Prognosticator Steve Kornacki

Steve KornackiWhy do we love Steve Kornacki? Because he doesn’t believe his own bullshit. Sure, he’s pleased that he said that Eliot Spitzer might not cruise to an easy victory over Scott Stringer for New York City comptroller, and that looks to be at least partly correct. But he was quick to point out how he is more often wrong. Most pundits and commentators accept the acclaim for being right but never admit their failures. No one pays attention to when I’m right or wrong. But when I make predictions, I do it for other reasons—to make some point about a situation, and sometimes just to be a crank. And I think that is true of most others when they make predictions. But I’m really glad that Kornacki took the opportunity of being right about this to highlight the fact that what’s important about him—and the reason we listen to him—is not his prognostication skills.

And for the record, it isn’t at all clear that Spitzer won’t cruise to an easy victory. According to a New York Times/Siena College poll that came out on Friday, Spitzer has a 15 percentage point advantage against Stringer. I don’t especially care. I like Spitzer and I know next to nothing about Stringer. It would certainly be nice to see Spitzer back in elected office because I think he has done a good job. But if he doesn’t win, I’m sure there will be lots of other chances for him to serve the public.

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About Frank Moraes

Frank Moraes is a freelance writer and editor online and in print. He is educated as a scientist with a PhD in Atmospheric Physics. He has worked in climate science, remote sensing, throughout the computer industry, and as a college physics instructor. Find out more at About Frank Moraes.

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