Friday Night Nate Silver Update

Tonight, Nate Silver’s model has again increased President Obama’s chances to winning the electoral college to 81.4%. He predicts that he will also win the popular vote 50.5% to 48.4%. Perhaps most striking, he predicts that Obama has roughly a 38% chance of winning 332 electoral votes or more. A win of 332 electoral votes would mean that Obama won Florida, which is looking more and more likely, but hardly likely in an absolute sense. A win 347 electoral votes would mean that Obama almost won North Carolina. This is far less likely.

Here is The Young Turks on conservative denial about Nate Silver and his model:

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About Frank Moraes

Frank Moraes is a freelance writer and editor online and in print. He is educated as a scientist with a PhD in Atmospheric Physics. He has worked in climate science, remote sensing, throughout the computer industry, and as a college physics instructor. Find out more at About Frank Moraes.

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