, it’s good that they are talking about these things. You can be certain if it were a Republican in the White House, they wouldn’t be discussing it.

Benen brings up a common conservative argument against an agreement, “But without China, it will be useless!” Before I get to Benen’s comments on this, let me take a moment to talk from the perspective of a man who was in the trenches in the earlier days of the climate change wars. Many people at that time were really worried about Chinese air conditioners. It sounded then like it sounds now: American imperialism. We as in us, the fucking United States of America, are the worst polluter. Let’s take care of our own addiction to fossil fuels and then we can think about the rest of the world. As it is, if we acted alone, it would make a big difference.

So I have little tolerance for this selfish madness. Steve Benen is like minded. But he has a slightly different take on it. He writes:

I’ve never cared for the argument, not just because it’s a defeatist attitude that dooms the future of humanity, but also because it ignores the potential for American leadership. Our willingness to lead shouldn’t be dependent on some other country’s willingness to do the same—we’re the global superpower, and we do the right thing because it’s the right thing, not because China agreed to a deal.

I completely agree with him. What’s more, this is one of my big complaints about the United States. You see, I used to be a true believer. When I was in school, I believed all that shit about our ideals. I thought that we really did always try to do what was right. Those people who hated us just didn’t understand us. We stood for things! And I still hope. But I think that Benen and I are both being way too idealistic. No one in power in the United States is going to do anything because it is right.

Timing Lightning Strikes

LightningLast night, I had my bedroom window open because even with the recent cooling, the room gets little circulation and stays very hot very late. So I was suddenly awaken at around 2:00 am, when a lightning storm rolled in. It was very cool with nothing between me and it. As I watched the storm and listened to thunder, half asleep, I remembered something I was told as a kid. “Every second between a lightning strike and the sound of its thunder represents a mile that the lightning is away from you.” So by this rule, if there is three seconds between the lightning and the thunder, the strike was three miles away.

That woke me up, because I knew it was wrong. Let’s go through this. A lightning strike causes sound and light to emanate from its location. The speed of light is so fast that it basically reaches our eyes instantaneously. But sound takes a little time. The amount of time it takes the thunder to reach us is the amount of time it takes sound to move from the origin of the lightning strike to us. That’s all very simple.

But that “one second equals mile rule” implies that sound travels at a speed of one second per one mile. And I certainly would have noticed that somewhere along the line. And I didn’t. What I remembered was that the speed of sound here at the surface of the earth is roughly 340 m/s. Why did I remember that? I have no idea. There are all kinds of bits of knowledge like that float around in my head—knowledge so useless you can’t even use it on Jeopardy! Anyway, that’s equal to roughly 0.2 miles per second.

So the rule is: for every 5 seconds, the strike was one mile away. Or, for my friends outside America: for every 3 seconds, the strike was one kilometer away. Except in China where the speed of sound is mandated to be much faster.