The TPP Is Not About Helping the Poor in Asia

Dean Baker on 2016 July Jobs ReportIn fact, growth in all of these countries slowed in the years after 1997 when they switched from running trade deficits to surpluses. The slowdown was less in Vietnam than in the other countries of the region, but even Vietnam had slower growth in the period touted by Popper than in the years from 1991 to 1997. In other words, the idea that manufacturing workers in the US had to take a hit to allow people in the developing world to escape poverty is absurd on its face.

This argument is even more pernicious in the context of the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP), the trade deal currently on the agenda. The trade barriers to imports from the countries in the pact are already low, so the TPP would actually do little to open US markets further to these countries. On the other hand, a major thrust of the pact is to strengthen and lengthen patent and copyright protections.

These forms of protectionism will have poor people in the developing countries in the pact paying more money for prescription drugs, fertilizer, and software than they would otherwise. This protectionism will make them poorer and increase poverty. It will also make it difficult for people in poor countries to have access to life-saving drugs.

Of course the TPP will increase the profits of companies like Pfizer, Merck, and Microsoft. This could explain the huge efforts to promote the TPP among the public. Certainly this push cannot be explained by a concern for the poor in the developing world.

—Dean Baker
How Much Do We Learn About Trade and Poverty in the Developing World from a NYT Article Ostensibly Telling Us About Trade?

Listen, Bernie Fans: Gary Johnson Ain’t Your Friend

Gary JohnsonOne of the most amazing things in this election cycle is that Gary Johnson is taking more votes away from Hillary Clinton than from Donald Trump. This makes no sense. I can see Republicans who don’t want to be associated with Donald Trump getting on the Johnson Train. But how can liberal people?

I fear that this has a great deal to do with the “Bernie or Bust” types who just can’t vote for the neoliberal dragon lady. I know: most of them are voting for Jill Stein. That bothers me, but at least it makes sense. Jill Stein is, after all, liberal. Gary Johnson is not. Until 2011, Gary Johnson was a Republican. And it’s not like he has “seen the light.” He’s like Ron Paul: he’s a Republican or a Libertarian depending upon what is in his best political interests at any time.

Gary Johnson: The Good Stuff

It’s a really good idea to see where Gary Johnson actually stands on the issues. And the best place to research this is On the Issues. And of course: Johnson comes out well in a number of areas. People like that he is pro-cannabis. But he isn’t pro-drug. He doesn’t think that what drugs a person takes are their own business. So just like Rand Paul, Gary Johnson thinks that you should have the right to take drugs that he thinks are okay. How this makes him any different from any Republican, I can’t say.

Libertarian Party: Just Kidding, We're Republicans!But he’s libertarian-ish, so he must be good on issues of crime, right? Not really. As governor of New Mexico, he vetoed a bill that granted early release of prisoners because of overcrowding. He’s for the death penalty, even though he is big on talking about sentencing disparities and DNA exoneration. You know: he likes to come off as a liberal guy, but when it comes to policy he is — Oh, what is the name for it?! — a Republican.

On foreign affairs, Johnson sounds best. He also sounds ignorant. And I’m not talking about Aleppo. He thinks we need to “divorce” Pakistan. Well, I agree. Just the same, it isn’t the simple matter that he makes out. And that’s true of pretty much everything that Gary Johnson thinks about regarding foreign affairs. He also seems to think that we spend a huge amount on foreign aid. And then — dunce that he is — thinks that we do it because we’re just such kind people.

Gary Johnson: The Bad Stuff

Note that those are the issue that Gary John is best on. On everything else, he’s a catastrophe. He doesn’t believe that insurers should have to provide birth control coverage. And he doesn’t believe the federal government should fund stem cell research. He does now seem to be pro-choice. But think about what kind of judges he would put on the Supreme Court. Pro-choice judges? No. He would put pro-corporate judges on the Supreme Court, and they would naturally be anti-choice.

On economic issues, he’s just crazy. He’s suggested that we abolish the Federal Reserve. He didn’t think the Debt Ceiling was any big thing. In 2012, he called for the Federal budget to be cut by 43%. You know: we couldn’t raise taxes. He said the 2009 stimulus was a failure. Of course, even conservative economists disagree, but given libertarianism is a faith, it’s not surprising that Johnson doesn’t care.

He doesn’t believe in affirmative action. And of course, he thinks that not taxing corporations would create millions of jobs. He falls for myth of corporate taxes being “double taxation.” (Companies become corporations because they believe it in their interests; they don’t need to be corporations; that’s their choice.) He’s for school “choice.” By that, he means he’s for destroying public education. And he wants to eliminate the Department of Education, just to make it really clear.

He believes in global warming; he just doesn’t think that the government should do anything about it. But even that’s too nice to him. He’s in favor of fracking and coal mining and nuclear power. He similarly supports renewable energy, as long as the government isn’t involved. This is again, his trying to look liberal while having policies that are no different than those of any other Republican.

Gary Johnson Is a Bad Guy

I could go on. Gary Johnson thinks that having more people carrying guns will reduce mass shootings. He thinks that government-managed healthcare is “insanity.” (Apparently, he doesn’t get out of the country much.) He wants to know why we were in Libya at all, because, you know, why would different countries have ambassadors? Most of Johnson’s ideas are vile. When he is on the right side of an issue, he’s hopelessly naive.

To make matters worse, if he were president, the things he would get accomplished would be the things that liberals most hate. He would savage aid to the poor. But Congress would never send him a bill to cut the military. So when Johnson talks about cutting the federal government by 43% — including the military — what we would get is everything else cut. And if you vote for him, it is this practical Gary Johnson who you would be voting for.

If you are a Republican, voting for Gary Johnson makes a lot of sense. But if you are a moderate — much less a liberal — you are crazy to vote for Gary Johnson.

Kevin Drum Overcovered Stories

Kevin Drum - Overcovered StoriesI frequently read stories that should have been spiked because they don’t really say much of anything. The problem is that after spending days or weeks reporting something, no reporter wants to leave empty-handed. So they write something, even if it’s little more than narrative or innuendo. Editors should be more aggressive about killing stuff like this.

There’s an additional point… some stories naturally lend themselves to continual coverage, while others don’t. The Clinton email story is an obvious example of the former. Donald Trump’s tax returns are an example of the latter. These are probably equally important stories, but the email story gets dozens of front-page hits simply because new information drips out steadily. Trump’s tax returns get only one or two because there’s nothing new to report once Trump has made it clear he has no plans to release them.

So editors need to ask themselves if a story is getting overcovered solely because of the nature of the information drip, rather than because of its intrinsic importance… I’d say that both the email story and the Clinton Foundation story have been overcovered for this reason. I don’t quite know what the answer is — the whole point of news is to report stuff that’s new, after all — but at the very least political editors should probably retain more perspective about how much attention to give to individual drips in long-running stories.

—Kevin Drum
New York Times Public Editor Shrugs Off Charges of False Equivalence

Hillary Clinton Is Not a Flawed Candidate

Hillary Clinton: Flawed Candidate?Frank and I were talking yesterday. He expressed his annoyance with what has become a standard liberal disclaimer. Before attacking Trump, the writer will note that “Clinton is a flawed candidate.” He was specifically referring to an article by Jonathan Chait, New York Times Public Editor Liz Spayd Writes Disastrous Defense of False Equivalence. In that article, before going after Trump hard, he wrote, “How can the news media appropriately cover Trump and his clearly flawed opponent without creating an indecipherable din of equivalent-sounding criticism…” Frank’s point was that of course Clinton is a flawed candidate. All candidates are flawed. What’s with the constant repetition of this?

I had a different take on it. It ties into a tweet storm I did a few days ago. I do a lot of them because I get cranky a lot.

Not a Flawed Candidate

Clinton isn’t a flawed candidate. She is a great candidate. But I can already hear all the reactions, “But she is a flawed candidate because…”

Hillary Clinton is often thought of as a bad politician. And you know what? She is. She doesn’t glad-hand with a smooth smile, she doesn’t give rousing speeches, and she doesn’t walk into a room and make it stop with her sheer force of personality. Clinton lacks, as Miz Molly Ivins would have said, “Elvis.”

But that’s “politician” — not “candidate.” Charisma doesn’t necessarily make a great candidate. Just ask President Palin.

What Makes a Great Candidate

What makes a great candidate starts with knowing what the hell you are talking about. And Clinton knows. She knows the ins and outs of the federal government and can talk to your ear off about whatever happens to be the question in front of her about the federal government.

She also has over a hundred thousand words in her policy proposals. And she knows them just as well as she knows about everything else. This is why she tends to have a great deal of policy in her stump speeches. A flawed candidate? I don’t think so.

Reaching Out to Voters

Reaching out to voters is another critical skill for a candidate. Now in a presidential race this tricky. You can’t knock on 125 million doors in the US by the time of the election. But there are ways around this.

You can have small community meetings with local officials. And you can have smaller more intimate rallies. You can send people to do preliminary work on what would be best for you to do to have the biggest impact. Clinton does all of this.

In the debates, she stays around after to talk to the people who asked questions about their needs, and has staff get back to them. She has her staff follow up with people who are at rallies. Clinton calls it table talk time. Back when she was in the Senate, it led to a lot of legislation that she never asked credit for.

And unlike most other candidates, she is still thinking about Flint. This is not a flawed candidate.

Clinton’s Stamina

Stamina is another essential quality of a great candidate. And we know how legendary Hillary Clinton’s stamina is. Her schedule the day she found out she had pneumonia had two fundraisers in two states, a two hour policy meeting, a press conference, and an interview with a reporter. She lasted an hour in the direct sunlight with Kevlar on in the New York humidity on 9/11. Then despite taking the rest of the day off, she did another interview on Monday. Reporters have complained on Twitter about how they can’t keep up.

Strategy

Finally, she has the ability to turn the tables on her opponents. Witness the brilliant trap she sprung on Friday that few people seem to understand is brilliant. First, she made a statement that the media won’t shut up about. Granted, they are tut-tutting her for saying something that they all know is true.

As Scott Lemieux noted, “It strikes me as obvious that Clinton’s much-discussed ‘deplorables’ phrase was a Kinsleyian gaffe — a politician’s statement that gets criticized not because it’s false but because it represents a truth that is supposed to remain hidden.”

But in addition to the discussion of the “optics,” the media have been talking about the fact that she isn’t wrong. They’ve said, “Oh, you were too broad.” So she walked it back by saying that she was wrong about the number of deplorables. That can be taken either way. And it doubles down on the fact Trump is followed by too many racist, sexist, homophobic, xenophobic, and Islamophobic people.

It further lays a trap since it gives the media an excuse to ask people like sitting governor Mike Pence if he will denounce David Duke as deplorable. Pence, of course, refused to do so.

Clinton Is a Great Candidate

There are many other reasons why, far from being a flawed candidate, Clinton is a great candidate. But for me it is the fact that she has the knowledge, the stamina, an eagerness to connect with people, and the ability to trap her opponents into making fools of themselves. Regardless how you look at it, she isn’t a flawed candidate.

Will We Strike Gold in California District 49?

Darrell Issa - Incumbent in California District 49It is time to come to the weirdest race I have written about so far: California District 49 (CA-49). The incumbent is a guy who has been arrested multiple times for something other than protesting. Who then ran a business selling those annoying car alarms. This included the Viper car alarm, which he provided the voice for. He insulted the likely next president to her face. And he has done numerous things that just make me gasp.

Meet California District 49’s Representative

He is, of course, Darrell Issa.

Issa was first elected to Congress in an overwhelmingly Republican district in 2000.

Since then, he has had a colorful career. He has some cookie-cutter Republican views: opposition to abortion, homophobia, anti-tax absolutism, and a general anti-reality orientation. But mostly, he is a reliable Republican attack dog in the House, and seems to have no shame about it.

Issa is part of the reason why the Benghazi investigations have gone on as long as they did. He also doesn’t mind going after anyone he thinks is a political enemy of the Republicans. Issa was behind holding low-level IRS staffer Lois Lerner in contempt of Congress for her refusing to join in their endless witch hunts.

He also has his issues with email. Meanwhile, he even defended the Republican use and destruction of private email, while managing to become known as an IT expert on Capitol Hill.

Ultimately he is a blustering fool who annoys everyone who has to deal with him, even Republicans.

The California District 49 Race

Doug Applegate - Challenger in California District 49This year, Darrell Issa has a competitor who just might topple him.

Doug Applegate is a retired Lt Colonel lawyer who has been able to do something major: he got nearly 46% of the vote using next to no money. He’s only spent about $50,000 so far, based on the last report I could find (in April). He has been added to the Red to Blue program recently.

Before 2006, the DCCC didn’t add people they originally thought didn’t have a chance of winning. Since then, they have been more nimble. In Arizona in 2006, Ann Kirkpatrick was added at the last minute. She won that seat. And part of the reason why she was added is that the DCCC could see the wave that was about to hit. That makes Doug Applegate being added so late a very good sign for his general election chances.

Doug Applegate’s great showing was largely due to Issa’s support for Trump. Colonel Applegate has not been shy about hanging that around Issa’s neck. One of the things that makes it hard to unseat incumbents is getting attention from the media. Yet Applegate has been very good at being politely but firmly provocative in a way that gets him noticed.

That said, he hasn’t ignored the needs of the district like Issa’s has.

My Prediction

Like most pundits making predictions, I have no idea how this is going to play out. But I will give my opinion anyway.

Issa is probably going to lose. On retail politics, if nothing else.

You don’t neglect your district. And he has. He is also being tied to someone that makes the military vets in his district very unhappy. And there are a lot of vets (PDF) in California District 49. So when Doug Applegate does a compare and contrast, he comes out better.

There are plenty of other problems Issa faces but he isn’t doing anything to fix them.

It is a general election though, so it is possible this turns into another 60-40 loss for the Democrats because California District 49 is conservative. But the polling isn’t saying that.If Applegate keeps pushing as hard as he is and uses what time is left strategically, he will win.

Remember 9/11: 15 Yearly Missed Opportunities

Remember 9/11Do you remember 11 September 2002? It was the first year that we got to remember 9/11. Ah, it was a good time. By that point, we had only lost 67 American troops in Afghanistan. No one was much thinking about Iraq, even though the Bush administration was already pushing hard for war. That’s not completely true, of course; Donald Trump told Howard Stern that day that he was for the new war. But overall, it truly was a good year to remember 9/11!

By 11 September 2003, it wasn’t quite so great to remember 9/11. By then, 342 American troops had died in Iraq. On the plus side, the number of American deaths in Afghanistan was down to only 54. The unemployment rate had gone up to 6.1 percent. Things certainly weren’t getting better, but times were nice enough to look back and remember 9/11.

On 11 September 2004, things were much the same as they had been in 2003. There were a few things that were worth celebrating. The unemployment rate had gone down to 5.4 percent. What’s more, Thomas Friedman had already started using what would later be called the Friedman Unit. On 30 November 2003, he wrote, “The next six months in Iraq… are the most important six months in US foreign policy in a long, long time.” Yes, it was still a good day to remember 9/11!

The Unwinding

Still, things had started to unwind a bit. By 11 September 2005, every person I knew who had voted for George W Bush the year before claimed to regret it. How could they have known that the Iraq War was a sham — something the Bush administration had wanted to do from the moment they got into office? Certainly reading a book was out of the question! This was the Bush era: real Americans didn’t read! In 2005, it was not a good day to remember 9/11.

So when we remember 9/11, just what are we remembering? It doesn’t seem to be anything deep. It seems to be like the frat boys partying on the announcement of Osama bin Laden death. “We’re number one!”

So much had changed. But I wondered from the start exactly what we were remembering. It’s not that I don’t accept that 9/11 was a huge tragedy. But it was also a great gift to the war mongers. I doubt that Bush would have gotten his Iraq War if everyone didn’t remember 9/11. We wouldn’t have seen the huge increase in the security state. We wouldn’t be flying unmanned death machines all over the world and killing children because some set of criteria indicate that maybe someone in the vicinity kinda seems like maybe they are sorta terrorish.

Remember 9/11: In Your Own Way

Every year that we remember 9/11, we get yet more reruns of documentaries about what happened that day. I don’t think anyone has to be reminded. We all remember. But I think “Remember 9/11” is kind of like “Remember the Maine.” It’s just a call for war. We were attacked and therefore anything we do is okay. “They raped our queen, so we raped their city, and we were right!”

Now I know: everyone remembers 9/11 in their own way. But as a society, I think we remember the attack. Many remember the rescue, which was both heroic and incredibly successful. (Pretty much everyone who could get out did.) But overall, I’m not sure what we are remembering. It seems that too much of it is remembering that we were wronged. Well, even if you accept that simplistic analysis, what did we learn?

What Are We Learning?

As we remember 9/11 for the 15th year, what are we getting for it? As a country, we are just as likely to resist democratic movements and support autocrats. We have normalized continuous war. Jihadism seems to be alive and well. We haven’t accepted a lick of responsibility for the blowback of our meddlesome foreign policy.

So when we remember 9/11, just what are we remembering? It doesn’t seem to be anything deep. It seems to be like the frat boys partying on the announcement of Osama bin Laden death. “We’re number one! We’re number one!” It means nothing to remember something if you don’t learn from it. And I don’t think that our country has learned anything. We will remember the attacks on 9/11 until the next attack. And we will respond to that attack in the same way we always do.

On this 15th remembrance of 9/11, I think we should remember that responding to tragedies like this should be done in a mature way — and not as a child would. But we won’t. We never do. Humans never have. “They raped our queen, so we raped their city, and we were right!”

Anthony Furey: Stupid, Evil, or Both?

Anthony Furey in His Younger Days of Poverty and DeprivationI don’t want to talk about libertarians, but I was running errands and happened upon this “debate” between Anthony Furey and Sam Seder that was on Majority Report about two years ago. It wasn’t really a debate. Seder mostly lets libertarians talk and tries to get them to be clear about what they think. So the vast majority of the time was spent with Anthony Furey doing the libertarian two-step. This is when they talk theory when the issue is practical, and practical when the issue is theory.

Question: “So you are against government funding higher education?”
Libertarian: “I just think that the government is to big…”

Question: “Isn’t there an implicit contract between the individual and the society?”
Libertarian: “Think about the [proposed and never enacted] soda size limit in New York City…”

Libertarians Have Something on Their Minds

It’s frustrating to listen to because you know the libertarian thinks something very concrete. They are just afraid to come out and say it because they know how awful it will sound. So we hear from Anthony Furey that he’s socially liberal. We’re supposed to believe that he’s a Good Guy Libertarian™, just looking out after the poor and oppressed. Yet when we had as close to the libertarian utopia that we will ever get — in the early days of the industrial revolution — life was horrible. It was largely because of the conditions that people lived in that we got the laws that that the Anthony Fureys of the world so hate.

There was a very telling exchange about food security. Of course, Anthony Furey would never quite say what he meant because he is a Good Guy Libertarian™. But it was clear enough. If only we got rid of taxes and “onerous” regulations then people would all have jobs and food would be cheap and each and every one of us would have our own pony! It was crystal clear that for Furey, just like for almost all other libertarians, his belief is faith-based. It’s like that old cartoon, “And then a miracle occurs…” I’m always struck that libertarians know just enough economics to be dangerous. They know about the invisible hand of the market and they pray to it daily.

Anthony Furey Turned Evil

But the more Anthony Furey talked, the less he seemed like Good Guy Libertarian™. The more he talked, the more he seemed like an angry conservative. He returned again and again to the idea of a “culture of dependency.” Furey is Canadian, so it didn’t sound racist coming from him. But it did sound very social Darwinian. This is, of course, the new way for conservatives to push their vile policies and not sound like the evil bastards that they are. It isn’t the fault of the poor that they are lazy! It’s the fault of the government!

There are very few libertarians who believe in no government at all. Therefore, arguments with libertarians aren’t about anything but how much government there should be. But libertarians like Anthony Furey put on airs with their philosophy.

Another telling point during the “debate” was when Anthony Furey started claiming the subprime mortgage crisis was caused by the Community Reinvestment Act (CRA) and Fannie Mae/Freddie Mac. Again, this is one of those wonderful conservative arguments that blame poor people without looking like it: “Isn’t it terrible that the government forced all those poor people to wreck the economy!” But, of course, the CRA did not cause the financial crisis. Repeating this in 2014 (when the “debate” took place) shows that Furey only listens to the kind of media that will feed his faith-based opinions.

Just Arguing Government Levels

But there is a broader analysis here. Whenever Seder probed too deeply into Anthony Furey’s thinking, the libertarian would jump back to the idea that he wasn’t for getting rid of the government altogether; he just wanted it to do the things it properly did. It was funny that the one thing he kept bring up was public transit. Why that?! Why is that a social good and healthcare is not? And that is what makes talking to libertarians so exasperating.

There are very few libertarians who believe in no government at all. Therefore, arguments with libertarians aren’t about anything but how much government there should be. But libertarians like Anthony Furey put on airs with their philosophy. They are nothing more than conservatives complaining that the government is too big. Okay! So how does that make them any less evil than Louie Gohmert? Because of their faith that giving rich people more money will help the poor?

I wouldn’t say that Anthony Furey is stupid. He’s a subgenius: smart enough to be dangerous. I would definitely say he is evil. And that’s especially so because of all the crocodile tears that stream from his arguments. So I suppose the title of this article should be, “Anthony Furey: Not Nearly as Bright as He Thinks, Evil, or Both?” But that’s too long. “Anthony Furey: Stupid, Evil, or Both?” gets the point across well enough. And the answer is: both.

State of Fear: Excellent New Short Story Collection

State of Fear - Paul BibeauPaul Bibeau has a new collection of short stories, State of Fear. It’s 99¢ on the Kindle, and worth quite a lot more than every penny.

It’s easy to be disappointed by Paul Bibeau. After all, most people discovered him from things like I Was Shitting You People — A Message From Ayn Rand and “Help Me Hide These Bodies” By Willy Wonka. They are laugh-out-loud funny stories, so you figure that he’s a comedy writer. And then you pick up The Black Book Of Children’s Bible Stories or Trump Tales Of Terror, and you discover a very different writer.

I remember when I first got The Black Book. It wasn’t at all what I was expecting. But I was soon won over by its clear, exacting style and implied horror. Bibeau is not a writer to jump out at you and yell, “Boo!” His approach is to inject you with a slow-acting neurotoxin until you’re afraid to move. He combines the Victorian ghost story’s precision with a postmodern sensibility. The writer and reader are partners. Bibeau rarely comes right out and tells you anything. He renders. What Anaïs Nin was for erotica, Paul Bibeau is for horror.

State of Fear

State of Fear is not horror. It’s much worse than that. The stories are about isolation. More specifically, they are about how isolation and fear feed each other. I’ve written before about watching schizophrenics and how terrified they are so much of the time because they just don’t know where the inside and the outside meet. Bibeau captures that sense fully. Mostly, he is fine with leaving it to the reader to decide what the reality is. This is most true of the highlight of this collection, “Charlie And The Chocolate Factory.”

In that story, Charles “Charlie” Franck is a government interrogator — torturer, actually. And he snaps. Or does he? The truth is that not knowing is what makes the story so chilling. It’s also what makes it profound, because it doesn’t matter. Is there a vast conspiracy to keep us all at war with each other? Or does our civilization drive us all mad?

How are you going to get me to murder more than 300 people at the Lakeview Mall? That’s what I thought.

But the prisoner hadn’t said “Lakeview Mall.” He’d talked about an unnamed shopping center, and mentioned a nearby parking garage. And I’d immediately sketched out a picture in my mind of the shopping center that I would pick. If I did it.

Bibeau’s Thematic Clarity

It’s pretty clear where Paul Bibeau comes down on the question of the actual reality, however. He deals with the question more directly in, “The American Terror.” It is half essay and half narrative. The essay focuses on The Trial as well as Václav Havel’s experiences in communist Czechoslovakia. The narrative tells the story of a man trying to find his way to court on his bicycle for a minor matter, which literally becomes more grave as he cycles. It reminded me of Robert Cormier’s novel, I Am the Cheese, but in this endless bike ride, the world presses down harder and harder on the cyclist, and we know that his end will be the same as that of Josef K.

I could go on and on. Every story is a winner. “The Exceptions Virus” chronicles of spread of fear and isolation, but in the Bibeau world where the external and internal intersect in a most discomfiting way. Even when Bibeau is being blunt, as in “The Dream Wayne LaPierre Has Every Night,” the results are chilling. And the book ends with a poem, “Thanks for the Last and Greatest Betrayal…” It’s a history lesson — a reminder of who we are. But it’s also a prophecy: describing our dead future where all that is left are our Hollywood fantasies, beaming through space: “only ghosts and aliens will watch it go.”

State of Fear is very much worth checking out. It’s short — just 54 Kindle pages. But it’s easily worth ten times its 99¢ asking price. It gave me chills at least a dozen times.

Matt Lauer’s Incompetence at the NBC Forum

Matt LauerSo last night was the NBC‘s Commander-in-Chief Forum or really, to quote Trump, “you know what” show. It was hosted by Matt Lauer, because NBC apparently couldn’t find anyone even more incompetent. It was exactly what Paul Krugman was complaining about last week, “But it’s hard to escape the impression that [Trump’s] being graded on a curve.” That’s because he is.

I watched the disaster and had a few thoughts. The principle thing I took from the forum was that it was way too short. The military, for good or bad, is massively complex. A discussion of it requires the time to give insightful answers. But NBC gave a half hour to each candidate. That was bad for Clinton because she has, you know, actual policy ideas. It was great for Trump who can always bluster his way through a half hour — especially when interviewed by a lightweight like Matt Lauer.

Clinton’s Half Hour

Of Clinton’s half hour, a full third of it was dedicated to her email. No one who follows actual news cares about this. She has apologized for using a private server, said it was a bad idea, and blah blah blah. Asked and answered. Yet the media keeps harping on it. What have we learned? Nothing. It’s all insinuation.

Having wasted all that time did not stop Matt Lauer, who was clearly in over his head, from constantly interrupting Clinton for the rest of the time as she tried to answer actually important questions.  (I’m also tired of her being asked yet again about her Iraq War vote; why is “old news” a concept that applies to everyone except Hillary Clinton?)

Matt Lauer: Only Interested in Trivialities

One gentleman asked about the VA and the problems that have plagued the agency. Clinton confirmed that she will work on it weekly as President. And then she discussed specific things that she wanted to work on.

Another question was about ISIS. She briefly touched the fact that dealing with ISIS required a multifaceted approach. This included asking other Muslim countries to help us. Matt Lauer, apparently sensing the seriousness of the issue, cut her off before she could go into details.

There were a few other questions that Matt Lauer found necessary to interrupt on. This got to the point where Clinton had to tell him to let her finish.

Once again these are serious issues that need addressing. And no, I don’t think a detailed policy plan is sufficient. It is great to have, but questions should be asked so she can give us more of a sense of how she will be as commander-in-chief. Questions were asked. It’s just that Matt Lauer wasn’t really interested in the answers.

Trump’s Half Hour

Oh dear, God: where to start? 

When he said he wanted to take all of Iraq’s oil because to the victor go the spoils?

Or when he said he thought there should be a military justice system to address rape?

Perhaps when he said that Putin was awesome and had great ratings in Russia?

Or when he said that Clinton was in charge of the military responses in Iraq along with Obama despite the Secretary of State’s not deciding military policy?

Or maybe when he said he was going to fire all of the generals?

The Stupid Half Hour

This was a half hour of the stupidest commenting on the military that I’ve ever seen. It was probably the stupidest ever. It was ill informed and traitorous and just plan horrible. And it was an embarrassment to the entire US political system that a man as ignorant as Donald Trump could be the presidential candidate of a major political party.

Trump lied twice in the first ten minutes of the forum. Matt Lauer, in keeping with his usual high level of incompetence, did not call Trump on either. Trump claimed his running a business and “calling the shots” was sufficient for him to run the US military. He then claimed that his trip to Mexico was a success.  It was not. It actually led to one of his scariest speeches to date.

Trump couldn’t answer most questions he was asked. So he blustered through them. Matt Lauer, of course, allowed him to. Trump again made the claim that he was against the Iraq War, when it is well documented that he was for it — both before and then after. Intrepid reporter Matt Lauer did not counter him on this lie that Trump tells again and again and again.

The Conclusion

So naturally the media is going to say since Donald Trump didn’t drop his pants and urinate on the floor, he was “presidential.” And even if they don’t, what the people saw was Matt Lauer making a very big deal out of Clinton’s email, as though it is really important and indicates something really bad, even if it is never stated. And they saw Matt Lauer allow Donald Trump to say outrageous things — and outright lies — without countering them.

Earlier yesterday, Brian Beutler explained well what liberals are concerned about, “The overarching expectation isn’t that the press should campaign for Clinton or help her escape scrutiny, but that they resist the urge to normalize Trump by portraying both candidates as inhabiting similar moral and ethical planes.” Based upon Matt Lauer’s performance last night, that sounds like a best case scenario. The takeaway from last night was that Clinton is a crook and Trump is just a straight-shooter.

It just was horrible.

David Brooks’ Shifting Opposition to Obamacare

David BrooksDavid Brooks has a new reason to be disappointed in Obamacare. The problem is not so much that the new law has done bad things — he concedes that it has insured 20 million people — but that it was sold on a false basis. It is mostly helping poor people obtain insurance, he observes sadly, rather than overturning the entire system. “[T]his is not bad. But we’d have had a very different debate if we knew the law was going to be a discrete government effort to subsidize health care for more poor people,” writes Brooks in his column today. “For one thing, Democrats would have probably paid a much smaller political price if their effort wasn’t billed as an extravagant government grab to take over the nation’s health care system.” This is a great point. Why, exactly, did the Democrats decide to advertise their plan as an extravagant government grab to take over the nation’s health-care system? That turns out to have been a really poor choice!

Oh, wait a second. They didn’t. A close inspection of the public record actually reveals that it was the Republicans who described Obamacare as an extravagant government takeover. The Democratic message was just the opposite. President Obama proposed a plan that would create subsidized insurance for those who were too poor or too sick to buy it on their own while also introducing a wide range of reforms designed to bend the curve of long-term cost growth. He repeatedly and explicitly made the case that his plan would leave the existing system in place for people who already had employer-sponsored insurance…

Brooks always took pains to make it clear that he was not one of those Republicans who opposed universal insurance on principle. It was just the costs that concerned him. “Health care reform is important,” he wrote, “but it is not worth bankrupting the country over.” Today, Brooks complains that the program is not too lavish but too stingy: “The subsidies are too small. The premiums are too costly. The deductibles are too high,” he writes. It’s almost as if Brooks decided to oppose health-care reform and then filled in the specifics of his argument later.

—Jonathan Chait
Why Did Democrats Promise a Big Government Health-Care Takeover?

A Slightly Annoyed Defense of Hillary Clinton

I saw that tweet the other day. And I got a little annoyed.

Why? Because I actually don’t think it sounds like Clinton. At all. I didn’t think that a year ago. And I don’t think it now. There is a reason for that.

Clinton Has Been Very Open

Clinton has always released her taxes, her email, her family’s foundation records, her fundraising records, her donation records, and her life’s story when asked by appropriate parties. Appropriate parties are: the American people, the government, the press, and the editors of her books.

Not once do you have a record of her refusing to release something that she felt she had a legal or ethical obligation to release.

When you have someone who is that willing to release information, you have someone not trying to hide anything. Are there times she fails to release? Yes — because we are talking about multiple tons of documents. Is there a pattern of her hiding anything? No.

Donald Trump Political Donation ScandalNow on to the bribing. Because she has released all of this information, we can go through and see if she has any record of using sketchy ways of handling business. And guess what? She doesn’t have that record. She complies with the rules even when she gets suggestions to not do so. (I’m looking at you Colin Powell.) Even when she probably should have used an Official Government Email Account™, she followed the rules for not using one.

Having been in government, I know why she used the single device. It is a decision most people in leadership have to make. And most of them hate using two or three devices. Clinton’s having it set up with her husband’s server was probably better than using gmail. But I digress.

Clinton’s Clean Donation Record

The fact is that you can trace her giving to whomever via her taxes, her family’s direct foundation, and the Clinton Foundation. You can look to see what they did with every dollar they received. You can spend months on this — just like most of the charity watchers do. And nothing — Absolutely nothing! — shows it was not above board. There was no using donation funds to buy things, no using funds to make political donations, nothing. Nada. Nichts.

Clinton does have a track record: not lying whenever she wants; not using her money to get out of scrapes; admitting fault; apologizing when she screws up…

Yet where does Justin Green, Political Editor for Independent Journal Review, start? Saying that Hillary Clinton is who first comes to mind when reading, “Rich person laundering political donation (bribe) through his foundation and hiding it on IRS filings”? And he is surprised that it is Trump?! Clinton has zero record of doing anything so unbelievably illegal and Trump is, well, Trump.

Clinton’s Track Record

Clinton does have a track record: not lying whenever she wants; not using her money to get out of scrapes; admitting fault; apologizing when she screws up; not breaking the law; not bribing public officials; not creating investment or university scams; and on and on.

So why the hell would anyone — especially a professional political editor — even conceive of writing such a statement?

Clinton has screwed up before — the Iraq war vote, using a private server that the State Department hadn’t authorized[1], most of the 2008 campaign, pushing for the use of American power when a wait-and-see approach would probably have been better. But these are policy decisions. When it comes to behavior? She doesn’t do anything wrong.

[1] This always struck me as weird, since she was in charge of it and Obama clearly knew she had the server and didn’t care.

Imperial’s Hamlet Chicken Factory Fire

Erik LoomisOn September 3, 1991, a chicken factory in Hamlet, North Carolina caught fire thanks to nonexistent safety procedures, killing 25 workers and injuring another 55. This was the largest workplace disaster in North Carolina history. This entirely avoidable accident was reminiscent of workplace disasters of the past, with open employer contempt for safety regulations and the lives of their workers.

In 1980, [the factory] was purchased by Imperial Foods… The factory had no fire alarm system. The factory was used to process chicken for fast food restaurants and pre-frozen products for grocery stores. That meant cutting, bagging, weighing, and, most importantly for this story, frying it. About three-quarters of the workers were African-Americans. Hamlet is a small town close to the South Carolina border and the worker histories reflected that. Many of these workers had grown up doing farm work in the area and for some, this was their first factory job.

Imperial’s CEO Emmett Roe had moved from Pennsylvania to the South in order to bust the unions in his plants there and move to a state with a “more favorable regulatory climate,” ie, the kind of state that won’t inspect your factories or enforce safety violations… North Carolina regulators never inspected the factory because the budget for inspections was minuscule. In 11 years of operation, it received no fire inspections… According to one survivor of the fire, the plant managers locked the door to stop workers from stealing chicken. This was the same excuse sweatshop managers gave to locking the doors at Triangle when that disaster killed 146 workers in 1911.

[T]he deep fryer caught fire after a hydraulic line to a cooking vat failed, with obvious problems with it not found because of the company’s indifferent safety culture. It spread very quickly thanks to a combination of burning cooking oil, insulation, and exploding gas lines hanging from the ceiling. It didn’t help that all of the phones inside the building were nonfunctional. The workers at the front of the plant all managed to get out. But at the back of the plant the company did not place any fire alarms. Moreover, Imperial managers not only locked all the exits but sealed the windows as well. Those workers had nowhere to go. As an old plant, it was a maze of paths inside. The smoke meant they couldn’t find their way to the front. They were doomed. Like at Triangle, which this fire reminded many of, a few workers did get out the back by breaking open a locked loading bay, but most died. On one door, near charred bodies, blackened footprints could still be seen, signs of the desperate attempt to escape. Eighteen of the dead were women. Most of the dead were African-American.

—Erik Loomis
This Day in Labor History: September 3, 1991